Sillygit
Norm Smith Medallist
- Mar 6, 2019
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* sake.
Analysis AFL 2019 punting thread
- Thread starter Snake_Baker
- Start date
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Snake_Baker
The one true King of the North
- Apr 24, 2013
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Round 16
Goal: To profit one carton of beer per week over the AFL season.
Starting pool: $460
Loss: $31.72
Betting allocation per round: $20
Cunnington (Highest sillycoach points): $3.25
Fyfe (Highest sillycoach points): $3.00
Richmond (head to head): $1.22
GWS (head to head): $1.35
Odds: $16.05
Pay: $321.00
Goal: To profit one carton of beer per week over the AFL season.
Starting pool: $460
Loss: $31.72
Betting allocation per round: $20
Cunnington (Highest sillycoach points): $3.25
Fyfe (Highest sillycoach points): $3.00
Richmond (head to head): $1.22
GWS (head to head): $1.35
Odds: $16.05
Pay: $321.00
Snake_Baker
The one true King of the North
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Here you are rickety & Sillygit, I reckon these are good odds:
Cunnington (highest supercoach points) @ $3.25
Fyfe (highest supercoach points) @ $3.00
Fyfe/Gaff (both 30+) @ $2.75
Ziebell (25+/1+ goal) @ $3.00
Re: Cunners bet
Last 3 rounds: Marshall is the highest ranked bloke (134) followed by Cunners (112.3), Billings (112) then Goldy (106.3). Marshall will come back to earth vs Goldy this week, and I suspect Dumont will shadow Billings.
Over the course of the season Cunners leads all comers in this match.
Multiply him in to GWS (H2H) @ 1.35 = $4.40
Cunnington (highest supercoach points) @ $3.25
Fyfe (highest supercoach points) @ $3.00
Fyfe/Gaff (both 30+) @ $2.75
Ziebell (25+/1+ goal) @ $3.00
Re: Cunners bet
Last 3 rounds: Marshall is the highest ranked bloke (134) followed by Cunners (112.3), Billings (112) then Goldy (106.3). Marshall will come back to earth vs Goldy this week, and I suspect Dumont will shadow Billings.
Over the course of the season Cunners leads all comers in this match.
Multiply him in to GWS (H2H) @ 1.35 = $4.40
Last edited:
Sillygit
Norm Smith Medallist
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That sounds a good one, on it.
Not sure Investing is a terribly accurate description of what is going on here
Sillygit
Norm Smith Medallist
- Mar 6, 2019
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Those ziebell odds seemed the best to me, mostly cause i know nothing about supercoach stuff. Might have been because im clueless sometimes but i couldnt get that into a multi, so just chucked a tenner on it.
Haha. Have hit a massive dry spell, was $120 up at one stage now almost back to level.
rickety
Brownlow Medallist
Doesn't look like they have supercoach points on bet365 :-(
Sillygit
Norm Smith Medallist
- Mar 6, 2019
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Actually thats something i was curious about if you fellas have an idea. I go through TAB, is there any real benefit to the different options or more of a personal preference?
rickety
Brownlow Medallist
Mate I am a lazy punter just chucking a few bob about for a giggle. Sometimes I laugh a bit longer
Only went with Bet365 because I wanted to watch an EFL match before the league hd figured out their tv rights. A nate at work is on the TAB and he comes up with all sorts of multis
rickety
Brownlow Medallist
When you are going nuts as the New Zealand Warriors get up by the skin of their teeth, you have backed a winner and 2 placings at the races, a tennis winner and then your multi is shot to bits by stupid geelong. Time for both of those Scott brothers to slink off
Sillygit
Norm Smith Medallist
- Mar 6, 2019
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One possession off. If i didnt have bad luck blah blah blah.
One point off 40+ big win bet.
One. Point.
I'm so salty right now.
One. Point.
I'm so salty right now.
Stiff, last 30 seconds too.
Tipped Carlton too and they blew it in the dying moments.
Luck is not smiling on me today.
Snake_Baker
The one true King of the North
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Okey dokey, not so good last week
Round 17
Goal: To profit one carton of beer per week over the AFL season.
Starting pool: $460
Loss: $51.72
Betting allocation per round: $20
Multi:
Kruezer (125+ SC): $2.50 - Going well at the moment and playing on Allir in the ruck. My bet of the round.
Goldsetein (125+ SC): $2.10 - Going well at the moment and playing on Z. Clarke/McKernan in the ruck.
Adelaide (score 90+ only): $1.65 - Playing Gold Coast up there in good weather. Kicked 93 v Brisbane at the Gabba 6 weeks ago.
Oliver (30+): $1.55 - Gawn vs English? LOL. Averages 30, and he'll get an arm chair ride.
Rockliff (30+): $1.60 - Possession accumulator who will be best suited by wet conditions in Adelaide.
Value: $21.48
Payout: $429.60
There's some definite value there.
Round 17
Goal: To profit one carton of beer per week over the AFL season.
Starting pool: $460
Loss: $51.72
Betting allocation per round: $20
Multi:
Kruezer (125+ SC): $2.50 - Going well at the moment and playing on Allir in the ruck. My bet of the round.
Goldsetein (125+ SC): $2.10 - Going well at the moment and playing on Z. Clarke/McKernan in the ruck.
Adelaide (score 90+ only): $1.65 - Playing Gold Coast up there in good weather. Kicked 93 v Brisbane at the Gabba 6 weeks ago.
Oliver (30+): $1.55 - Gawn vs English? LOL. Averages 30, and he'll get an arm chair ride.
Rockliff (30+): $1.60 - Possession accumulator who will be best suited by wet conditions in Adelaide.
Value: $21.48
Payout: $429.60
There's some definite value there.
- Nov 27, 2000
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Depends if there are specific markets you have in mind. Be careful though as the most exotic markets tend to have poorer margins (i.e. the house percentage is high).
muttley45
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Bulldogs, going for a hat trick and expected to win, therefore I will $20 multi GoDees by 1-39 @ $2.90/Nth by 1-39 @ $2.50 = $ 7.25-1
- Apr 8, 2010
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This’ll get up...
$20 on WC 1-39/Sidebottom 25+/Syd/Haw @ $5.45 for a return of $109.00
So far $220 invested for $238.60 return.
So far $220 invested for $238.60 return.
FMD, 3 out of the last 4 weeks I've had teams 3 goals up in the last quarter, only to get done.
Sillygit
Norm Smith Medallist
- Mar 6, 2019
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Seems the overwhelming majority of mine fall on the first leg.
rickety
Brownlow Medallist
Did WC back Collingwood??
