AFL Round 14

[The_Next_JB]

2 units - DT - Graham Johncock over Richard Douglas @ 1.75
Johncock has won this in Adelaide's last 3 games

also looking at ling over enright @1.87 - 2 units

James Kelly over 95.5 DT points @ 1.87 on luxbet.

EDIT: Bet rejected, market on hold. Cheers luxbet.

kelly a late out for the cats

EDIT: Beaten to it...also playing ling for 2 units as well

 

[KardiniaPark]

Oh man who replaced him?

Ottens out too? Can we get a full team out there? Sheesh

 

[Cizzler]

Pods more goals than Tippett is the bet of the day.

 

[Purrfect Pussies]

Simpson and Motlop in, Kelly and Ottens out

 

[Rooster Cogburn]

Why? He got equivalent odds of $24.68

Explanation for those that don't understand and using $100 as the bet
Total 192 or less, 1 bet wins (<200.5), 1 loses - total loss of $12
Total over 201, 1 win (>192.5), 1 loses - total loss of $15
Bet middles, both win, return of $373, for a maximum risk of $15 = $24.86

Beats $6.50 in my books

He was being sarcastic, did you not see the wink?

An earlier poster noted you could get $6.50 for that score range, instead of the better odds for the middle.

 

[Cruiser23]

Cats are playing a practical joke this week...

 

[twarby]

If Crows can't cover +48.5 they might aswell quit trying to get a reserves team in the SANFL and just enter their first team

 

[Stocks_go_Up]

Not happy about the two late Geelong changes with Ottens and Kelly out.. Makes me a lot less confident about the -47.5 line....

 

[KardiniaPark]

If Crows can't cover +48.5 they might aswell quit trying to get a reserves team in the SANFL and just enter their first team

We still have 13-14 Premiership players in there plus menzel & duncan which are in our best 22. U Jelly

 

[Borgsta]

He was being sarcastic, did you not see the wink?

An earlier poster noted you could get $6.50 for that score range, instead of the better odds for the middle.

better odds but using 1u for each less winnings.

 

[twarby]

We still have 13-14 Premiership players in there plus menzel & duncan which are in our best 22. U Jelly

Tom Hawkins is playing though

 

[KardiniaPark]

Tom Hawkins is playing though

 

[ManWithNoName]

Roos v Port over/under is at 189.5. Seems wayyyyyyyy too high.

 

[TurboBreuster]

A terrible round so far for me! Addinng:
1U CARL 1-39 @2.2 (Sportsbet)
1.8U KANGAS -12.5 @1.92 (Sportsbet)
0.2U WCE/CARL/CARL/CARL @11 (Centrebet)
0.8U ADEL behinds>goals @2.38 (Centrebet)
0.7U GEEL behinds>goals @2.65 (Centrebet)
1U GEEL -44.5 @1.92 (Sportsbet)
1.2U NTH ML/Carl -9.5/GEEL -24.5 @2.79 (Sportsbet)

I have also tailed Lenny's MGS bet for J.Pod and JK. Good luck all.

 

[twarby]

Roos v Port over/under is at 189.5. Seems wayyyyyyyy too high.

does seem fairly high, looking at it a bit closer i can see why they have marked it so high, its perfect conditions for footy here aswell

 

[yamahamoto]

Adelaide...Wat a joke. Already 4 goals down

 

[Stocks_go_Up]

Good start by the Cats, hope they can keep it up.

 

[coach31]

2u - Le Cras most goals @ 5.75
(Has been highest goal scorer last 3 times against Blues, kicking 14 goals in the last 3 meetings).

2u - Gibbs more disposals than Scotland @ 2.17

 

[IDIG]

Just noticed sportsbet do one game multis, have jumped on North H2H / Swallow under 27.5 / Port qtr leader / Petrie under 2.5 @ 11.98.

Also, Boomer most possies @ 5 and Edwards most goals @ 7.

 

[The Royal Sampler]

Pods more goals than Tippett is the bet of the day.

Thanks for pointing this one out, mate, had a fair whack at it. Should have been $1.35-$1.40 IMHO, $1.60 was generous.

Only the one goal up at the moment though, would love another one or two.

 

[Purrfect Pussies]

Edwards most goals @ 7.

Like this one. Only $5.50 @ Sporting

 

[twarby]

Thanks for pointing this one out, mate, had a fair whack at it. Should have been $1.35-$1.40 IMHO, $1.60 was generous.

Only the one goal up at the moment though, would love another one or two.

don't know if he should have been that short, Crows Talls are ok defenders, we are lucky Tippet missed an easy goal, his record vs Geelong wasn't too bad

 

[KardiniaPark]

Massive fail...

bet365 dont have top goalscorer?

 

[EssendonPride]

Thanks for pointing this one out, mate, had a fair whack at it. Should have been $1.35-$1.40 IMHO, $1.60 was generous.

Only the one goal up at the moment though, would love another one or two.

Was at 1.73 when I got on via centrebet. Got lucky in the end really, Geelong seemed to completely ignore Pods wheneverh e was deep.

 

[Eskimo_Fennel]

Love to see Carlton go down, but ****ing hell West Coast.. Costin' me money