A11de3mP0w3R P1@y$ - Racing n Sports

[A11dAtP0w3R]

I bet on the gallops mainly, but the occasional punt on the dogs and trots as well.

AFL with Supercoach and Dream Team prop bets and NFL are the main areas of sport i concentrate on but the occasional NBA, cricket or tennis bet as well.

Starting bank: 30 units.

 

[A11dAtP0w3R]

DT H2H: B.Ellis $2 vs R.Conca $1.78 (sportsbet) 1 unit
DT H2H: D.Martin $1.80 vs L.Hodge $1.95 (sportsbet) 2 units
SC H2H: C.Rioli $2.15 vs B.Hill $1.66 (sportsbet) 0.5 unit

 

[A11dAtP0w3R]

PORT $2.75 1-39 points vs GEEL (sportsbet) 0.5 unit
PORT $1.92 +5.5 vs GEEL (sportsbet) 1.5 units

 

[A11dAtP0w3R]

DT H2H: B.Ellis $2 vs R.Conca $1.78 (sportsbet) 1 unit
DT H2H: D.Martin $1.80 vs L.Hodge $1.95 (sportsbet) 2 units
SC H2H: C.Rioli $2.15 vs B.Hill $1.66 (sportsbet) 0.5 unit

Martin's strictly F50 role in the first half along with his pitiful attitude makes his H2H match ups a no bet proposition until Hardwick gives him more midfield time. Can no longer back him and wouldnt be confident backing his opponent just incase he is played purely midfield the week i back against him. Not that it would have mattered today.
On the other hand Hodge's 75% game time today through midfield makes him a dangerous player to bet against when matched up H2H vs backs or forwards. Will avoid the temptation to put money on him despite favourable match ups though, in game injury prone players i always try to avoid.

-0.425 units

Overall: 29.575 units

 

[A11dAtP0w3R]

PORT $2.75 1-39 points vs GEEL (sportsbet) 0.5 unit
PORT $1.92 +5.5 vs GEEL (sportsbet) 1.5 units

Miss the Port 1-39 by 1 point. Happy with both bets, perhaps just should have stuck with the H2H's as i usually do, margin betting not my best friend.
Port have been my ATM this year, outsiders here, against WCE last week and can you believe they were $2.35 against Carlton in round 1? Amazing... Shame, i think the days of the bookies underestimating them has ended.

+ 0.88 units

Overall: 30.455 units

 

[A11dAtP0w3R]

MULTI: COLL H2H $1.27 into HAW H2H $1.07 into PORT H2H $1.12 into ADEL H2H $1.12 @ $1.70 (sportsbet) 3.5 units
MPT: PORT VS GWS total match points over 188.5 @ $1.88 (sportsbet) 1.75 units

 

[A11dAtP0w3R]

SC O/U: $1.87 Cale Hooker Under 108.5 (sportsbet) 1.5 units

 

[A11dAtP0w3R]

RACING:

WARRNAMBOOL RACE 5:

$4.40 Montgomery - WIN (sportingbet) 1.25 units

WARRNAMBOOL RACE 7:

$8 KNEELING - WIN (ladbrokes) 0.5 unit
$2.70 KNEELING - PLACE (ladbrokes) 1 unit
$10 ALPHA PROXIMA - WIN (sportingbet) 0.25 unit
$2.85 ALPHA PROXIMA - PLACE (sportingbet) 0.5 unit
TOP FLUC - LORD OF BRAZIL - WIN (ladbrokes) 0.2 unit
BEST TOTE - LORD OF BRAZIL - PLACE (ladbrokes) 0.4 unit

 

[A11dAtP0w3R]

Feral whether in Canberra on the weekend? The MPT line has moved from 188.5 to 171.5 in one day! Wow, and ive taken the 188.5....The 171.5 line is less than the Melbourne vs Adelaide game (173.5) serious??? Lowest scoring game as predicted by the bookies for the round in fact, AMAZING, i dont bet on whether, just football, so.........

In for a dime in for a dollar

adding:

MPT: PORT VS GWS total match points over 171.5 @ $1.88 (sportsbet) 2 units

 

[A11dAtP0w3R]

RACING:

WARRNAMBOOL RACE 5:

$4.40 Montgomery - WIN (sportingbet) 1.25 units

WARRNAMBOOL RACE 7:

$8 KNEELING - WIN (ladbrokes) 0.5 unit - deductions of 80c
$2.70 KNEELING - PLACE (ladbrokes) 1 unit - deductions of 23c
$10 ALPHA PROXIMA - WIN (sportingbet) 0.25 unit
$2.85 ALPHA PROXIMA - PLACE (sportingbet) 0.5 unit
TOP FLUC - LORD OF BRAZIL - WIN (ladbrokes) 0.2 unit
BEST TOTE - LORD OF BRAZIL - PLACE (ladbrokes) 0.4 unit

Montgomery bombing the start hurts, two horse race ended up exactly that. Got overs at $4.40, SP $4
The blows on Kneeling were a bit of a worry ($6.50 to $9 SP), Moody stable doesnt generally bet up though. Alpha Proxima was backed very heavily late ($9 - $7 SP last 5 mins) worked home well but never a winning hope. Lord of Brazil ($12 into $11) travelled well but put in a very awkward stride before the corner, end of chances right there.
Happy with all runs and prices taken.

+1.97 units

Overall: 32.425 units

 

[A11dAtP0w3R]

RACING:

WARRNAMBOOL RACE 8:

$34 BELIVEAU - WIN (sportsbet) 0.2 unit
$7.50 BELIVEAU - PLACE (sportsbet) 0.4 unit
$17 FIELDMASTER - WIN (sportingbet) 0.2 unit
$5 FIELDMASTER - PLACE (sportingbet) 0.3 unit
$26 MOUDRE - WIN (sportingbet) 0.2 units
$7.10 MOUDRE - PLACE (sportingbet) 0.3 unit

 

[A11dAtP0w3R]

COLL $1.92 -24.5 vs CARL (betstar) 1.333 units
DT H2H: M.Stokes $1.75 vs J.Bartel $2 (betstar) 1.5 units
DT H2H: D.Prestia $1.85 vs N.Dal Santo (sportsbet) 1.5 units
DT H2H: J.O'Meara $1.88 over D.Swallow (sportsbet) 1.25 units
DT H2H: M.Wright $2.00 over B.Smith (sportsbet) 1.2 units
DT H2H: S.Sidebottom $1.75 over B.Gibbs (sportsbet) 1.15 units
DT H2H: A.Treloar $1.70 over S.Coniglio (sportsbet) 1.1 units
DT H2H: D.Hannebery $2 over D.Zorko (sportsbet) 0.75 units
DT H2H: M.Duncan $1.95 over J.Kelly (sportsbet) 0.75 units

 

[A11dAtP0w3R]

COLL $2.90 40+ points vs CARL (sportingbet) 0.333 unit

 

[A11dAtP0w3R]

RACING:

WARRNAMBOOL RACE 8:

$34 BELIVEAU - WIN (sportsbet) 0.2 unit - Scratched, money back
$7.50 BELIVEAU - PLACE (sportsbet) 0.4 unit - Scratched, money back
$17 FIELDMASTER - WIN (sportingbet) 0.2 unit
$5 FIELDMASTER - PLACE (sportingbet) 0.3 unit
$26 MOUDRE - WIN (sportingbet) 0.2 units
$7.10 MOUDRE - PLACE (sportingbet) 0.3 unit

Got mass overs on Moudre ($26 - $11 SP) Fieldmaster firmed before drifting late ($15 to $21), happy with prices secured but both horses soundly beaten despite good runs, Flogged infact. Winner was in a different class to everything else in the race.

-1 units

Overall: 31.425 units

 

[A11dAtP0w3R]

RACING:

MORPHETVILLE RACE 8:

$15 BEST CASE - WIN (sportsbet) 0.333 units
$4 BEST CASE - PLACE (sportsbet - promo, paid the place if runs 4th) 0.666 units

MORPHETVILLE RACE 2:

$8 DIGNITARY - WIN (betstar) 0.25 units - Scratched, money back
$2.60 DIGNITARY - PLACE (betstar) 0.6 units - Scratched, money back

MORPHETVILLE RACE 7:

$5 LADY LAKSHMI - WIN (betstar) 0.5 units
$1.95 LADY LAKSHMI - PLACE (betstar) 1.25 units

CAULFIELD RACE 1:

$4.50 CONSORTING - WIN (sportsbet) 0.5 units

CAULFIELD RACE 2:

$6 ESCADO - WIN (betstar) 0.5 units
$2.25 ESCADO - PLACE (betstar) 1.25 units

CAULFIELD RACE 5:

$7 HIGH AIMS - WIN (sportingbet) 0.4 units
$2.35 HIGH AIMS - PLACE (sportingbet) 0.9 units

CAULFIELD RACE 6:

$17 BRAMBLES - WIN (sportsbet) 0.2 units
$4.40 BRAMBLES - PLACE (sportsbet) 0.45 units
$4.50 REPARATIONS - WIN (sportingbet) 0.75 units

CAULFIELD RACE 7:

$17 ZUMA ROC - WIN (sportingbet) 0.2 units
$4.70 ZUMA ROC - PLACE (sportingbet) 0.45 units

CAULFIELD RACE 8:

$8.50 KHULUTUN - WIN (sportingbet) 0.3 units
$2.80 KHULUTUN - PLACE (spotingbet) 0.6 units
$16 GAMBACCINI - WIN (sportingbet) 0.2 units
$4.60 GAMBACCINI - PLACE (sportingbet) 0.45 units

HAWKESBURY RACE 1:

$10 TURBULENT JET - WIN (ladbrokes) 0.3 units
$3.20 TURBULENT JET - PLACE (ladbrokes) 0.7 units

HAWKESBURY RACE 5:

$16 PLEIADES - WIN (sportsbet) 0.2 units
$4.60 PLEIADES - PLACE (sportsbet) 0.45 units

 

[A11dAtP0w3R]

COLL $2.90 40+ points vs CARL (sportingbet) 0.333 unit

Oh margin betting, why do you hate thou?

Read the game perfectly, had Collingwood winning by 6-10 goals (could have been even more?), foot off the gas approach again by the Pies after looking all over a winning bet screws me. Another margin bet, another butt raping of me...

-0.333 units

Overall: 31.092

 

[A11dAtP0w3R]

RACING:

HAWKESBURY RACE 1:

TT+ SMART MOOCHI - WIN (ladbrokes) 0.2 units
TT+ SMART MOOCHI - PLACE (ladbrokes) 0.4 units

-0.6 units

Overall: 30.492

 

[A11dAtP0w3R]

RACING:

MORPHETVILLE RACE 8:

$15 BEST CASE - WIN (sportsbet) 0.333 units
$4 BEST CASE - PLACE (sportsbet - promo, paid the place if runs 4th) 0.666 units

MORPHETVILLE RACE 2:

$8 DIGNITARY - WIN (betstar) 0.25 units - Scratched, money back
$2.60 DIGNITARY - PLACE (betstar) 0.6 units - Scratched, money back

MORPHETVILLE RACE 7:

$5 LADY LAKSHMI - WIN (betstar) 0.5 units
$1.95 LADY LAKSHMI - PLACE (betstar) 1.25 units

CAULFIELD RACE 1:

$4.50 CONSORTING - WIN (sportsbet) 0.5 units

CAULFIELD RACE 2:

$6 ESCADO - WIN (betstar) 0.5 units
$2.25 ESCADO - PLACE (betstar) 1.25 units

CAULFIELD RACE 5:

$7 HIGH AIMS - WIN (sportingbet) 0.4 units
$2.35 HIGH AIMS - PLACE (sportingbet) 0.9 units - deductions of 18c

CAULFIELD RACE 6:

$17 BRAMBLES - WIN (sportsbet) 0.2 units
$4.40 BRAMBLES - PLACE (sportsbet) 0.45 units
$4.50 REPARATIONS - WIN (sportingbet) 0.75 units

CAULFIELD RACE 7:

$17 ZUMA ROC - WIN (sportingbet) 0.2 units
$4.70 ZUMA ROC - PLACE (sportingbet) 0.45 units

CAULFIELD RACE 8:

$8.50 KHULUTUN - WIN (sportingbet) 0.3 units
$2.80 KHULUTUN - PLACE (spotingbet) 0.6 units - deductions of 50c
$16 GAMBACCINI - WIN (sportingbet) 0.2 units - Scratched, money back
$4.60 GAMBACCINI - PLACE (sportingbet) 0.45 units - Scratched, money back

HAWKESBURY RACE 1:

$10 TURBULENT JET - WIN (ladbrokes) 0.3 units
$3.20 TURBULENT JET - PLACE (ladbrokes) 0.7 units

HAWKESBURY RACE 5:

$16 PLEIADES - WIN (sportsbet) 0.2 units
$4.60 PLEIADES - PLACE (sportsbet) 0.45 units

Overall a pleasing day as i secured overs on quite a few runners, most ran well. Around the mark and a profit was made. Take it.

+4.373 units

Overall: 34.805

 

[A11dAtP0w3R]

Feral whether in Canberra on the weekend? The MPT line has moved from 188.5 to 171.5 in one day! Wow, and ive taken the 188.5....The 171.5 line is less than the Melbourne vs Adelaide game (173.5) serious??? Lowest scoring game as predicted by the bookies for the round in fact, AMAZING, i dont bet on whether, just football, so.........

In for a dime in for a dollar

adding:

MPT: PORT VS GWS total match points over 171.5 @ $1.88 (sportsbet) 2 units

Absolutely murdered this game total line (murdered the previous line of 188.5 on Tuesday as well), proof of why i take very little attention of weather forecasts when betting on football and stick to my convictions.

+ 1.76

Overall: 36.565

 

[A11dAtP0w3R]

MULTI: COLL H2H $1.27 into HAW H2H $1.07 into PORT H2H $1.12 into ADEL H2H $1.12 @ $1.70 (sportsbet) 3.5 units
MPT: PORT VS GWS total match points over 188.5 @ $1.88 (sportsbet) 1.75 units

At least my own team screws me, meh, could be worse. Port vs GWS line described above, easy money...

-1.96 units

Overall: 34.605

 

[A11dAtP0w3R]

SC O/U: $1.87 Cale Hooker Under 108.5 (sportsbet) 1.5 units

tailed Foxy Dal here, nice find.

+1.305 units

Overall: 35.91

 

[A11dAtP0w3R]

MYMATCH: GEE $1.92 vs NTH $1.76 (sportingbet) 3 units

 

[A11dAtP0w3R]

COLL $1.92 -24.5 vs CARL (betstar) 1.333 units
DT H2H: M.Stokes $1.75 vs J.Bartel $2 (betstar) 1.5 units
DT H2H: D.Prestia $1.85 vs N.Dal Santo (sportsbet) 1.5 units
DT H2H: J.O'Meara $1.88 over D.Swallow (sportsbet) 1.25 units
DT H2H: M.Wright $2.00 over B.Smith (sportsbet) 1.2 units
DT H2H: S.Sidebottom $1.75 over B.Gibbs (sportsbet) 1.15 units
DT H2H: A.Treloar $1.70 over S.Coniglio (sportsbet) 1.1 units
DT H2H: D.Hannebery $2 over D.Zorko (sportsbet) 0.75 units
DT H2H: M.Duncan $1.95 over J.Kelly (sportsbet) 0.75 units

6/8 in DT betting, two losing bets at opposite ends. Stokes goes down by 4 points, 110 to 114, Bartel played a lot more midfield today, it happens. Didnt see the Dees getting close to Adelaide, spent more time in Melbourne's forward half than i thought it would, Smith dominated Wright.

+3.998 units

Overall: 39.908

 

[A11dAtP0w3R]

MYMATCH: GEE $1.92 vs NTH $1.76 (sportingbet) 3 units

Needed 28 points from Geelong at half time for this bet to salute, like to say never in doubt but after an 8 point third quarter there was a slight concern. Still its gets up with 8 minutes left on the clock.

+2.76 units

Overall: 42.668

 

[A11dAtP0w3R]

ESS $1.92 -26.5 vs BRIS (sportsbet) 1.95 units
MPT: ESS vs BRIS total match point under 171.5 points @ $1.88 (sportsbet) 1.5 units
Lowest scoring match of the round: WB vs MELB @ $2.75 (sportsbet) 0.6 units
Lowest scoring team of the round: Brisbane @ $5.50 (sportsbet) 0.25 units