AFL Round 18: West Coast v Western Bulldogs Sunday 1:20pm AWST @OS

Who wins?

  • West Coast

    Votes: 25 78.1%
  • Western Bulldgos

    Votes: 7 21.9%
  • Draw

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • Total voters
    32
  • Poll closed .

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SUMMARY
Ending a 23-year MCG drought against Collingwood came at a massive cost for West Coast, with talismanic ruckman Nic Naitanui expected to be ruled out for at least 12 months due to a ruptured ACL. It was a major blow for the Eagles' flag hopes but, after leapfrogging the Pies into second spot on the ladder, they need to quickly refocus and get the job done against the Bulldogs, whose form has improved since West Coast rolled them by 51 points in round two. Luke Beveridge's men have been thumped in the past two games by Melbourne and Hawthorn, but shocked Geelong and pushed North Melbourne all the way the previous fortnight. Taking it up to the Eagles will still be a challenge for the visitors, especially without star Marcus Bontempelli (appendix), and they will need to contain West Coast's twin towers Josh Kennedy and Jack Darling to notch only a second win from the past 12 trips west.

WHERE AND WHEN: Optus Stadium, Sunday, July 22, 1.20pm AWST

LAST FIVE TIMES
R2, 2018, West Coast 18.13 (121) d Western Bulldogs 9.16 (70) at Etihad Stadium
R15, 2017, West Coast 12.15 (87) d Western Bulldogs 11.14 (80) at Etihad Stadium
R8, 2017, West Coast 9.15 (69) d Western Bulldogs 8.13 (61) at Subiaco Oval
2EF, 2016, Western Bulldogs 14.15 (99) d West Coast 7.10 (52) at Subiaco Oval
R11, 2016, Western Bulldogs 12.11 (83) d West Coast 11.9 (75) at Etihad Stadium

THE SIX POINTS

1. Jack Darling took 11 marks and booted four goals in the Eagles’ win in round two. West Coast dominated hit-outs 54-13 but clearances went the Bulldogs' way 33-32.

2. The Eagles' firepower will worry the Dogs now that Josh Kennedy, Darling and Mark LeCras have returned. West Coast is ranked third for scoring, averaging 92 points, while the visitors are ranked 16th with only 71 points per game.

3. The Bulldogs have struggled recently in second halves. Since round 11 they are -201 points after the main break. Third quarters have been especially tough this season, with the Dogs down by 224 points across 16 games.

4. West Coast has won seven of nine games so far at Optus Stadium while the Bulldogs have struggled in Perth recently losing 10 of their past 11, with that one victory coming in a memorable 2016 elimination final upset.

5. The Dogs will need to find a way around Eagles intercept defender Jeremy McGovern, who took 12 marks and had 14 intercepts against Collingwood. He also leads the League for contested marks (40).

6. Scott Lycett is the 20th-ranked ruckman in the Schick AFL Player Ratings but should climb up the board quickly when he takes hold of the No.1 role in Nic Naitanui's absence.

IT'S A BIG WEEK FOR …
Scott Lycett
. He has been ready to lead the ruck and now Lycett can show West Coast he is capable of being the main man, with the chance to bump up the price of his next contract.

PREDICTION: West Coast by 27 points
http://www.afl.com.au/match-centre/2018/18/wce-v-wb
 

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WC got lucky in getting the Bulldogs twice. Weather might rob them of a second good percentage boost though.
WC double up teams - Freo, Port, GWS, Sydney, Bulldogs - 3 top 8 teams there
GWS double up teams - St Kilda, Brisbane, Sydney, Adelaide, WCE - 2 top 8 teams
 

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How sensitive can you get? We got a top 6 draw, you got a middle six draw and fluked the Bulldogs.
No WC finished 6th last season. After finals is counted not pre finals.

You are the sook who brought it up like oh lucky WC they get a bottom 10 team twice. Well GWS actually have an easier draw and WC have statistically the hardest draw of any team this year.
 
How sensitive can you get? We got a top 6 draw, you got a middle six draw and fluked the Bulldogs.

We got a top 6 draw. Freo twice is a given no matter where we are on the ladder but Sydney, Port and GWS were included with our double ups.
 
West Coast by 110

Kennedy 10 goals
Darling 5 goals
Crikey, don't think it'll get to that stage.

Maybe 50 at most, but I reckon a hard slog is inbound.
 
We got a top 6 draw. Freo twice is a given no matter where we are on the ladder but Sydney, Port and GWS were included with our double ups.
Actually you didn't. The draw is done in groups of 6 on finishing ladder positions.
Teams dont stay where they were the previous year though so there's definitely luck involved.
 
So the fixture buckets don't include finals performance? I always thought they did (like draft picks). Be weird if 7th or 8th took out the flag but then got the middle bucket fixture.
Yes it does which is why WC have a more difficult draw than GWS, but don't let isaac cumming know the truth because it doesn't suit his/her agenda
 
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