AFL R7

[Hitout1]

cmon bulldogs

put on a live bet in first quarter when they kicked 2 in a row

3U @ $3.something

Could even hedge it now with bombers to win but mehh

 

[GROTTO]

Can you hedge a multi bet if one of your legs is a Crows win?

 

[happy punter]

Pies -23.5 over Blues @ 1.92 (2 units)

Hawks -54.5 over Saints @ 1.92 (1 unit)

Demons +48.5 over Crows @ 1.93 (3 units)
Demons over Crows @ 11.25 (0.5 unit)
Crows 1-39 over Demons @ 2.80 (0.5 unit)

Swans -27.5 over Lions @ 1.92 (2 units)
Swans 40+ over Lions @ 2.60 (1 unit)

6-1 +13.57

Overall 32-18 +28.20

Most likely one more play in the early Sunday game but will see how the line moves tomorrow morning.

 

[Willzzz]

ESSENDON BOMBERS vs WESTERN BULLDOGS:

1U – Western Bulldogs +23.5 @ $1.91 (Sportingbet) WIN
0.5U – WB SU @ $3.85 (Sportingbet) LOSS
1U – Dalhaus < 93.5 @ $1.87 (Bet365) LOSS
2U – SC: Hooker < 105.5 @ $1.87 (Sportsbet) WIN – PENDING on 105 but before revision
0.625U – DT: Griffen < 90.5 @ $1.87 (Luxbet) WIN

BRISBANE LIONS vs SYDNEY SWANS

2U – Sydney Swans -29.5 @ $1.93 (Bet365) WIN
1.5U – DT: Hannebery > Zorko @ $2 (Sportsbet) WIN
0.25U – K Jack 30+ Disposals @ $3.70 LOSS
0.5U – Sydney Swans -59.5 @ $5 (Bet365) WIN
1U – SC: Jack > Parker @ $1.90 (Sporstbet) WIN
0.5U – Disps: McVeigh < 26.5 @ $2.15 (Luxbet) LOSS

Now that's more like it.

 

[Jay-Z]

Hooker, 105 SC - yes!!!

 

[Willzzz]

Hope Hooker SC stays at 105, I know there are a few people here who went pretty big on that, thanks Foxy_Dal for alerting us to it.

 

[foxy_dal]

I reckon he will go over post scaling. Took a mark from oppo in the last minute when points were up for grabs. I predict he gets 109 but fingers crossed!


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[Willzzz]

I reckon he will go over post scaling. Took a mark from oppo in the last minute when points were up for grabs. I predict he gets 109 but fingers crossed!


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Yeh I have a feeling he will go over as well. His impact was pretty big, probably more than 105.

Opps, just realised his line was 108.5 at Sportsbet.

 

[lion4life]

BL v Syd

1U Sydney -27.5 & Under 172.5 @ 3.70
0.5U Ryan Lester Most Disposals over Aish, Mayes, Raines, Parker, Malceski, Mcglynn, Shaw @ 9.00
0.25U Kieran Jack MGS @ 13.00
0.25U Ben Mcglynn MGS @ 8.00
0.5U Redden>Parker Most Disposals @ 1.97
1.5U Rockliff > 27.5 Disposals @ 1.85
0.5U Mcglynn to score 3+ Goals @ 3.25
0.5U Brisbane 1-19 @ 6.50

Ess v WB
1U Essendon -20.5 + Over 183.5 @ 2.80
0.5U Macrae Most Disposals over Goddard, Heppell, Stanton, Watson, Liberatore, Griffen, Boyd
0.5U Hooker Most Disposals over Chapman, Hibberd, Zaharakis, Cooney, Dahlhaus, Murphy, Picken
0.5U Crameri MGS @ 9.00
1U Macrae to have 30+ Disposals @ 2.75
0.5U Most Disposals Zaharakis > Cooney @ 1.93
1U Most Disposals Macrae > Heppell @ 2.05

Bets tonight, will edit in other game after I check it out.

BL v Syd
2-0-7
+1.47U

Ess v WB
0-1-6
-2.975U

RTD
7-2-22
+2.16U

Absolutely horrible in the Essendon v WB game. Still in the positive for the week though.

 

[ricardogp]

Just analysing some Brisbane scores...

Brisbane have conceded an average of 73 points per game in the 2nd half (compared to 42 in the first half). Big time faders.

While Sydney have not scored big in their 2nd half (average of 37, and only twice over 37 points), there could be some value in 2nd half markets.

SB have the last quarter line at -8.5 @ $1.92, and Brisbane have lost 5 of their last 6 final-quarters by more than 10 (by average of 16).

1U for me.

Tick.

I think that Sydney actually cleared each quarter's line comfortably.

Sent from my HTC One S using Tapatalk

 

[banana_bus]

Hooker 102, were all safe... tbh I gave up, assumed he'd go way over that!

 

[Keystone agony]

Hawks vs STK
2U Montagnag under 108.5 DT points @1.87 (IAS) LOSS
2U N.Riewoldt Under 96.5 DT @1.87 (BET365) WIN (Easy)
2U S.Mitchell Under 105.5 DT @1.87 (Lux) WIN (Easy)
1U Stkilda < 61.5 points @1.88 (IAS) WIN (Easy)

Also if anyones keen id be getting on both Birchall and Hodge most DT points (Group 1 IAS) VS Montagna, Mitchell, NROO, Roughead, Steven and Hayes both paying @8 and @7. Actually 0.2 Units on both. LOSS (Long shots got 2nd and 3rd in group)

3-0-3
+1.96 Units

GWS vs Port
2U Ebert over 106.5 DT @1.87 (IAS) Loss
1U Port -40.5 @1.85 (IAS) - Also in my Multi at this LOSS (just)
0.2U Wingard MGS @9 (IAS) Loss (Was looking good)
1U Ward over 95.5 @1.87 (Lux) WIN

I also think Boak over 103.5 @2.15 is showing value at Lux

Adel vs Melb
1U E.Betts 2 goals or more at $2.15 (Lux) Loss
1U <173.5 point total @1.88 (IAS) WIN
2U Sloane over N.Jones @1.85 (IAS) WIN
3U N.Jones under 112.5 @1.87 (Bet365) WIN

I think thats about it for the arvo

After being up +4.68 Units after friday night.

After these games i was +8.5 Units

 

[Keystone agony]

Hooker was close to BOG surprised he didnt go over that SC line.

 

[happy punter]

Kangaroos -25.5 over Suns @ 1.92 (3 units)

 

[iluvparis]

After being up +4.68 Units after friday night.

After these games i was +8.5 Units

Nothing on your mob at the line mate? Thought they were certs?

 

[bruceharmes]

Does anyone else think the frem w/c over/under is low at 160 when they average combined they score 180 points - both at home on a dry track ??

 

[A11dAtP0w3R]

Nothing on your mob at the line mate? Thought they were certs?

I was all over the web looking for the Jake Melksham over 60 SC point market and ready to load up at ANY price, luckily for me i couldnt find one, Jakey got close, 17 disposal for 58 points, personally i think Champion Data screwed him this week, again.

 

[Jay-Z]

RTD:
Carl/Coll Under 173.5 & Ade/Melb Under 173.5 @ 3.53 - 1 unit - LOSS
Syd/Bri Under 172.5 & Ade/Melb Under 173.5 @ 3.53 - 1 unit - WIN
NM/GC Under 184.5 & Port/GWS Over 171.5 @ 3.53 - 1 unit - ALIVE
NM/GC Under 184.5 & Gee/Rich Under 184.5 @ 3.53 - 1 unit - ALIVE
Gee/Rich Under 184.5 & Port/GWS Over 171.5 @ 3.53 - 1 unit - ALIVE

4 leg multi - ALIVE
NM/GC U
Gee/Rich U
Port/GWS O
Ade/Melb U
@ 12.49 - 1 unit

6 leg multi - ALIVE
NM/GC U
Gee/Rich U
Port/GWS O
Haw/StK O
Ade/Mel U
Ess/WB U
@ 44.15 - 1 unit

Sidebottom over Gibbs DT @ 1.7 - 1 unit - WIN
Simpson over Walker DT @ 1.7 - 1 unit - WIN
Pendles under 28.5 disposals into Swan over Pendles DT @ 3.6 - 1 unit - WIN

Jones under 29.5 disposals into Sloane > Jones DT @ 3.15 - 2 units - WIN
Melb 0-50 points & Jones under 29.5 disposals & Sloane > Jones DT @ 9.76 - 1 unit - LOSS

6-2 for the round, +10.55 units so far.

As you can see, I have a lot riding on the two unders results today. Getting 1 out of 2 would get me an extra 7 units, getting both would get me an extra 67 units!!

 

[Spads]

Does anyone else think the frem w/c over/under is low at 160 when they average combined they score 180 points - both at home on a dry track ??

Nope, line looks right. Where did you get that average from?

 

[bruceharmes]

Nope, line looks right. Where did you get that average from?

footywire.

 

[Spads]

[QUOTE [Bruceharmes, post: 32884129, member: 83057"]footywire.[/QUOTE]
Good source, but Freo are averaging 163 and west coast 157. And have you seen these teams play? They can't score.

 

[Quite Ironic]

Kane Cornes more disposals than Boak $1.80, very confident on this.

 

[bruceharmes]

[QUOTE [Bruceharmes, post: 32884129, member: 83057"]footywire.

Good source, but Freo are averaging 163 and west coast 157. And have you seen these teams play? They can't score.[/QUOTE]
true, but if you factor in good conditions and both at home - over 160 looks likely !

 

[TheKanga]

North Melborne H2H
Geelong H2H
West Coast H2H

1.2U @ 4.07

North Melbourne Qtr Time Line (-5.5)
Geelong (-29.5)
West Coast (+12.5)

1u @ 7.00

 

[timcorb]

Mundy Over 101.5 1.87
Dal Santo Over 96.5 1.80
Harvey over 95.5 1.87
Cotchin Under 99.5 1.87