Tell them Im still ready to back Stengle AGS in the 1st QTR, despite his "coke" problem and likely never playing for the Crows again.
Not for the flag.
Freo is not bad, but I would need to look more into their draw and see who they double up against.
Do you guys recall if the future markets (if some of) were refunded when corona hit and the season was suspended?
I think it differed a lot by market and by book maker - stuff like Flag winner/top 8 etc were not refunded.
Yeah I haven't looked at the fixtures but assume their double ups are more than winnable based on ladder position...
I personally think Freo are another year away, Melbourne is interesting, they've got a lot of the pieces in place and I could see them making it, but what would hold me back is, its Melbourne! They need to prove it before I put my coin on them.
By the time they prove it they won't be 2.50 odds though...
People pretty much said this exact same thing before round 1 last year and they quickly traded at a much bigger price.
Yes, but I don't bet with FOMO, there's always another good spot around the corner, if I miss this I won't regret it.
Also on the crows $5 least wins - looks as equally good value as the Broncos same price in the NRL
Dont underestimate North in full tank mode, especially in an "official" rebuild mode.
That's value for sure.
Assuming they're paying more than $2, could hedge and back both?
Sydney are $14.5 for it on Betfair, value?
They have Essendon and Adelaide in the first 4 rounds (both at home) so you might be able to get better later
They don't play the Bombers at home so that's one contender for the spoon they should already be -1 against and they play North both home and away so Should even out. Swans another one contending that they also only play away.
I'm quietly confident on Freo this year, they have some serious youth coming through, quality returning in the back half and Fyfe looks as good a pre-season Brownlow chance as any - would expect them to be fighting it out for the last couple spots in the 8 and close to $4 seems decent odds. The WA border complications and potential fixture re-configurations would worry me slightly but probably get a bit of a better idea on that over the next couple weeks.
Good call, could they play finals with only 6-8 games in WA? Not for mine, but it's just so unclear how the fixture will work particularly for WA teams. They could be forced to hub elsewhere the majority of the season, or they could possibly get stretches of consecutive home games against travelling sides.
