Analysis AFL 2019 punting thread

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Snake_Baker

L'enfant terrible
Apr 24, 2013
44,711
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inside your head
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North Melbourne
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The Unicornia Reactants
Round 16

Goal: To profit one carton of beer per week over the AFL season.
Starting pool: $460
Loss: $31.72
Betting allocation per round: $20

Cunnington (Highest sillycoach points): $3.25
Fyfe (Highest sillycoach points): $3.00
Richmond (head to head): $1.22
GWS (head to head): $1.35

Odds: $16.05

Pay: $321.00
 

Snake_Baker

L'enfant terrible
Apr 24, 2013
44,711
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inside your head
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Here you are rickety & Sillygit, I reckon these are good odds:


Cunnington (highest supercoach points) @ $3.25
Fyfe (highest supercoach points) @ $3.00
Fyfe/Gaff (both 30+) @ $2.75
Ziebell (25+/1+ goal) @ $3.00

Re: Cunners bet

Last 3 rounds: Marshall is the highest ranked bloke (134) followed by Cunners (112.3), Billings (112) then Goldy (106.3). Marshall will come back to earth vs Goldy this week, and I suspect Dumont will shadow Billings.

Over the course of the season Cunners leads all comers in this match.

Multiply him in to GWS (H2H) @ 1.35 = $4.40
 
Last edited:

Sillygit

Senior List
Mar 6, 2019
296
639
AFL Club
North Melbourne
Here you are rickety & Sillygit, I reckon these are good odds:


Cunnington (highest supercoach points) @ $3.25
Fyfe (highest supercoach points) @ $3.25
Fyfe/Gaff (both 30+) @ $2.75
Ziebell (25+/1+ goal) @ $3.00

Re: Cunners bet

Last 3 rounds: Marshall is the highest ranked bloke (134) followed by Cunners (112.3), Billings (112) then Goldy (106.3). Marshall will come back to earth vs Goldy this week, and I suspect Dumont will shadow Billings.

Over the course of the season Cunners leads all comers in this match.

Multiply him in to GWS (H2H) @ 1.35 = $4.40
That sounds a good one, on it.
 

Sillygit

Senior List
Mar 6, 2019
296
639
AFL Club
North Melbourne
Here you are rickety & Sillygit, I reckon these are good odds:


Cunnington (highest supercoach points) @ $3.25
Fyfe (highest supercoach points) @ $3.00
Fyfe/Gaff (both 30+) @ $2.75
Ziebell (25+/1+ goal) @ $3.00

Re: Cunners bet

Last 3 rounds: Marshall is the highest ranked bloke (134) followed by Cunners (112.3), Billings (112) then Goldy (106.3). Marshall will come back to earth vs Goldy this week, and I suspect Dumont will shadow Billings.

Over the course of the season Cunners leads all comers in this match.

Multiply him in to GWS (H2H) @ 1.35 = $4.40
Those ziebell odds seemed the best to me, mostly cause i know nothing about supercoach stuff. Might have been because im clueless sometimes but i couldnt get that into a multi, so just chucked a tenner on it.
 

rickety

Premium Platinum
Nov 3, 2007
5,674
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North Melbourne
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swfc, carrum cowboys
Here you are rickety & Sillygit, I reckon these are good odds:


Cunnington (highest supercoach points) @ $3.25
Fyfe (highest supercoach points) @ $3.00
Fyfe/Gaff (both 30+) @ $2.75
Ziebell (25+/1+ goal) @ $3.00

Re: Cunners bet

Last 3 rounds: Marshall is the highest ranked bloke (134) followed by Cunners (112.3), Billings (112) then Goldy (106.3). Marshall will come back to earth vs Goldy this week, and I suspect Dumont will shadow Billings.

Over the course of the season Cunners leads all comers in this match.

Multiply him in to GWS (H2H) @ 1.35 = $4.40
Doesn't look like they have supercoach points on bet365 :-(
 

Sillygit

Senior List
Mar 6, 2019
296
639
AFL Club
North Melbourne
Doesn't look like they have supercoach points on bet365 :-(
Actually thats something i was curious about if you fellas have an idea. I go through TAB, is there any real benefit to the different options or more of a personal preference?
 

rickety

Premium Platinum
Nov 3, 2007
5,674
10,714
Postmans' Reef
AFL Club
North Melbourne
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swfc, carrum cowboys
Actually thats something i was curious about if you fellas have an idea. I go through TAB, is there any real benefit to the different options or more of a personal preference?
Mate I am a lazy punter just chucking a few bob about for a giggle. Sometimes I laugh a bit longer :) Only went with Bet365 because I wanted to watch an EFL match before the league hd figured out their tv rights. A nate at work is on the TAB and he comes up with all sorts of multis
 

rickety

Premium Platinum
Nov 3, 2007
5,674
10,714
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AFL Club
North Melbourne
Other Teams
swfc, carrum cowboys
When you are going nuts as the New Zealand Warriors get up by the skin of their teeth, you have backed a winner and 2 placings at the races, a tennis winner and then your multi is shot to bits by stupid geelong. Time for both of those Scott brothers to slink off
 

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Sillygit

Senior List
Mar 6, 2019
296
639
AFL Club
North Melbourne
Those ziebell odds seemed the best to me, mostly cause i know nothing about supercoach stuff. Might have been because im clueless sometimes but i couldnt get that into a multi, so just chucked a tenner on it.
One possession off. If i didnt have bad luck blah blah blah.
 

Snake_Baker

L'enfant terrible
Apr 24, 2013
44,711
81,842
inside your head
AFL Club
North Melbourne
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The Unicornia Reactants
Okey dokey, not so good last week

Round 17

Goal: To profit one carton of beer per week over the AFL season.
Starting pool: $460
Loss: $51.72
Betting allocation per round: $20

Multi:

Kruezer (125+ SC): $2.50 - Going well at the moment and playing on Allir in the ruck. My bet of the round.
Goldsetein (125+ SC): $2.10 - Going well at the moment and playing on Z. Clarke/McKernan in the ruck.
Adelaide (score 90+ only): $1.65 - Playing Gold Coast up there in good weather. Kicked 93 v Brisbane at the Gabba 6 weeks ago.
Oliver (30+): $1.55 - Gawn vs English? LOL. Averages 30, and he'll get an arm chair ride.
Rockliff (30+): $1.60 - Possession accumulator who will be best suited by wet conditions in Adelaide.

Value: $21.48

Payout: $429.60

There's some definite value there.
 

hilly

Brownlow Medallist
Nov 27, 2000
10,178
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North Melbourne
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Triple M commentary team
Actually thats something i was curious about if you fellas have an idea. I go through TAB, is there any real benefit to the different options or more of a personal preference?
Depends if there are specific markets you have in mind. Be careful though as the most exotic markets tend to have poorer margins (i.e. the house percentage is high).
 

SpiderBurton22

Norm Smith Medallist
Mar 17, 2012
6,864
18,613
Caught in the web.
AFL Club
North Melbourne
Okey dokey, not so good last week

Round 17

Goal: To profit one carton of beer per week over the AFL season.
Starting pool: $460
Loss: $51.72
Betting allocation per round: $20

Multi:

Kruezer (125+ SC): $2.50 - Going well at the moment and playing on Allir in the ruck. My bet of the round.
Goldsetein (125+ SC): $2.10 - Going well at the moment and playing on Z. Clarke/McKernan in the ruck.
Adelaide (score 90+ only): $1.65 - Playing Gold Coast up there in good weather. Kicked 93 v Brisbane at the Gabba 6 weeks ago.
Oliver (30+): $1.55 - Gawn vs English? LOL. Averages 30, and he'll get an arm chair ride.
Rockliff (30+): $1.60 - Possession accumulator who will be best suited by wet conditions in Adelaide.

Value: $21.48

Payout: $429.60

There's some definite value there.
You've changed man. 😡

SC is for the tip.
 
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