AFL 'Bet of the Round' POTY

[GROTTO]

iluvparis NonPhixion


~24 hours to go before you get your 3 bets in. If you dont, I am automatically awarding myself Punter of The Year title.

Im kinda hoping neither of you send me in your bets.




Just on that, if your bet is voided, there is no opportunity to resubmit another bet. Hence pick wisely and be aware of late players potentially being an out.

Its all about strategy and being the most cunning and astute of all punters in this Grand Final.


balmainforever Chism can you please make this thread a sticky if possible just till this time next week? Thanks. The winner deserves to be acknowledged widely on this forum, to achieve punter of the year in AFL is no easy feat esp with all the bs rules I have made ad hoc on the fly.

 

[GROTTO]

Polec AGS @$3.75 TAB

Kicked 3 in the reserves.

Kicked a goal in the past 4 Port v North games.

Yes, I know he has played 2 for North and 2 for Port.


Feels like overs to me. Should be around $2.

 

[karaoke]

Hill/Clark/Coffield/Ross 15+ - 4.20 sb
V Hawks disposals multi again

 

[langdon19]

Dogs wc U 115.5 $1.91 365

few stars out for wc so i expect a more defensive mindset

not putting any coin on this

 

[iluvparis]

1U WB SU @ $2.05 (BE) - always love backing sides against the bubble squibs

 

[NonPhixion]

Bruest & Waterman AGS $3.29 - Lads.
Just multing what i see as the 2 best value ags lines.
Bruest 7/9, been very reliable for a long time. Waterman 4/6 should get his chances as a permanent forward.

 

[OhhDeledio]

Steele 25+, Bruest AGS = $3.10 bet easy

Hawks are an easy team to play against for midfielders, and Steele has a pretty good record against them. Bruest should be good for 1 you would think.

 

[squeaky1000]

SGM: Steele Mitchell 20+, Worpel Hill Billings Jones 15+ $2.30 lads

Steele and Titch two of the more reliable 20+ around and Hill Billings etc should be able to find enough of it, as we know Hawks give up a tonne of disposal and hoping the game is fairly free flowing.

 

[JuniorWatch]

Lot going on in this one!
I'm going with Battle (7/10), King (11/14), Marshall (7/14) AGS $4.20BE

Feel like with Abbott in Marshall will spend more time fwd.
Hawks are poor at defending KPFs.
Round 15: Walker 2, Fog 2
Round 14: Daniher 3.3, Hooker 2
Round 13: Dixon 2, Georgiades 1.3 (3 misses straight in front)

 

[JuniorWatch]

Lot going on in this one!
I'm going with Battle (7/10), King (11/14), Marshall (7/14) AGS $4.20BE

Feel like with Abbott in Marshall will spend more time fwd.
Hawks are poor at defending KPFs.
Round 15: Walker 2, Fog 2
Round 14: Daniher 3.3, Hooker 2
Round 13: Dixon 2, Georgiades 1.3 (3 misses straight in front)

Hmmm King late out. Guess this is void.

 

[Ohh Ok]

Melbourne SU, Brayshaw 15+, Oliver 20+ @ $1.81 (lads)

 

[burge13]

Freo +20.5 (pick your own line)
GWS win

1.83 at SB

 

[JuniorWatch]

Not super confident about this one but my main BOTR was voided so here's #2
Hill AGS, GWS Q4 -5.5 $3.10 SB

I don't think this is particularly good value but I like both legs and need a ROI lift.
Hill has looked really dangerous in his small fwd role with 7 scoring shots (3.4) in the last 2 rounds.
GWS have been excellent in Q4s in the last 3 weeks, rate 4th overall on the season vs. 15th for the crows.

 

[iluvparis]

1U WB SU @ $2.05 (BE) - always love backing sides against the bubble squibs

Easy win but should have gone all in with my hypelord multi of Essendon and Melbourne getting rolled

 

[mookieb]

WB -16.5 $1.91 365. Hawks will play the kids this round. WB will need to win for finals. WB tend to put teams away when they win and Hawks tend to lose comfortably. The Hawks have jumped teams - Port, StK and Ess flattering their margins but WB are a fast starting team.

Hope you all have a nice lead because i'll be coming with a big multi for the last round...

 

[GROTTO]

Saints $2.10 365 v Eagles.

Eagles with 6 forced outs and counting.

 

[Sausage Legs]

Saints $2.10 365 v Eagles.

Eagles with 6 forced outs and counting.

Good bet, came to do the same but won't copy. Entire gf midfield out

 

[GROTTO]

Good bet, came to do the same but won't copy. Entire gf midfield out

I think you can copy, others have done it in the past. Maybe for finals onwards it should be ruled you cant copy.

 

[squeaky1000]

H2H Multi: Saints, Cats, Freo h2h $5.20 bet365

Gotta try and catch up somehow so pushing out the odds a bit.
Saints already been mentioned, still don't fully trust them but think Eagle's outs have to take a toll as well as three games in two weeks. Probably more on the line for the Saints as well a win would be a big push for their finals chances.
Cats Tigers could go either way but I've got to lean to the Cats, they've been ultra impressive the last few weeks and should be pretty fresh given the Dons posed little more than a training run. Tigers have seemed a little flat to me the last few games and I'm not sold on their midfield depth if Dusty and/or Cotch have an off night.
Freo putting together a pretty decent season and North are an absolute basket case, should be seen as a nice opportunity to take some winning form into next season.

 

[GROTTO]

JuniorWatch how about a rule first come first choice bets for Finals?

Just to keep things interesting and offer more choices? Not sure anyone will be too upset here?

 

[iluvparis]

JuniorWatch

Pretty sure my bet got up mate - you seem to have marked it as a loser

 

[mookieb]

mookieb
GROTTO
mouncey2franklin
burge13
... to come

Looks like somebody forgot to post their WB +9.5 bet...

I'll go Bris 1-39 $1.78 365. Doubt GC win, doubt Bris blow it out in a derby.

 

[JuniorWatch]

JuniorWatch

Pretty sure my bet got up mate - you seem to have marked it as a loser

Havent posted this rounds results yet

 

[langdon19]

WC Saints U113.5 1.90 PU
5-10mm rain forcast and the total has not dropped enough imo

 

[JuniorWatch]

Big win from Karaoke has his rising to third. Non Phixion is back on top and we seem to have lost Mouncey and HellBoy.
This is probably a crucial piece of information which i seem to have left out but this is a main season comp that won't run into the finals so if you're behind then get your skates on.
In the last round we won't allow any doubling up of bets to eliminate the possibility of the leader copying to stop anyone rising. It'll be first in, best dressed.

 

[Sausage Legs]

Castagna goal into bris win. 3.26 ladbrokes. Wet and low scoring expected tomoz but I'll take the 2.40 on the jewfro. Bris should continue their winning ways.