Autopsy AFL 2020 Round 18 - Swans v Cats Sun September 20th 3:35pm AEST (Metricon) Match Highlights in OP

Who will win and by how much?

  • Swans by a goal or less

    Votes: 2 10.5%
  • Cats by a goal or less

    Votes: 1 5.3%
  • Swans by 7 - 20

    Votes: 4 21.1%
  • Cats by 7 - 20

    Votes: 4 21.1%
  • Swans by a lot

    Votes: 1 5.3%
  • Cats by a lot

    Votes: 7 36.8%
  • Draw

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • Total voters
    19
  • Poll closed .

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BartBart

Premiership Player
Mar 30, 2008
4,949
4,318
Perth
AFL Club
West Coast
But it is legal so what’s the problem? It’s never been something that’s been policed
Sigh... it is legal if it is part of a legitimate attempt at a mark.

You can't do it to clear space, LAND back on the ground & then mark it.

So don't write obituaries for a proper high mark just yet.
 

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The 747

Brownlow Medallist
Jan 19, 2008
16,602
19,305
Melbourne
AFL Club
Geelong
He only runs when he has the ball. He is extremely lazy in defence and there was a mark he missed near the boundary line where he completely gave up and lay on the ground while the Swans player collected the ball without pressure
I am all for bagging Gary Rohan but that play he ran himself to exhaustion which is why he crashed.
 

PhatBoy

Brownlow Medallist
May 5, 2016
22,033
23,497
AFL Club
Geelong
Sigh... it is legal if it is part of a legitimate attempt at a mark.

You can't do it to clear space, LAND back on the ground & then mark it.

So don't write obituaries for a proper high mark just yet.
he doesn’t sit there with an atomic clock knowing the exact second the ball is going to drop.

yes he does it to clear space but I very much doubt he also thinks ‘I’ll jump, knee him in the head, get him out of the way, land, steady, and mark.’

it’s just a simple attempt to take a mark and keep his space at the same time
 

PhatBoy

Brownlow Medallist
May 5, 2016
22,033
23,497
AFL Club
Geelong
He only runs when he has the ball. He is extremely lazy in defence and there was a mark he missed near the boundary line where he completely gave up and lay on the ground while the Swans player collected the ball without pressure
lol.

no he doesn’t mate.
 

Generalissimo

His Excellency
Jul 14, 2002
5,037
3,928
Somewhere
AFL Club
Geelong
Other Teams
The Mighty Cats
Geelong ALWAYS win the close games!
It can't be luck, surely.
We've been so good so long, that's why. Statistics and probability.

Imagine, for the sake of argument, that because of our skill we are on average a 3 goal better side than other teams.

Now, every game is going to have some scatter around that mean 3 goal margin. One goal either way is going to be more common than two goals either way; that is, we're more likely to win by two or four goals than by one or five goals. More likely to win by a goal than to break even.

That's why we have a better chance of winning by a couple of points than losing by a couple of points. The same seems to be true of every team that's been successful for a prolonged period.
 

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Coolangatta

Club Legend
Oct 27, 2007
2,967
2,418
Western Australia
AFL Club
Brisbane Lions
I'd rather play the Cats if I were Port. Yes, Geelong might hit top gear in finals and if they do, look out, but their form the past two rounds haven't been great, and historically they're awful after the bye. The Tigers, on the other hand, could beat anyone, anywhere, barring West Coast in Perth imo.
 

BartBart

Premiership Player
Mar 30, 2008
4,949
4,318
Perth
AFL Club
West Coast
he doesn’t sit there with an atomic clock knowing the exact second the ball is going to drop.

yes he does it to clear space but I very much doubt he also thinks ‘I’ll jump, knee him in the head, get him out of the way, land, steady, and mark.’

it’s just a simple attempt to take a mark and keep his space at the same time
But him landing before marking makes it an unrealistic attempt. He didn't get his hands on the ball whilst in the air which would have made it a mark.
 

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