AFL 'Bet of the Round' POTY

Should we allow members 1 pass per year?

  • YES

    Votes: 4 80.0%
  • NO

    Votes: 1 20.0%

  • Total voters
    5
  • Poll closed .

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JuniorWatch

Club Legend
Jun 13, 2016
1,445
2,189
AFL Club
Essendon
Well what a ripsnorter of a final round. Lids and NP who've been bobbing heads all year both win their bets but Lids comes good with a Josh Caddy hail mary to take the top spot. Mookieb had a great line multi at the end to shoot from 7th to 3rd.
Was great to see people's specialities form as the year went on.
Lids nailing some big tigers bets. 9/11 bets were on the tigers.
NP as ever hot on the GS markets.
Langdon excellent on the TP lines hitting 7/8 when just going a single line.
Ohhok consistent all year picking the best from all over the market.
The group ROI is 19%, meaning that if you took all the bets on the board all year, you'd be doing very well for yourself.
So well done everyone and thanks for participating.
There's murmuring around the punting board water cooler that someone, possibly the Grot might be running a finals tipping comp.
If you want your individual spreadsheets, DM me.

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squeaky1000

Senior List
Apr 30, 2018
224
293
AFL Club
Hawthorn
That’s fair, think BetEasy and 365 usually set their price at $1.91 (every cent counts 😂). Interested to hear what other people’s experinces are for the $2 lines though. I’m completely promo restricted with Ladbrokes, but still get the $2 lines.
Yeah I'm promo banned from lads too but also still get the $2 lines. Bit weird but happy to take them haha
 

JuniorWatch

Club Legend
Jun 13, 2016
1,445
2,189
AFL Club
Essendon
As I mentioned yesterday, I really like Luke Parker possessions this week so I'm going to take:
25+ $2.40 SB.
He's 4/7 in 2020.
With the Swan's injuries, last week he attended a game high 21 CBA's.
He increased his TOG from 83% to 89%.
And as most of us have noticed, the hawks concede the most possessions to opposition mids in the league.
 

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NonPhixion

Bookie Assassin
Mar 27, 2018
3,771
4,701
AFL Club
Collingwood
Other Teams
Cleveland Browns, Tony Ferguson
Slept on it, but I’m going with Alex Sexton 2+ $5 - SB

Don’t rate the backline of the Dogs at all, it drove me nuts when the media started pumping it up a few weeks ago. Only impressive win this year against GWS which they always fire against. Wins against Sydney, North & a depleted Essendon side. Got smoked by Carlton 2 weeks ago who put 16 goals on the board, I’ll eat my words if they shutdown GC tonight but I don’t see it.

Statistically speaking, they have given up 76 marks inside 50, second most in the AFL, only better than the Crows, suggesting that opposition forwards are too easily finding space, something that is definitely a strength of Sexton.

Now looking at Sexton, he has had a slow start to the year after a really good goal-kicking year, but he is far too good of a player to be kept down & I believe we won’t be getting these odds for him much longer. He has had at least 2 scores In 5/6 games. The beauty about him is he loves having a ping at the sticks, as greedy as they come this bloke but that is exactly what you want when betting on GS markets.
Let’s get this show on the road.
 

mouncey2franklin

Premiership Player
Jun 16, 2018
4,148
5,800
AFL Club
North Melbourne
Sorry to be boring and go with what has already been posted but I want to get off to a winning start.

Carlton -15.5 currently @ 2.42 on betfair and 2.10 on SB.

If North get within five goals it will be a surprise.

We are absolute trash at the moment. I honestly believe the tank is on.

I'm personally planning to load up on Carlton at big margins.

For the purpose of this comp, I'm on Carlton -15.5 @ 2.42 (if we're allowed to use BF, if not, 2.10 on SB).
 

JuniorWatch

Club Legend
Jun 13, 2016
1,445
2,189
AFL Club
Essendon
Sorry to be boring and go with what has already been posted but I want to get off to a winning start.

Carlton -15.5 currently @ 2.42 on betfair and 2.10 on SB.

If North get within five goals it will be a surprise.

We are absolute trash at the moment. I honestly believe the tank is on.

I'm personally planning to load up on Carlton at big margins.

For the purpose of this comp, I'm on Carlton -15.5 @ 2.42 (if we're allowed to use BF, if not, 2.10 on SB).
We might steer clear of BetFair again for simpicity's sake as the listed prices aren't taking into account the % cut of winnings they're gonna take.
 

Fabab

Premium Platinum
May 2, 2018
2,014
1,620
AFL Club
Carlton
Slept on it, but I’m going with Alex Sexton 2+ $5 - SB

Don’t rate the backline of the Dogs at all, it drove me nuts when the media started pumping it up a few weeks ago. Only impressive win this year against GWS which they always fire against. Wins against Sydney, North & a depleted Essendon side. Got smoked by Carlton 2 weeks ago who put 16 goals on the board, I’ll eat my words if they shutdown GC tonight but I don’t see it.

Statistically speaking, they have given up 76 marks inside 50, second most in the AFL, only better than the Crows, suggesting that opposition forwards are too easily finding space, something that is definitely a strength of Sexton.

Now looking at Sexton, he has had a slow start to the year after a really good goal-kicking year, but he is far too good of a player to be kept down & I believe we won’t be getting these odds for him much longer. He has had at least 2 scores In 5/6 games. The beauty about him is he loves having a ping at the sticks, as greedy as they come this bloke but that is exactly what you want when betting on GS markets.
Let’s get this show on the road.
Cheers bet is up in first quarter.
 

54Dogs

Premium Platinum
Feb 18, 2008
8,572
4,327
Nowra
AFL Club
Western Bulldogs
Slept on it, but I’m going with Alex Sexton 2+ $5 - SB

Don’t rate the backline of the Dogs at all, it drove me nuts when the media started pumping it up a few weeks ago. Only impressive win this year against GWS which they always fire against. Wins against Sydney, North & a depleted Essendon side. Got smoked by Carlton 2 weeks ago who put 16 goals on the board, I’ll eat my words if they shutdown GC tonight but I don’t see it.

Statistically speaking, they have given up 76 marks inside 50, second most in the AFL, only better than the Crows, suggesting that opposition forwards are too easily finding space, something that is definitely a strength of Sexton.

Now looking at Sexton, he has had a slow start to the year after a really good goal-kicking year, but he is far too good of a player to be kept down & I believe we won’t be getting these odds for him much longer. He has had at least 2 scores In 5/6 games. The beauty about him is he loves having a ping at the sticks, as greedy as they come this bloke but that is exactly what you want when betting on GS markets.
Let’s get this show on the road.
Nailed it, well done great start.

A bit of a shame you need to include rationale, which makes this one sort of embarrassing.
 

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NonPhixion

Bookie Assassin
Mar 27, 2018
3,771
4,701
AFL Club
Collingwood
Other Teams
Cleveland Browns, Tony Ferguson
Nailed it, well done great start.

A bit of a shame you need to include rationale, which makes this one sort of embarrassing.
Still don’t rate the Bulldogs backline, GC only kicked 6 goals from 47 i50’s but a lot of their entries were just terrible kicks rather than the Dogs defending well. Add in the fact that it rained for 90% of the game and you get the subsequent result
 

54Dogs

Premium Platinum
Feb 18, 2008
8,572
4,327
Nowra
AFL Club
Western Bulldogs
Still don’t rate the Bulldogs backline, GC only kicked 6 goals from 47 i50’s but a lot of their entries were just terrible kicks rather than the Dogs defending well. Add in the fact that it rained for 90% of the game and you get the subsequent result
That's fair, each to their own.

Given in 5 of the last 6 weeks the Dogs have conceded 7 or less goals or less they've been lucky a fair bit I guess.
 

54Dogs

Premium Platinum
Feb 18, 2008
8,572
4,327
Nowra
AFL Club
Western Bulldogs
It's amazing how footy nuffies take things said about their teams personally on a betting forum. Leave allegiances at the door...
lol

Before reporting you I'll assume this is aimed at me and might get you to check my last 3,000 posts on the punting board looking for anything related to my team and bias. I'm happy to check all 10 of yours.

If you can't understand that any team who has had 7 goals or less kicked against them in 5 of the last 6 weeks is a relevant discussion point for a betting forum then we should definitely discuss the definition of footy nuffie more broadly.
 

54Dogs

Premium Platinum
Feb 18, 2008
8,572
4,327
Nowra
AFL Club
Western Bulldogs
It's one of those tough situations in life Langdon, sometimes we don't always get what we want. I want to hit 4 quaddies tomorrow.

The thing is, threads should be inclusive not selective, it's the nature of a public forum. Unless there are specific permissions involved like the ex-mods thread or premium members thread etc. They should also try and generate discussion without duplication or crossover to another thread.
 

mookieb

Club Legend
Oct 4, 2006
1,950
1,321
Perth
AFL Club
Hawthorn
Don’t rate the backline of the Dogs at all, it drove me nuts when the media started pumping it up a few weeks ago. Only impressive win this year against GWS which they always fire against. Wins against Sydney, North & a depleted Essendon side. Got smoked by Carlton 2 weeks ago who put 16 goals on the board, I’ll eat my words if they shutdown GC tonight but I don’t see it.

Statistically speaking, they have given up 76 marks inside 50, second most in the AFL, only better than the Crows, suggesting that opposition forwards are too easily finding space, something that is definitely a strength of Sexton.
Nailed it, well done great start.

A bit of a shame you need to include rationale, which makes this one sort of embarrassing.
Why not address the statistical rationale on marks I50 rather than being dismissive of the post in it's entirety?

Personally I think you're right though since round two teams have scored very lowly against WB with the exception of the Carlton game where they took the week off. Wood back, Keath better integrated, good users out of the backline etc.
 

JuniorWatch

Club Legend
Jun 13, 2016
1,445
2,189
AFL Club
Essendon
It's one of those tough situations in life Langdon, sometimes we don't always get what we want. I want to hit 4 quaddies tomorrow.

The thing is, threads should be inclusive not selective, it's the nature of a public forum. Unless there are specific permissions involved like the ex-mods thread or premium members thread etc. They should also try and generate discussion without duplication or crossover to another thread.
There are a lot of competition threads on BF which either have limited members or do not encourage discussion.
Here's an example from the bombers board:
If you could refrain from using this one for discussion it would be appreciated.
 

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