AFL R7

[Jay-Z]

Boyd over Libba DT $1.75
Essendon v WB $1.32
Adelaide v Melb $1.10
Hawks v Saints $1.06
Geelong -28.5 v Richmond $1.92
Bulldogs v Melbourne $1.38
WC v GWS $1.08
Carlton v Saints $1.44
$11.10 +*% betstar bonus = $12.00

*1.5 units.

You know that last game isn't for another week and a half, right?

 

[stewie griffen]

What a hideous week for head to heads...

Geelong line looks to be the pick of the bunch right now

 

[TheKanga]

Is Buddy going to play for the Swans?

I can't help but feel Brisbane could be value at 5.00 at home.
They do have a poor record against Sydney though..
Sydney weren't very convincing last week...

 

[jaymasha]

This has been smashed into $1.50 now.

boy oh boy, wow wee. On the flip side to that, some people would find value in the over market which is $2.50

 

[GROTTO]

What a hideous week for head to heads...

Geelong line looks to be the pick of the bunch right now

Its interesting that a lot of posters myself included are struggling to find value this weekend. I am literally stumped this week and given that I think every round to date has had an underdog or two win makes having a multi a somewhat risky proposition.

 

[jaymasha]

anyone who's interested in round specials- dale thomas to kick a goal:

No-$1.77 Yes-$2.00

efa

 

[banana_bus]

Its interesting that a lot of posters myself included are struggling to find value this weekend. I am literally stumped this week and given that I think every round to date has had an underdog or two win makes having a multi a somewhat risky proposition.

So far I like;

GWS +46.5 - For the same reasons I liked Port against Geelong last week, Port coming off the high from last week and traveling interstate. Giving almost 8 goal start, I expect this to be tight all game. No Mumford is annoying but still think GWS will be up for it.

Cats to win although I'm gun-shy on going multiple units due to last weeks Freo effort. Line seems like a formality though so might hit that up.

That's all.

 

[GROTTO]

• Port vs GWS is at Startrack Oval, ie the Sandpit. Not sure how this will affect the outcome and the overall scoring. GWS and Bulldogs had a high scoring game there so I like the total points over (current 182.5 at Bet 365) and Port at the line.

At Sportsbet the totals is now at 171.5 @$1.88 rain is predicted

 

[A11dAtP0w3R]

$1.92 Collingwood -24.5 (betstar) 1 unit
DT: Stokes $1.75 vs Bartel $2.00 (betstar) 1.5 units

 

[A11dAtP0w3R]

At Sportsbet the totals is now at 171.5 @$1.88 rain is predicted

On the overs here, as i said in my bet tracker, i bet on football not whether.

 

[Swan4Brownlow]

Do many (if any) bet on Centrebet's pick your own game market?

At the moment with rain predicted to impact a number of matches over the weekend, I'm looking at matching some favourites in rain effected games with underdogs in dry matches. In particular I like the look of:

Gold Coast @ 2.50 vs Freo
Gold Coast @ 4.80 vs Adelaide
Essendon @ 1.80 vs Sydney

 

[Lensen]

Its not just that, its your weekly "none of these 8 teams will surely lose will they???" straight after a round where Freo lost their first game at home in a year, 2 rounds after Carlton lost to Melbourne and a couple of weeks after Sydney lost to GWS.

literally stumped is my new favourite

 

[GROTTO]

You know that last game isn't for another week and a half, right?

LOL. For a second I thought I was looking at the wrong round.

 

[Jay-Z]

Do many (if any) bet on Centrebet's pick your own game market?

At the moment with rain predicted to impact a number of matches over the weekend, I'm looking at matching some favourites in rain effected games with underdogs in dry matches. In particular I like the look of:

Gold Coast @ 2.50 vs Freo
Gold Coast @ 4.80 vs Adelaide
Essendon @ 1.80 vs Sydney

Not a bad idea but I'll give you the heads up that all of north's games have been pretty low scoring. This is primarily due to our improved defense so I'd steer clear of GC

Sent from my Nokia 3210

 

[Jay-Z]

On the overs here, as i said in my bet tracker, i bet on football not whether.

Technically you do bet on whether... whether you can predict football results or not

 

[Swan4Brownlow]

Not a bad idea but I'll give you the heads up that all of north's games have been pretty low scoring. This is primarily due to our improved defense so I'd steer clear of GC

Sent from my Nokia 3210

No doubt North's defense is much better this year but the Suns should be welcoming back Dixon and Bennell while I wouldn't be surprised if Wells and Swallow miss again. If this is the case I'd give Gold Coast the midfield edge and that's half the battle. North have conceded 99 to Essendon, 90 to Port and 54 to the Dogs at Etihad. I think Gold Coast could score in the 80s which could be enough to beat Freo. If Gold Coast win I'd assume they'd score above 90 which could be enough to get over Adelaide depending on the rain and how Melbourne set up. Also, the Suns don't really try to put numbers behind the ball or clog the game up so the game should be relatively free flowing. One thing working against the Suns is they don't play at Etihad often

 

[A11dAtP0w3R]

Technically you do bet on whether... whether you can predict football results or not

Hehe....

Working for the bureau of meteorology is the only job in the world that you can continually screw up/get wrong and still have a job the next day.

Whether plays a very small part in my assessment of games, especially 4/5 days out before the first bounce.

 

[Jay-Z]

No doubt North's defense is much better this year but the Suns should be welcoming back Dixon and Bennell while I wouldn't be surprised if Wells and Swallow miss again. If this is the case I'd give Gold Coast the midfield edge and that's half the battle. North have conceded 99 to Essendon, 90 to Port and 54 to the Dogs at Etihad. I think Gold Coast could score in the 80s which could be enough to beat Freo. If Gold Coast win I'd assume they'd score above 90 which could be enough to get over Adelaide depending on the rain and how Melbourne set up. Also, the Suns don't really try to put numbers behind the ball or clog the game up so the game should be relatively free flowing. One thing working against the Suns is they don't play at Etihad often

Fair enough, if you think they will win go for it. Personally I think North should win and in our 4 wins so far the losing team has averaged 63

 

[Jay-Z]

Hehe....

Working for the bureau of meteorology is the only job in the world that you can continually screw up/get wrong and still have a job the next day.

Whether plays a very small part in my assessment of games, especially 4/5 days out before the first bounce.

 

[A11dAtP0w3R]

Acknowledged your lil joke it with a "hehe", or did you deliberately ignore that? (giving you the stink eye)

Wasnt explaining my punting theories to you so much, more just at all the others who seem to get caught up in whether bets.

 

[Keystone agony]

1U Pies -26.5 @1.85
1U Dons -20.5 @1.85
1U Port -40.5 @1.85
1U North -26.5 @1.85
1U Cats -28.5 @1.85

Added
1U Brisbane and Sydney under 172.5
1U Melbourne and Crows under 173.5

 

[stretcharmstrong]

Acknowledged your lil joke it with a "hehe", or did you deliberately ignore that? (giving you the stink eye)

Wasnt explaining my punting theories to you so much, more just at all the others who seem to get caught up in whether bets.

You used the incorrect incantation of weather 'whether' in both posts.

Edit: in fact, in all three posts

 

[A11dAtP0w3R]

You used the incorrect incantation of weather 'whether' in both posts.

Edit: in fact, in all three posts

Weather or not im talking about the whether remains up in the air where the whether comes from.

Make it an even 6 times

 

[stretcharmstrong]

And I used incantation when I don't even know what I meant to say... Incarnation probably.

 

[free at last]

Do many (if any) bet on Centrebet's pick your own game market?

At the moment with rain predicted to impact a number of matches over the weekend, I'm looking at matching some favourites in rain effected games with underdogs in dry matches. In particular I like the look of:

Gold Coast @ 2.50 vs Freo
Gold Coast @ 4.80 vs Adelaide
Essendon @ 1.80 vs Sydney

Which agencies have these markets?