Autopsy AFL 2022 Round 22 - Swans v Pies Sun August 14th 3:20pm EST (SCG)

[PieLebo87]

“Hey PieLebo87 , who’s your tip for this one?”

Me:

 

[Corn Cobbers]

Pies by the length of Flemington

... in furlongs?

 

[domus]

Let's hope the flu struck underdogs have enough energy left to cause one more upset.

 

[yeee_haaaa!!!!!]

Swans the hottest of favourites. Based on no logic whatsoever. On form, pies clearly should be favourites slightly. At the scg evens it up a bit, to a genuine toss of the coin. pies 2.76 in betting? Crikey

 

[Number37]

Should be a cracking game for 3 quarters, then the Swans will carve up the Pies to win by 40 points.

 

[South of the Yarra]

... in furlongs?

Definitely Furlongs

 

[South of the Yarra]

Swans have dropped a couple of crucial games at the SCG this year. They are very vulnerable there

 

[Number37]

Swans have dropped a couple of crucial games at the SCG this year. They are very vulnerable there

The big wet in Sydney might explain our up and down form.
We play our best when it isn't wet.

 

[South of the Yarra]

The big wet in Sydney might explain our up and down form.
We play our best when it isn't wet.

11mm to fall on the SCG between Friday and Sunday

 

[Number37]

11mm to fall on the SCG between Friday and Sunday

Pies like to play fairly open and attacking footy so while it might be a disadvantage to us that it is wet, IMO it is not necessarily an advantage to the Pies if it is wet.

 

[Xtreme]

Sydney by 80

Buddy to kick 9 goals

 

[South of the Yarra]

Pies like to play fairly open and attacking footy so while it might be a disadvantage to us that it is wet, IMO it is not necessarily an advantage to the Pies if it is wet.

Pies love the wet

 

[Number37]

Sydney by 80

Buddy to kick 9 goals

Maybe if we didn't trade Mitchell for a packet of chips we could win by 80.
Imagine how good we would be with Mitchell getting 500 possessions, running around in circles.
If he'd won 5 Brownlows some people would still argue it was a smart move by the Swans to trade him.
On the other hand, if we'd won 5 flags, then other people would still argue it wasn't a smart move by the Swans to trade Mitchell.
Hindsight that consists entirely of fantasy is always a good way to evaluate success or failure...just ask Carlton or Essendon.
Also, our coach is f'n terrible. Has no idea.
Imagine how good we would be if we had a coach.

<sarcasm>

 

[Number37]

Pies love the wet

How many times have you played in the wet in Sydney this year?

 

[mattpolo8]

Swans the hottest of favourites. Based on no logic whatsoever. On form, pies clearly should be favourites slightly. At the scg evens it up a bit, to a genuine toss of the coin. pies 2.76 in betting? Crikey

Completely disagree. One would argue Sydney are currently playing a better style of footy then Collingwood right now. This would mean they are more likely to win. Our form at home is good this year. Your form at the SCG isn't. Hence the betting odds.

 

[South of the Yarra]

How many times have you played in the wet in Sydney this year?

Is Sydney wet different to other wet?

 

[South of the Yarra]

Completely disagree. One would argue Sydney are currently playing a better style of footy then Collingwood right now. This would mean they are more likely to win. Our form at home is good this year. Your form at the SCG isn't. Hence the betting odds.

Our form is better at the SCG this year. You have lost two games, we are undefeated

 

[Number37]

Is Sydney wet different to other wet?

There's 2 parts to it.
1. There's wet during play or on the day of the game... AKA rain.
2. There's pissing down rain for 6 months straight leaving the playing surface water logged.

 

[South of the Yarra]

There's 2 parts to it.
1. There's wet during play or on the day of the game... AKA rain.
2. There's pissing down rain for 6 months straight leaving the playing surface water logged.

The wetter the better

 

[Number37]

Our form is better at the SCG this year. You have lost two games, we are undefeated

We have a higher SCG winning percentage.
Yours is 0%
Ours is 73%

 

[PieLebo87]

That’s an odd perspective Number37

We belted Freo in the wet at the start of our run and have won numerous games in the wet this year. Pies enjoy the wet weather. Not sure how the Swans handle it, but no complaints from Pies fans if the ground is a bit slippery.

 

[Number37]

That’s an odd perspective Number37

We belted Freo in the wet at the start of our run and have won numerous games in the wet this year. Pies enjoy the wet weather. Not sure how the Swans handle it, but no complaints from Pies fans if the ground is a bit slippery.

I didn't say Pies don't enjoy the wet or that you are bad in the wet.
I said we play better when it isn't wet.
With Sydney being water drenched for the last 6 months we have had no choice but to play in the wet, so we've become used to it.
Hence the supposition that we play better when it isn't wet but it being wet isn't going to advantage the Pies.

 

[South of the Yarra]

We have a higher SCG winning percentage.
Yours is 0%
Ours is 73%

But you have a far higher losing percentage at the SCG

 

[Zevon]

But you have a far higher losing percentage at the SCG

To be fair, if you focus on more current stats and filter it down to games played at the SCG on or after 11 August 2022 it significantly reduces any advantage to either side:

Sydney 0%
Collingwood 0%

Impossible to pick a winner. Draw.

 

[MF]

Swans the hottest of favourites. Based on no logic whatsoever. On form, pies clearly should be favourites slightly. At the scg evens it up a bit, to a genuine toss of the coin. pies 2.76 in betting? Crikey

Yeah pies fans should be loading up on that. Form team of the comp, Top 2, Love the wet weather and have no fear of the SCG. Very juicy odds.