AFL 'Bet of the Round' POTY

Should we allow members 1 pass per year?

  • YES

    Votes: 4 80.0%
  • NO

    Votes: 1 20.0%

  • Total voters
    5
  • Poll closed .

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JuniorWatch

Club Legend
Jun 13, 2016
1,443
2,186
AFL Club
Essendon
Well what a ripsnorter of a final round. Lids and NP who've been bobbing heads all year both win their bets but Lids comes good with a Josh Caddy hail mary to take the top spot. Mookieb had a great line multi at the end to shoot from 7th to 3rd.
Was great to see people's specialities form as the year went on.
Lids nailing some big tigers bets. 9/11 bets were on the tigers.
NP as ever hot on the GS markets.
Langdon excellent on the TP lines hitting 7/8 when just going a single line.
Ohhok consistent all year picking the best from all over the market.
The group ROI is 19%, meaning that if you took all the bets on the board all year, you'd be doing very well for yourself.
So well done everyone and thanks for participating.
There's murmuring around the punting board water cooler that someone, possibly the Grot might be running a finals tipping comp.
If you want your individual spreadsheets, DM me.

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OhhDeledio

Club Legend
Jul 30, 2014
2,992
6,117
Melbourne
AFL Club
Richmond
Lynch 2+ @ 2.90 tab

good odds for someone who is 9/15. ill back in lynchy to get it done against a stingy cats defence. dont think it will be that wet either, but it shouldnt effect him to much if it is. has been pretty good in the wet from memory.
 

burge13

Club Legend
Jan 25, 2019
2,724
3,840
AFL Club
Adelaide
Duncan disposals group 2 @ 2.80
Freo win @ 1.50
Pies -10.5 @ 1.62

$6.80 @ SB

Duncan class above the rest of the group
North are tanking, Freo aren't that bad
Pies playing for finals spots still v GCS who aren't and look a little sorer/slower than earlier in the year
 

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NonPhixion

Bookie Assassin
Mar 27, 2018
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Collingwood -19.5 + Papley AGS $2.93 - Lads
don't like betting on my own team, but this is the best spot for Collingwood on the line all year in my eyes. GC have been trending down for several weeks, they have checked out of the season imo. Pies playing for a spot in the 8, they should be nice and fresh off the bye, Grundy will benefit massively from it has hes looked cooked for weeks. Treloar will bolster the midfield and De Goey completely changes the forward structure which has looked sub-par with his absence. Think the line should be about 30 here.
Adding Papley as hes got some value after a quiet few weeks, but the Paps is one of the most reliable goalkickers of the last 2 years, has kicked a goal in 31 of his last 36 games.
Edit - Also adding to the Papley stats, in those 5 games he hasnt kicked a goal: 0.2, 0.3, 0.3, 0.0, 0.2. So the only game hes failed to score in the last 2 years was against Fremantle where Sydney only managed 2 goals for the game against a suffocating defense. I will run around Flinders street naked with no mask on if he doesnt atleast score in this game.
 
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JuniorWatch

Club Legend
Jun 13, 2016
1,443
2,186
AFL Club
Essendon
Dunkley AGS/McLean 15+
$3.50
Dunkley 3/4 AGS last 4 games
Mclean 20 poss last week in tagging role.
Usually Hawks can't defend poss or strong fwds reason. Dunkley going fwd and McLean going into the middle was important last week for the dogs and hopefully crazy bevo stays with what works but you never know with that guy.
 

JuniorWatch

Club Legend
Jun 13, 2016
1,443
2,186
AFL Club
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Loving Langdon's sharp shooting on the Total Points this year.
NP just keeps hitting solid odds bets but is catchable as we roll into the last round.
Looking forward to all the hail mary bets from the pack.
Not that we've had to much of it but no doubling up in the last round.
Think we might've lost Hellboy with 2 passes in a row

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GROTTO

Hall of Famer
Jul 5, 2013
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¯\_(ツ)_/¯
Just a thought for finals, should we have a "Bet of the Game"?

There is only 9 games left after next week for the year, there is not going to be much to bet on, giving less games.
 

JuniorWatch

Club Legend
Jun 13, 2016
1,443
2,186
AFL Club
Essendon
Just a thought for finals, should we have a "Bet of the Game"?

There is only 9 games left after next week for the year, there is not going to be much to bet on, giving less games.
Yeah that could be cool.
I'm running out of gas a little with the admin though. So we could either make it non-competitive or someone else could run a thread?
 

Ohh Ok

All Australian
Jul 31, 2018
832
974
AFL Club
Adelaide
Loving Langdon's sharp shooting on the Total Points this year.
NP just keeps hitting solid odds bets but is catchable as we roll into the last round.
Looking forward to all the hail mary bets from the pack.
Not that we've had to much of it but no doubling up in the last round.
Think we might've lost Hellboy with 2 passes in a row

View attachment 961480
I’ll go all out last round, what sort of odds would I need to pass NP? 😂
 

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Ohh Ok

All Australian
Jul 31, 2018
832
974
AFL Club
Adelaide
I’ve got mine ready 😬😂

GWS 40+, WB SU @ $24.48 (365)

GWS should be embarrassed by this season’s effort. Think Leon Cameron will be coaching for his job here, if it isn’t already gone. Coniglio should be back into the side who has also been a let down and has been back and forth with the media and his form all season, bounce back performance for him. They still have the right tools in the shed to win the flag, but will need a demolition job of the saints to get things done. Taking a risk due to rain being predicted during the week.

Western Bulldogs simply win and they make finals, will be a bit of confidence and buzz for them knowing that they can win a flag from back in the pack.
 

JuniorWatch

Club Legend
Jun 13, 2016
1,443
2,186
AFL Club
Essendon
Assuming NPs ROI stays the same at 140% (which it won't but for the purposed of guess work), here's the general odds you're looking for...

OhhOk 11s
Paris 13s
Langdon 11s
Mookieb 15s
Grott 18s
Squeeky 17s
Lids 7s
Karaoke 12s
Joonya 14s
Burge 22s
Sossage 17s
HellBoy 18s
Mouncey 26s
 
Last edited:

burge13

Club Legend
Jan 25, 2019
2,724
3,840
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I’ve got mine ready 😬😂

GWS 40+, WB SU @ $24.48 (365)

GWS should be embarrassed by this season’s effort. Think Leon Cameron will be coaching for his job here
Thet extended him for 2 years. For the life of me I don't know why but with the limits on soft caps now, he's safe. Just wish I got paid as much as he did to be as sh*te as he is in my profession
 

JuniorWatch

Club Legend
Jun 13, 2016
1,443
2,186
AFL Club
Essendon
Let's try and beat the man at his own game with one of his own boys.
Sexton 4+ $14

Has gone 3.3, 0.0 and 4.0 in his last 3 weeks. Seems to be back i some form after being dropped.
GSers against the Hawks blahdiblah
 

langdon19

All Australian
Dec 2, 2008
896
599
perth
AFL Club
West Coast
Bris Carl O113, melb ess O121, Rich H2h
Sb Powered $4.79
melb ess I have at 123, however final round historical throws high scores.
Bris Carl I have at 122, wouldn’t normally hit an over at night but same reason as before. Bloody Bris better find some accuracy
 
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NonPhixion

Bookie Assassin
Mar 27, 2018
3,728
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Collingwood
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Oscar Allen AGS, Rich Win, Bris Win $2.52 - Lads
Williams back in the team, allows Allen to play as a permanent forward, and his odds are far too good to ignore. Rich + Bris just flat out wont lose. Done all the hard work to get themselves in this position, playing for a top 4 spot against bottom 8 teams. can almost lock it in.
 

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