Remember that Butts has to be added to the senior list next year too, as this is his third and final year he can spend on the rookie listMurray is only contracted for this year, and effectively takes Gibbs' position on the list.
There is currently no replacement for Stengle. Assuming we don't make any selections at the mid-season draft, that would be one less vacancy we will need to create at the end of the year.
I think Mackay & Davis are certainties to depart, but both are on the rookie list. The only way that helps us meet the minimum 3 ND selections is if we move someone else (e.g. Lynch) to the rookie list in their place.
It's hard to see Strachan getting another contract, but stranger things have happened.
It's quite possible that Stengle, Mackay & Davis are our only departures. That would meet our ND requirement, if we then shuffle 2 players from the senior list to the rookie list.
I reckon both Lynch and Seedsman could be shuffled. Teams seem to be doing that more and more with experienced players
Assuming we keep one mid-season draft guy on our list (out of the two we likely take), Strachan/Mackay/Davis get delisted and Butts gets elevated, that leaves one rookie spot to fill, I believe. With Stengle, Lynch and Seedsman taken off the senior list and Butts added, that's already two spots to fill, without taking into account other guys that could leave/be delisted