AFL R13

[TheKanga]

Just posting this now as i noticed some early value

Carlton - 5.00
vs.
Hawthorn - 1.18

Line is 32.5

Richmond - 5.00
vs.
Fremantle - 1.18

Line is 32.5

Sydney - 1.35
vs.
Port Adelaide - 3.25

Line is 18.5

West Coast - 1.68
vs.
Gold Coast - 2.20

Line is 6.5

Adelaide - 1.68
vs.
North Melbourne - 2.20

Line is 6.5

Brisbane - 1.30
vs.
GWS - 3.60

Line is 21.5

Geelong - 1.02
vs.
St Kilda - 17.00

Line is 64.5

Collingwood - 1.10
vs.
Western Bulldogs - 7.00

Line is 40.5

Essendon - 1.33
vs.
Melbourne - 3.35

Line is 21.5

 

[TheKanga]

Early things i like

Freo line (32.5) and margin bet of 40+ (Will probably load up on these soon)
Port Adelaide at the line and H2H (Buddy and Tippett could be out?)
North at the line and H2H (our away record has been very good)
GWS at the line and H2H (GWS have shown some fight lately, are right in this)
Melbourne H2H and at the line (I can see the Dees highly defensive gameplan troubling the Bombers.)

 

[Degen_Punter]

Really like the tigers ats and for possible SU. When was the last time Freo beat Richmond at the G? 2004 me thinks.

 

[TheKanga]

Really like the tigers ats and for possible SU. When was the last time Freo beat Richmond at the G? 2004 me thinks.

With the form the Tigers are in i don't know how you could put money on them to beat Freo?

 

[Degen_Punter]

With the form the Tigers are in i don't know how you could put money on them to beat Freo?

May not beat them but I can't see a flogging

 

[chunkylover]

If my account was cashed up I would be unloading on gold coast. Already had a great away win over NM, competitive against Freo over here and that midfield against the Eagles wont be pretty. The odds surely will be flipped come bounce down

 

[Gambling Guru]

Really like the tigers ats and for possible SU. When was the last time Freo beat Richmond at the G? 2004 me thinks.

two years ago.

 

[banana_bus]

Not sure why Adelaide are favorites.

 

[TheKanga]

Not sure why Adelaide are favorites.

Tex could be rested as well.

 

[Anzac16]

First thoughts

• Fremantle are value at the line of 30.5. Sure they play low scoring games, but Richmond are terrible this year. 1 half of good footy against the Roos doesn't mean they should be at that line. Fremantle's MCG record over the last few years is a bit of a concern, but they should still win well.
• Port will come into even money if Tippet is out. Tempted to get on them at the line straight away. Only concern is they've only shown up at certain times over the last couple of weeks. Their 1st half against the Saints was ordinary.
  
• Don't mind Gold Coast against the Eagles. They'll be keen to pick off another good scalp this year and West Coast look vulnerable right now. No Kennedy still helps GC a lot.
• North will be favourites very soon I feel. Come in already from $2.20 to $2.00. Will be around $1.70 by game time. Still value there.

 

[titantyrant]

2 units ess to kick under 13.5 goals

 

[chrisdon16]

Predicting the Essendon/Melbourne total to be around 150

 

[TheKanga]

Hope i don't regret this but going fairly big on Essendon vs. Melbourne.

Melbourne H2H - 2u @ 3.35
Melbourne (+21.5) - 3u @ 1.93
Total Match Points - Under 160.5 - 3u @ 1.93

 

[TheKanga]

May not beat them but I can't see a flogging

Each to their own but i could see the Dockers winning by 40+
Pav and Ballantyne will have a field day.

 

[Keystone agony]

Each to their own but i could see the Dockers winning by 40+
Pav and Ballantyne will have a field day.

Ballantyne probably wont be playing

 

[Keystone agony]

Ill be waiting on teams for the Adelaide vs Kangaroos and Fremantle vs Richmond game.

I like Melbourne to beat dons i was actually meant to get on them before they played today coz i thought they show more than what was expected. I think GC probably beat eagles, however they struggled against Adelaide away.

 

[Keystone agony]

1U Gold Coast @2.35 (IAS)
0.5U Melb 1-39 @4 (IAS)
0.25U Port 1-39 @3.5 (IAS)

0.5U Heppell <105.5 SC @1.87 (IAS)
1U Burgoyne <101.5 SC @1.87 (IAS)

I dont like Port to win but i think they will come in with teams and i think these are good odds.

 

[Jugada]

Each to their own but i could see the Dockers winning by 40+
Pav and Ballantyne will have a field day.

Freo couldnt even beat the Dogs by 40+ at etihad, im not very confident of them clearing that line at the G especially when there are possible showers floating around all weekend

 

[chrisdon16]

Not sure about Melbourne at the moment. They are defensively playing very good but still need to work ouy the offense. I don't see that happening against the Essendon defence. That with the extra 2 days rest. Should be a tight game but Essendon for me. Who comes in for Watson?

 

[yamahamoto]

Ballantyne probably wont be playing

he should not get suspended for that...

 

[Keystone agony]

Not sure about Melbourne at the moment. They are defensively playing very good but still need to work ouy the offense. I don't see that happening against the Essendon defence. That with the extra 2 days rest. Should be a tight game but Essendon for me. Who comes in for Watson?

Who actually comes in who didnt play last week will be a young kavanagh, edwards or obrien likely. As for who takes his role it will be Myers. Expect to see us start with Heppell, myers and hocking with more time in there for goddard

 

[Sketi]

Tippett out for 2 weeks. Likely to be replaced by Pyke you would think who played reserves on the weekend.

 

[TheKanga]

Watson out, feel abit more confident about my Melbourne bets now.
It's at the G as well where they play well, if it was at Etihad i would be worried.

 

[JohnnyDrama1]

Really like the tigers ats and for possible SU. When was the last time Freo beat Richmond at the G? 2004 me thinks.

2012 actually, and Freo are a better team since then, and Richmond are (arguably) worse.

 

[JohnnyDrama1]

Fremantle H2H vs Richmond @1.20
Collingwood over 15.5 vs Western Bulldogs @1.20
France H2H vs Honduras@1.27
Chile H2H vs Australia @1.40

Paying $2.56
no brainer for me