Autopsy AFL 2021 Round 15 - Lions v Cats Thurs June 24th 7:30pm EST (Gabba)

[Wosh]

4TH V 3RD


AFL 2021 PREMIERSHIP SEASON ROUND 15
BRISBANE V GEELONG
THURSDAY JUNE 24TH 7:20PM EST (GABBA)



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TEAMS


CATS
B: T. Atkins, L. Henderson, J. Henry
HB: Z. Tuohy, T. Stewart, J. Kolodjashnij
C: I. Smith, C. Guthrie, S. Menegola
HF: L. Dahlhaus, J. Cameron, B. Parfitt
F: P. Dangerfield, T. Hawkins, G. Rohan
FOLL: M. Blicavs, C. Guthrie, J. Selwood - C

I/C: J. Bews, E. Ratugolea, S. Higgins, B. Close
EMG: G. Miers, Q. Narkle, Z. Guthrie, R. Stanley

In: - L.Henderson
Out: - M.Duncan (Injured), Q.Narkle (Omitted)

LIONS
B: C. Ah Chee, H. Andrews, B. Starcevich
HB: D. Rich, M. Adams, G. Birchall
C: Z. Bailey, L. Neale, H. McCluggage
HF: D. Zorko J. Daniher, L. McCarthy
F: D. McStay, E. Hipwood, C. Cameron
FOLL: O. Mc2Inerney, J. Lyons, M. Robinson

I/C: D. Robertson, K. Coleman, J. Prior, J. Madden
EMG: T. Berry, R. Mathieson, C. Ballenden, J. Payne

In: - D. Zorko
Out: - R. Mathieson (Omitted), T. Berry (Medi-Sub)







​

 

[bungalow_bill]

Lions not in the best form right now and the Cats are flying. Cats by 2-3 goals

 

[Power Raid]

cats looking good at the moment

but what a ripping contest it will be

 

[blueiris]

Lions not in the best form right now and the Cats are flying. Cats by 2-3 goals

Brisbane Lions have been pretty much unstoppable at home this year though Geelong on the road haven’t been fantastic
Lions by 15 points

 

[JohnZ]

Geelong on the road haven’t been fantastic

We beat richmond by 60?

 

[M Malice]

Should be an absolute belter, can't wait to get to the Gabba on Thursday night, only 3 sleeps to go.

 

[bungalow_bill]

We beat richmond by 60?

Yeah think the Cats are pretty much unstoppable right now though more so at home. Hoping for a Lions win but think the Cats will get up in a close one

 

[PhatBoy]

We won’t know what to do on a ground with extra width

 

[Sherrinator]

We won’t know what to do on a ground with extra width

Heaps more area for Selwood to grub it up

 

[Sttew]

We beat richmond by 60?

And Power in Adelaide

 

[The 747]

Tough one Brisbane are a good side. Expect the home factor will get them over the line in the return.

*Unless Brisbane try their kicking points gameplan again

 

[Xtreme]

Lions to get the win with a reversal of fortune to the conclusion of their match earlier this year.

The Lions to roar by 7 points

 

[juss]

Match of the round

At the Gabba I'm always tipping the Lions

 

[Section 5]

We beat richmond by 60?

True
But your only losses were away games to Crows, Swans & Demons
Should be a good game and could go either way
Not sure why bookies have Lions favorites Lions $1.68 Cats $2.20

 

[Section 5]

Fairly even matchup

Brisbane Lions	Average Per Game	Geelong Cats
231.9	Kicks	226.3
122.7	Handballs	167.5
354.6	Disposals	393.8
97.9	Marks	102.6
13.4	Goals	12.8
11.3	Behinds	10.9
24.7	Scoring Shots	23.7
56.1	Tackles	57.8
29.4	Hitouts	31.5
20.2	Frees For	18.9
21.0	Frees Against	18.9
8.9	Goal Assists	9.5
56.5	Inside 50s	53.5
145.5	Contested Possessions	139.7
202.5	Uncontested Possessions	249.3
249.8	Effective Disposals	295.4
70.4%	Disposal Efficiency %	75%
58.8	Clangers	53.4
12.8	Contested Marks	11.6
12.1	Marks Inside 50	12.5
37.9	Clearances	38.9
13.1	Centre Clearances	11.2
24.8	Stoppage Clearances	27.6
39.0	Rebound 50s	35.6
47.4	One Percenters	45.5
2.0	Bounces	4.4
1.89	Kick to Handball Ratio	1.35
54.3%	Conversion	54.0%
26.46	Disposals Per Goal	30.77
14.36	Disposals Per Scoring Shot	16.62
5892.9	Metres Gained	5699.6
71.9	Turnovers	62.6
74.7	Intercepts	63.6
9.7	Tackles Inside 50	11.0

 

[Lsta062]

The problem that Brisbane have with Geelong is the air IMO. They get dominated there too much whenever they play them. The one win that they had in 2019 over Geelong saw Brisbane take that away from them (91 marks - 53 marks Brisbane’s way). They need to do a similar thing this week. Alternatively, they can win by pressuring them into turning the ball over like Richmond do, but it’s hard to do that with the new rules favouring marking sides. Even Richmond who beat Geelong in that way struggled to do that against them this year.

Don’t know who I want to win and who will win, but I expect that at least one side will put on a really good show.

 

[timokane]

Lions to win by 14 points should be a good game but lions to get the job done cats are due for a lose

 

[JohnZ]

But your only losses were away games to Crows, Swans & Demons

Crows: Red hot off pre-season and juiced on confidence, we had one month less time to prepare and was very rusty/unfit. Missing Cameron which has made a huge difference (look at our record before/after)
Swans: Not sure what happened there. We led by 30 at QT and also should've won with a mark paid on the siren (oh well)
Demons: Top team on the ladder so no surprises, again missing Cameron which made us play more defensive rather than offensive.

If we played the Crows or Swans again I'd be confident that we would beat them with our current side. Melbourne I'm looking forward to playing in Rd23 down at the Cattery. Should be a good test for us, just as Brisbane at the GABBA will be for us this Thursday.

 

[Chinacats]

Lions off 5 day break from Tasmania. Could equalize the home ground advantage. O'Connor to Neale again ? Maybe Zorko, Lyon? Big dogs for Brisbane up front might be an issue for cats with Blics up the field. close game

 

[Section 5]

Crows: Red hot off pre-season and juiced on confidence, we had one month less time to prepare and was very rusty/unfit. Missing Cameron which has made a huge difference (look at our record before/after)
Swans: Not sure what happened there. We led by 30 at QT and also should've won with a mark paid on the siren (oh well)
Demons: Top team on the ladder so no surprises, again missing Cameron which made us play more defensive rather than offensive.

If we played the Crows or Swans again I'd be confident that we would beat them with our current side. Melbourne I'm looking forward to playing in Rd23 down at the Cattery. Should be a good test for us, just as Brisbane at the GABBA will be for us this Thursday.

Agree with all that
Just pointing out that they were all in fact away games
It is a fact that playing away but more to the point playing interstate is more difficult for all teams
Lions have lost 4 games.
Round 1 v Swans at home. Both the Cats & Lions were expected to win those round 1 games. Swans finished 16th and Crows 18th in 2020
The Lions 3 other losses all away against Cats, Demons, & Dogs
Can't wait to attend Thursday evening should be a cracker

 

[BangyBangy]

Lions off 5 day break from Tasmania. Could equalize the home ground advantage. O'Connor to Neale again ? Maybe Zorko, Lyon? Big dogs for Brisbane up front might be an issue for cats with Blics up the field. close game

Not sure the five day break will be an issue given we're fresh off the bye. I still expect O'Connor goes to Neale. If he doesn't he'll get 30+. Would be interesting if he tries to tag Lyon. Has anyone ever tried? Probably not worth tagging, wasn't in the suns best 22. Lions by 19.

 

[bungalow_bill]

Not sure the five day break will be an issue given we're fresh off the bye.

Agreed and further we didn't really expend too much energy V North. We may be primed to hit close to peak form this game

 

[BangyBangy]

Agreed and further we didn't really expend too much energy V North. We may be primed to hit close to peak form this game

So we might lose by 2-3 goals rather than 5-6?

 

[Sherrinator]

I feel like we are a bit lean in the midfield with Lachie still adjusting since his injury. A fair few young guys with way too low TOG as well makes me think the Cats will run over us like Melb did the 2nd half.

 

[JohnZ]

Chief game is at 7.32pm