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AFL R7

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foxy_dal said:
Interesting that Sportsbet do allow you do multi a player going under on disposals and then also losing their DT H2H. For example:

Hayes under 25.5/Steven over Hayes DT @ $3.51
Coniglio under 26.5/Treloar over Coniglio DT @ $3.17
Ward under 27.5/Boak over Ward DT @ $3.74

That's just the first 2 games there's plenty more too.
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I found a few interesting anomalies with their multi's, yet they dont allow and totals margin bet with selecting the winner of a team in that match!

For example last night on Sportsbet you couldnt multi the under 170.5 with the Pies to win.
 
Keystone agony said:
Shit amazing odds. Who with? Also think that its 3.10 now
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It's a 3 leg multi and yes, the Melb 0-50 part is $3.10 now. Obviously a few getting on this in the last 24 hours

Sent from my Nokia 3210
 
Keystone agony said:
Shit amazing odds. Who with? Also think that its 3.10 now
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I just took a peak outside and it was a little sunny and no rain so far in Adelaide, yet been bucketing down all week!

Hail was predicted but I dont think there was any, but I live in the Eastern suburbs so I have no idea what it may have been around AO.
 

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GROTTO said:
they dont allow and totals margin bet with selecting the winner of a team in that match!

For example last night on Sportsbet you couldnt multi the under 170.5 with the Pies to win.
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I know, that one kind of annoys me. I keep seeing people on here get those multis but I can't tail (only with sportsbet and ladbrokes).

Oh well, I will keep working their DT/disposal multis until they close those down

Sent from my Nokia 3210
 
GROTTO said:
I found a few interesting anomalies with their multi's, yet they dont allow and totals margin bet with selecting the winner of a team in that match!

For example last night on Sportsbet you couldnt multi the under 170.5 with the Pies to win.
Click to expand...

You can do that with Bet365, Grotto.
You can definitely multi Lines + Total Points & I'm pretty sure you can multi H2Hs + Total Points.
 
GROTTO said:
I just took a peak outside and it was a little sunny and no rain so far in Adelaide, yet been bucketing down all week!

Hail was predicted but I dont think there was any, but I live in the Eastern suburbs so I have no idea what it may have been around AO.
Click to expand...

No rain up in the North East (about 30 mins from the city). Sun is poking its head out. Looks like there won't be any rain today. Will be interesting to see how the AO drainage held up with the rain during the week. Probably will be a soft ground.
 
Anzac16 said:
No rain up in the North East (about 30 mins from the city). Sun is poking its head out. Looks like there won't be any rain today. Will be interesting to see how the AO drainage held up with the rain during the week. Probably will be a soft ground.
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Its the first ever test of drainage at the ground for a game, we have been blesses with perfect weather for every AO game. Of course it shits me that against Melbourne where we need a % boost its likely to be tight and low scoring IMO.

Im glad you brought up the drainage issue as this is recently laid surface, but it has been immaculately kept so far. I think the fact the Rolling Stones didnt play at AO saved it from an unnecessary beating.
 
Anzac16 said:
No rain up in the North East (about 30 mins from the city). Sun is poking its head out. Looks like there won't be any rain today. Will be interesting to see how the AO drainage held up with the rain during the week. Probably will be a soft ground.
Click to expand...
Do we start to jump on an over the total line market. probably find 166.5 somewhere
 
GROTTO said:
Its the first ever test of drainage at the ground for a game, we have been blesses with perfect weather for every AO game. Of course it shits me that against Melbourne where we need a % boost its likely to be tight and low scoring IMO.

Im glad you brought up the drainage issue as this is recently laid surface, but it has been immaculately kept so far. I think the fact the Rolling Stones didnt play at AO saved it from an unnecessary beating.
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AO surface has always been one of the best in the world. Today will be the first test for how it holds up, I'm willing to say it will be pretty bloody good compared to other first class stadiums. Still think it might be a bit moist under foot and keep the ball a bit slippery. Will probably be around 13 degrees by game time as its the twilight game. Still think Melbourne will play very defensive again, maybe keep the score line around 90-110 to 40-60.

Keystone agony said:
Do we start to jump on an over the total line market. probably find 166.5 somewhere
Click to expand...

Not sure still with the way Melbourne have been playing. Wasn't much if any rain last week and Sydney only kicked 9 goals for the night. Crows are a more offensive team, but can see them maybe kicking 90-110 as said above.
 
GROTTO said:
Thats exactly what I thought the way the game will go, making taking the line now a risky proposition. Its like around -45.5
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Melbourne have actually covered that line 5/6 times this year. Only West Coast smashed them by 93. Crows are one of those teams who could come out and play like flat track bullies today, or they could come out and be held fairly well. To much doubt for me to take either team at the line.
 

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Anzac16 said:
Melbourne have actually covered that line 5/6 times this year. Only West Coast smashed them by 93. Crows are one of those teams who could come out and play like flat track bullies today, or they could come out and be held fairly well. To much doubt for me to take either team at the line.
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3/6 actually.

Favs against St. Kilda in round 1 and didnt cover line vs GWS either.
 
Anzac16 said:
Melbourne have actually covered that line 5/6 times this year. Only West Coast smashed them by 93. Crows are one of those teams who could come out and play like flat track bullies today, or they could come out and be held fairly well. To much doubt for me to take either team at the line.
Click to expand...

Crows are really the quintessential flat track bullies you are right. I do think they should beat the Demons comfortably by 5 goals it is whether (weather :p) they can cover the line which is now 47 points compared to about 42 points before Thursday.
 

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Hawks vs STK
2U Montagnag under 108.5 DT points @1.87 (IAS) LOSS
2U N.Riewoldt Under 96.5 DT @1.87 (BET365) WIN (Easy)
2U S.Mitchell Under 105.5 DT @1.87 (Lux) WIN (Easy)
1U Stkilda < 61.5 points @1.88 (IAS) WIN (Easy)

Also if anyones keen id be getting on both Birchall and Hodge most DT points (Group 1 IAS) VS Montagna, Mitchell, NROO, Roughead, Steven and Hayes both paying @8 and @7. Actually 0.2 Units on both. LOSS (Long shots got 2nd and 3rd in group)

3-0-3
+1.96 Units

GWS vs Port
2U Ebert over 106.5 DT @1.87 (IAS)
1U Port -40.5 @1.85 (IAS) - Also in my Multi at this
0.2U Wingard MGS @9 (IAS)
1U Ward over 95.5 @1.87 (Lux)

I also think Boak over 103.5 @2.15 is showing value at Lux

Adel vs Melb
1U E.Betts 2 goals or more at $2.15 (Lux)
1U <173.5 point total @1.88 (IAS)
2U Sloane over N.Jones @1.85 (IAS)
3U N.Jones under 112.5 @1.87 (Bet365)

I think thats about it for the arvo
 
Last edited:
Adding Melbourne total score 0-60, 1u @1.82.

Thought about a multi with the same on St Kilda, but not that confident.

Sent from my HTC One S using Tapatalk
 

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