Analysis AFL 2019 punting thread

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muttley45

Premium Gold
May 4, 2009
12,208
17,077
North Melbourne
AFL Club
North Melbourne
Other Teams
Indianapolis Colts
I call this Gilligan's Good for Business multi :All H2H,

$20 on Collingwood @$2.35/Richmond @$1.50/Carlton @$1.90/Brisbane @$1.70

= 11.39-1 for $227.80 return
Gilligan has also stated more than once that a successful * team is good for business, but my principles would not allow me to include them, as it would have meant hoping they would win.
 

Snake_Baker

L'enfant terrible
Apr 24, 2013
49,279
94,225
inside your head
AFL Club
North Melbourne
Other Teams
The Unicornia Reactants
Rightio, let's roll the dice

Round 23

Goal: To profit one carton of beer per week over the AFL season.
Starting pool: $460
Loss: $151.72
Betting allocation per round: $20

Multi:

North score 90+ only @ $1.85
Higgins 30+ @ $2.25
T. Thomas to kick a goal @ $1.40
Bulldogs score 90+ only @ $2.00
Heeney 2 goals/Sydney win @ $3.00
Kelly 25+/Cameron 2+ goals @ $1.40

= $48.95

Payout: $979.00
 

muttley45

Premium Gold
May 4, 2009
12,208
17,077
North Melbourne
AFL Club
North Melbourne
Other Teams
Indianapolis Colts
$20 Collingwood by 40+ @ $2.35/North by 40+ @ $2.80/Port Adelaide by 40+ @ $3.20 = 21.056 for $421.10 collect.

I have a feeling I am ahead for the year and will do an audit next week sometime.
Curse you Buckley, 26 scoring shots to 15, Grundy has an absolute picnic all night, and all you can manage is an 11 pt win v * VFL team
 

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tazaa

Brownlow Medallist
Apr 11, 2007
21,432
27,304
Melbourne
AFL Club
North Melbourne
Other Teams
Liverpool
A good chance.

Wonder what his cashout value is now. Just remebered, he had a cash out of $19,000 at one stage.
It was 10k before Cameron got injured and then he wins Coleman, Neales brownlow odds shortened and they offer 5k? Sportsbet are crooks

Neales 51 touches today locks in 3 more votes and Fyfe didn’t do much the past couple of weeks

Hope he lets it ride
 

LuvtheKangas

Brownlow Medallist
Mar 11, 2006
15,017
30,200
Bottom of the ladder
AFL Club
North Melbourne
It was 10k before Cameron got injured and then he wins Coleman, Neales brownlow odds shortened and they offer 5k? Sportsbet are crooks

Neales 51 touches today locks in 3 more votes and Fyfe didn’t do much the past couple of weeks

Hope he lets it ride
Yeah, Sportsbet are pathetic. I have the Walsh-Rising Star / Neale-Brownlow double $20 @ 25.29 so collect is worth $506.

They've already paid Walsh as the RS winner, Neale shortened to $6 today and the cashout value is $59.25. Cheap.

Just means I let it ride (which I probably would have done anyway).
 

hilly

Brownlow Medallist
Nov 27, 2000
10,594
12,892
Frank Grey Smith Bar
AFL Club
North Melbourne
Other Teams
Triple M commentary team
Because it's a certain payout whilst what you've bet on remains uncertain. You've already earned a return by the odds of what you bet on reducing since you bet.
I think the expected value is 99.9% of the time superior to what Sportsbet etc offer.

On SM-G950F using BigFooty.com mobile app
 

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