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AFL Round 12

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Yeah, fair enough, BL's opponents are 7-3 goals > behinds and Merrett out only helps with that given he's their best spoiler.
 
Western Bulldogs H2H - 3 units @ $2.45

Adelaide H2H - 2 units @ $2.35

Gold Coast H2H - 5 units @ $3.30, 25+- 2 units @ $8.50, 40+ - 1 unit @ $16.00

Geelong 1-39 - 2 units @ $2.25

Richmond H2H - 1 unit @ $3.72

Fremantle 1-39 - 2 units @ $2.40
 

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Really liking the look at this for my main multi of the week. Think Gold Coast and Essendon will go very close this week, and am banking on Geelong continuing their dominance over the Hawks and for Carlton to continue on their merry way.

Gold Coast +39.5
Geelong H2H
Carlton -29.5
Essendon +29.5
@3.38
 
I've put $50 on the first four games of the week, either team under 15.5 points. It happened in round five.

@ $75.69.

It's only a free bet, and I honestly think the first four games will be close.
 
Borgsta said:
Montagna is out.

We were saying the exact same thing about the Saints 3 weeks ago.

Fun stat.

Bulldogs lost by 59 last week. Saints by 57.

Bulldogs were "hammered". Saints "lost".

Don't let the media influence your decisions.
Click to expand...

Mate, the Dogs were never in the game, St.Kilda were.

Your boys kicked a few junk time goals to reduce the margin so 59 points isn't a true indication.

This game is a no-bet for me, Montagna out. I'd probably be tempted to take the Dogs @ $2.50
 
DT_35 said:
Mate, the Dogs were never in the game, St.Kilda were.

Your boys kicked a few junk time goals to reduce the margin so 59 points isn't a true indication.

This game is a no-bet for me, Montagna out. I'd probably be tempted to take the Dogs @ $2.50
Click to expand...

We were in the game until the final 6 minutes of the first half. Saints were in the game until half time.
 

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High/Low Doubles:

Ess/Adel @ 201 I like

Have also taken:
Carl/Adel, Carl/Rich, Ess/Rich, Ess/Bris.

FWIW, my mate asked me for a High/Low double and I told him Geel/Port @ 53. Sigh.
 
Borgsta said:
Montagna is out.

We were saying the exact same thing about the Saints 3 weeks ago.

Fun stat.

Bulldogs lost by 59 last week. Saints by 57.

Bulldogs were "hammered". Saints "lost".

Don't let the media influence your decisions.
Click to expand...

Dogs lost by over 10 goals last week.
 
flylikeaneagle said:
Dogs lost by over 10 goals last week.
Click to expand...

Apologies 61, not 59. Yep a massive 4 point difference.

You can call me bias because I am a dogs supporter but I am not advocating a play on the Dogs. I'm just staggered that beating an undermanned Freo, struggling to beat Melb and then getting smashed by Collingwood and people's opinions have changed from

Saints are shit, won't make finals.

To

Saints will thrash the Dogs (who are also shit).

EDIT: RE Gee vs Hawks - I'm guessing something to do with a training session and probably Franklin playing.
 
Borgsta said:
Apologies 61, not 59. Yep a massive 4 point difference.

You can call me bias because I am a dogs supporter but I am not advocating a play on the Dogs. I'm just staggered that beating an undermanned Freo, struggling to beat Melb and then getting smashed by Collingwood and people's opinions have changed from

Saints are shit, won't make finals.

To

Saints will thrash the Dogs (who are also shit).

EDIT: RE Gee vs Hawks - I'm guessing something to do with a training session and probably Franklin playing.
Click to expand...

I think the Saints-Dogs game will be its usual close, low scoring self. Though I still fancy the Saints to get over the line.
 
Anyone interested in Melbourne more behinds than goals @ 2.4
Collingwood put so much pressure on that it rushes opponents into taking shots at goals might be worth a go.
 

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Hey Lenny or anyone that knows ...how do you do a multi with a free bet and how many legs can you have? You go to the old site (sportingbet) right? How do you do it from there?

Edit - nevermind. ANy idiot can work it out haha but is there no line betting on the free bet or do SB just not have them out yet?
 
Athomas said:
High/Low Doubles:

Ess/Adel @ 201 I like

Have also taken:
Carl/Adel, Carl/Rich, Ess/Rich, Ess/Bris.

FWIW, my mate asked me for a High/Low double and I told him Geel/Port @ 53. Sigh.
Click to expand...

Interesting round coming up, can see plenty of teams kicking low scores, but not many to kick high scores: Carlton the most likely, with outside chances to Freo and West Coast.
 
KardiniaPark said:
Hey Lenny or anyone that knows ...how do you do a multi with a free bet and how many legs can you have? You go to the old site (sportingbet) right? How do you do it from there?

Edit - nevermind. ANy idiot can work it out haha but is there no line betting on the free bet or do SB just not have them out yet?
Click to expand...
Yeah they don't have all the options available for free bets - pretty shit really.

Good luck beating my record of $7 from the weekend :thumbsu:
 
As we hit the half way mark or there abouts in the premiership season, the top sides are looking to 'keep fresh' or maintain their list and as a result improve their finals performance. Look to fade a few teams in the next couple of months. Just got to find the right time, place and team.

This week (at first glance, not much study) I honestly think Colllingwood is a no go zone. I would be jumping against them but they are up against Melbourne and they are coming off a massssivve high from the win against the dons. Although history shows these 2 are close. No beams no thomas no dane no jolly. We like Melbourne with an extra days break. Just got to find the right bet (half time line, half full double etc.)

Carlton Brisbane is interesting. Brisbane had their let down game against swans. A big let down i might add and Carlton won when they were expected to win. Something that good teams do. We like Brisbane in the first half betting in this one. They come out with fire in the bellys after last week, Carlton again not much to play for just another one of those games they are expected to win.

Very early thoughts with out to much study and not investing until further study+ teams are released.
 

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AFL Round 12

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