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AFL Round 22

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I did enjoy the $1.65 I got outta hawthorn last week, this week I wouldn't touch us at that price. North normally match up on us well, and they play the dome well. Even if we have a great record there. Won our past 8 I would think this game will be close.

Hawthorn under 39.5 maybe or even either side under 15.5 could be a good bet.

I like Collingwood at the line, Crows and Tiges nice little multi..
 
Is anyone thinking the Saints are good value? They were paying $1.87 yesterday, but the more I think about it, they should be $1.60.

I was thinking St. Kilda based on a few things. They usually smash Gold Coast at Etihad (granted, Saints a lot worse and Suns a lot better this year). I didn't think the Saints were that bad against Sydney, and weren't horrible against the Hawks.

The other reason would be Kozchitske. If he comes in for his 200th, which seems likely, the boys will lift for him big time. Especially the likes of Hayes, Roo, Joey, Dal, and their other veterans.

Gazza seems to be playing injured too. Jones should keep him under 50 disposals, no problems.
 
Total match points Hawthorn v Kangaroos.

This could be massive..... Kangas three loses at the Dome they kicked 87pts v Pies and 106pts v Cats 108pts v Blues

Hawthorn are as good as full strength......Roos play great run and gun footy at the Dome and we know the hand brakes
are off ...little pressure is on them and thats what we will get from them again.

Hawthorn is the last team you want to get into a shoot out with.... If Roos can some how beat them playing that way
Im confident they will need to kick twenty goals to do it.

If Hawks win I can still see Roos kicking 14 goals plus.....

My model has the total points between 212 to 217pts

Happy to take the over 199 available
 

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OhhhhhCyril said:
I like Collingwood at the line, Crows and Tiges nice little multi..
Click to expand...
If west coast play like last week, pies will easily cover the line. I have watched every west coast game this year and made most of my money betting against west coast. If west coast turn up to play pies won't cover the line. Undecided I think the lines a bit too big. Collingwood head to head @ $1.13 for now.
 
X_box_X said:
Is anyone thinking the Saints are good value? They were paying $1.87 yesterday, but the more I think about it, they should be $1.60.

I was thinking St. Kilda based on a few things. They usually smash Gold Coast at Etihad (granted, Saints a lot worse and Suns a lot better this year). I didn't think the Saints were that bad against Sydney, and weren't horrible against the Hawks.

The other reason would be Kozchitske. If he comes in for his 200th, which seems likely, the boys will lift for him big time. Especially the likes of Hayes, Roo, Joey, Dal, and their other veterans.

Gazza seems to be playing injured too. Jones should keep him under 50 disposals, no problems.
Click to expand...

Kozi listed as a week away in the injury list, and Jones has been going to Bennell in our last few encounters. Young player might go to Ablett for the learning experience? Curren I think.
 

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Khatt said:
Why are the odds at Betworks so low? :confused:
Click to expand...
Not sure - perhaps coral86 or Jonathon can let you know?

btw Jonathon, you do realise that the AFL logo you have as an avatar is not the AFL that we talk about on this site? Of course you do, because you are clearly *not* spruiking Betworks from another country now are you?
 
X_box_X said:
Is anyone thinking the Saints are good value? They were paying $1.87 yesterday, but the more I think about it, they should be $1.60.

I was thinking St. Kilda based on a few things. They usually smash Gold Coast at Etihad (granted, Saints a lot worse and Suns a lot better this year). I didn't think the Saints were that bad against Sydney, and weren't horrible against the Hawks.

The other reason would be Kozchitske. If he comes in for his 200th, which seems likely, the boys will lift for him big time. Especially the likes of Hayes, Roo, Joey, Dal, and their other veterans.

Gazza seems to be playing injured too. Jones should keep him under 50 disposals, no problems.
Click to expand...


Why on earth would should they be $1.60? GC have won 4 more games and are clearly a superior team already. As for the old boys lifting...well they are all playing well, its the younger ones that aren't helping, they cant do any more than they already have (besides Steven- Gun)
 
KardiniaPark said:
Haha WOW.
Click to expand...
Lest it be changed
146015.jpg

Could have been further of the mark I guess...
uwuaf_logo.gif
 

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that's what I was thinking. Brisbane has been pretty good up there.

how about these tips?
coll over 24/under 39
adel over 60
geel under 39
freo over 24/under 39
gc under 39
rich over 60
bris under 39

im thinking of covering with bris/gc/geel head start
 
Anyone like Carlton at -80 or somewhere around there? $18 on sports bet essendon are cooked
 

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AFL Round 22

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