AFL AFL Futures 2023

[NonPhixion]

About time a thread was made, just over a month left to go before Round one. There are quite a few futures markets up across the books now.
Some early plays for me:

1.5U Bris Premiers $10 BF
3U Bris Top 4, Geel Top 8, Melb Top 8, Rich Top 8 $3.52 SB
1.5U Lynch Coleman $9 BF
3U GWS U9.5 Season Wins $1.80 PB
5U Hawks U7.5 Season Wins $1.88 PB

Please try and refrain from any Brownlow bets, keep that as a separate thread. Good luck to all this season.

 

[dontlimitme]

TRAINS ARE NEARLY BACK BOYS!

 

[superbadass]

Don't mind essendon to make the top 8 at $5. They have a soft draw, playing west coast, north, and gws twice.

 

[ash_1050]

5U Hawks U7.5 Season Wins $1.88 PB

Surely this is an absolute monty.

 

[juss]

About time a thread was made, just over a month left to go before Round one. There are quite a few futures markets up across the books now.
Some early plays for me:

1.5U Bris Premiers $10 BF
3U Bris Top 4, Geel Top 8, Melb Top 8, Rich Top 8 $3.52 SB
1.5U Lynch Coleman $9 BF
3U GWS U9.5 Season Wins $1.80 PB
5U Hawks U7.5 Season Wins $1.88 PB

Please try and refrain from any Brownlow bets, keep that as a separate thread. Good luck to all this season.

Careful on Lynch, he's missed a lot of the preseason with a plantar foot issue, is not in full training with the group yet, been in rehab.

 

[Bucking Bronco]

Don't forget there's an extra game this season

 

[GROTTO]

TRAINS ARE NEARLY BACK BOYS!

 

[ash_1050]

iluvparis likes this.

 

[mouncey2franklin]

The unders for Hawthorn wins looks like excellent value.

The departures of Tom Mitchell, Jaeger O’Meara, Jack Gunston, Ben McEvoy, Liam Shiels and Kyle Hartigan

28

Kyle Hartigan

Age

32

Ht

194cm

Wt

101kg

Pos.

Def

Career

Season

Last 5

D

11.8

3star

K

6.8

3star

HB

5.0

4star

M

4.6

4star

T

1.3

3star

MG

111.0

2star

D

9.3

2star

K

5.0

2star

HB

4.3

3star

M

4.0

4star

T

1.3

2star

MG

111.0

2star

D

18.2

5star

K

9.6

4star

HB

8.6

5star

M

7.4

5star

T

0.6

3star

total 1181 games of experience out the door

‘It will be torturous’: Hawks’ brutal 1181-game ‘purge’ sets them up for years of ‘intense pain’

‘It will be torturous’: Hawks’ brutal 1181-game ‘purge’ sets them up for years of ‘intense pain’

www.foxsports.com.au

I will be surprised if they reach four wins, let alone eight.

As for the trains, let's be real, sportsbet are not going to give us any value, are they?

Back in 2021 you could get 100-1 for 3 goals for some players, then they cut that, maxxed it at 34-1 for three.

By the end of last year iirc you couldn't get better than 34-1 for five goals for anybody who was even a chance of kicking a bag.

Maybe topsport and pointsbet might still offer some value, we can only hope so.

But the glory days of train rides to Cashville may be behind us.

 

[sohohoho]

good luck Topsport offering anything generous, their one way markets will be horrendous if the past 6 months is anything to go by.

 

[jikost]

Yeah Topsport were the it girl of 2021, but really fell off a cliff last year... Barely ended up using them at all. With Sportsbet capping their odds and then removing the markets for fringe players scoring more than 2+ goals (destroying the SGM trick in the process) I found myself almost exclusively using Pointsbet toward the end of last season.

 

[jikost]

Careful on Lynch, he's missed a lot of the preseason with a plantar foot issue, is not in full training with the group yet, been in rehab.

Plus he'll have Taranto shanking inside 50's at his boot laces all season, so his hammy's will get a solid test out.

 

[tangolikelama]

Cant wait to be a degenerate again

 

[GROTTO]

Cant wait to be a degenerate again

I cant wait to go all the way to 6+ again for goal scorers.

 

[jikost]

I'm eagerly awaiting mouncey's annual $101 round 1 special...

2021 - Gulden 3+ @ $101 Tick!
2022 - Rachele 5+ @ $101 Tick!
2023 - ????

 

[GROTTO]

I'm eagerly awaiting mouncey's annual $101 round 1 special...

2021 - Guldan 3+ @ $101 Tick!
2022 - Rachele 5+ @ $101 Tick!
2023 - ????

Rachele was $450 for 6+ 365

Just clipped the post in that 4th quarter for 5.1

 

[jikost]

Rachele was $450 for 6+ 365

Just clipped the post in that 4th quarter for 5.1

Ouch.

365 nuking my account is going to sting once the season commences. They always had the entire 22 listed on the goal scorer markets and some insane prices for defenders who were shifting forward.

 

[mouncey2franklin]

Rachele was $450 for 6+ 365

Just clipped the post in that 4th quarter for 5.1

iitc the post clip was when he was already on four, and I was jaw-on-the-floor wondering, why, why?

Then he made up for it not too long afterward, it was a rollercoaster, I was emotionally spent.

 

[GROTTO]

iitc the post clip was when he was already on four, and I was jaw-on-the-floor wondering, why, why?

Then he made up for it not too long afterward, it was a rollercoaster, I was emotionally spent.

8mins 52s into the video. Hits the post.

Yes youre correct.

Nails his 5th after that.

 

[BuddysBiggestFan]

Anyone to watch in the Rising Star market? Ashcroft a clear favorite?

 

[ash_1050]

Anyone to watch in the Rising Star market? Ashcroft a clear favorite?

How often does the pre-season favourite land though? Surely you're better off backing and then laying off a bolter?

 

[BuddysBiggestFan]

How often does the pre-season favourite land though? Surely you're better off backing and then laying off a bolter?

Nick Daicos

Dylan Moore today said that Cam McKenzie will be a star so might throw some loose change on him @ 23s

 

[ash_1050]

Nick Daicos

Dylan Moore today said that Cam McKenzie will be a star so might throw some loose change on him @ 23s

Going back prior to that though probably only Sam Walsh landed from this list:
Luke Jackson
Caleb Serong
Sam Walsh
Jaidyn Stephenson
Andrew McGrath
Callum Mills
Jesse Hogan

 

[sohohoho]

Going back prior to that though probably only Sam Walsh landed from this list:
Luke Jackson
Caleb Serong
Sam Walsh
Jaidyn Stephenson
Andrew McGrath
Callum Mills
Jesse Hogan

Ashcroft is as highly regarded as Walsh & Daicos were and is walking straight into a top 4 team and from all reports going to play good midfield minutes.
He dominated his VFL games last year, something these others never played.

He is priced fairly.

Better to wait during the season if wanting to play any long shots as its a slow moving market and better to see these others actually play first

 

[Kiddbrown]

Anyone to watch in the Rising Star market? Ashcroft a clear favorite?

I don’t mind Darcy at 9’s