AFL AFL Futures 2019

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iluvparis

Premium Platinum
Apr 1, 2005
27,255
19,239
AFL Club
Carlton
Other Teams
Calgary Flames, Man Utd
Yeah nah - over hyped all year as seen by the terrible start and beat a bottom 4 team last night who could have put them away completely in the first half.

Just face it mate you have HUGELY overrated them.
Wellity, wellity, wellity

The 2.15 to make the 8 looking solid poi poi for the demons after another terrible display.
 

NonPhixion

Club Legend
Mar 27, 2018
1,038
962
AFL Club
Collingwood
Other Teams
Cleveland Browns, Tony Ferguson
Just put 2u on Cameron for the Coleman @3 TAB
I think this is the best price he will be, barring an injury I can’t see anyone beating him now. He looks to be in his prime now and he is really the focal point of their forward line, he also gets
absolute silver service from Whitfield, Kelly and co.
Also hoping he doesn’t lash out again like he did on Andrews...
 

CarterS

Norm Smith Medallist
Jun 14, 2001
7,805
4,833
Brisbane
AFL Club
Brisbane Lions
Other Teams
Lions
Like St Kilda to make the 8 at $4.80 and to a lesser extent Gold Coast spoon at $7 though that one will be tight with their start (worth remembering they were 3-2 last year and finished on 4 wins though their draw was abnormal).
St Kilda 4.80 into 1.70, time to lay off, thank you very much. Gold Coast 7 into 3.60.

I like Brisbane to make the 8 at 2.80... they play Gold Coast away and Sydney home next 2 weeks, very winnable games and if they do that price will shorten significantly. Lose this week and bet is essentially over tho.

Considering Port Top 4 @ 5, 1.88 for them for the 8 is overs too, I'd have them about 1.50, have I just got Port fever because of their big win tho?
 

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NonPhixion

Club Legend
Mar 27, 2018
1,038
962
AFL Club
Collingwood
Other Teams
Cleveland Browns, Tony Ferguson
I really like Mason Cox +25.5 goals for the season. I think he has a lot of scope for natural improvement on the back of a 25 goal season. And imo if there is 1 player to benefit from the 6-6-6 rule change it’s Cox. He will have more isolated 1v1’s i50 which should generate more scoring opportunities
Cox out for a 4th consecutive game, gonna burn this bet for sure.
TAB have Bombers to miss the 8 @1.75
Could be some value with Daniher and Smith ruled out for the rest of the season. Looking at their fixture I can’t see them winning any more than 6-7 games for the rest of the year
 

iluvparis

Premium Platinum
Apr 1, 2005
27,255
19,239
AFL Club
Carlton
Other Teams
Calgary Flames, Man Utd
Yeah ive been laying the Bombers to miss the 8 the last couple of weeks on Betfair when there's been liquidity - have them finishing 1.5 to 2 games out
 

ash_1050

Club Legend
Nov 21, 2009
2,515
3,946
Melbourne
AFL Club
Essendon
Other Teams
Melbourne Victory and Arsenal
Bombers out to $2.30 to make the 8 on Beteasy yet they have them favourites in 14 games this season. Prior to round 1 they were $1.60.
Cashed this out on Thursday for what was essentially money back. We've underperformed in a couple of games that were crucial for making the 8, I don't see it happening now.
 

iluvparis

Premium Platinum
Apr 1, 2005
27,255
19,239
AFL Club
Carlton
Other Teams
Calgary Flames, Man Utd
Cashed this out on Thursday for what was essentially money back. We've underperformed in a couple of games that were crucial for making the 8, I don't see it happening now.
Yeah ive been laying the Bombers to miss the 8 the last couple of weeks on Betfair when there's been liquidity - have them finishing 1.5 to 2 games out
 

iluvparis

Premium Platinum
Apr 1, 2005
27,255
19,239
AFL Club
Carlton
Other Teams
Calgary Flames, Man Utd
North Melbourne $6.50 to make the 8.

Put a bet on them this morning at $5, now it’s moved out to $6.50 on Sportsbet.

Apart from Geelong and West Coast away all very winnable games?
Given their dire % they would have to win all 6 of those other games to make it and I think you'd get a better price just rolling a H2H bet on them each week in those matches?
 

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