AFL Round 7

[twarby]

Interesting note, most places is seeing the total rise today, except for Bet365 who is going backwards!?

Got on the over 176.5 currently offered there.

they adjust according to money, people must have been hitting the unders there.


have just gotten home from work and havn't had time to look at much

have Carlton -15.5 @ 2.00
also on the overs
Gibbs @ 11 most disposals


Goddard > Montagna DT @ 1.95
you're a nobody Joey

​

 

[Didak_attack]

Feeling really gutsy tonight. $60 on Saints Over 39.5 @ $15.

 

[Hucky]

Jones will put the clamps on Judd

Jones isn't playing on Judd, he's on Murphy. Gilbert has Judd I think. Like the bet though.

 

[TurboBreuster]

2.4U blues -16.5 @1.92
0.5U blues 40+ @3.8

 

[anti_]

Marc Murphy Carlton 2.55 vs Nick Dal Santo StKilda 2.75 vs Leigh Montagna StKilda 2.80

Chris Judd Carlton 2.65 vs Brendon Goddard StKilda 2.65 vs Bryce Gibbs Carlton 2.80

Kade Simpson Carlton 2.65 vs Andrew Carrazzo Carlton 2.65 vs Jason Gram StKilda 2.80

i got those 3 multi'd @ 19.82.

simpson and carrazzo havent actually got that many points this year and gram has been surprisingly good.

judd kills it when the game involves lots of tackling/congestion, i cant see it going that way tonight.

murphy gets on the end of a lot of carlton's inside work, think he'll kick a few goals tonight too.

got a bit on carlton between 13-24 at HT as well.

 

[Mudeo]

WTF is with the umpires this round really one sided in every game.

 

[The Royal Sampler]

Thanks laam and N1k0s287, much appreciated. Like Judd over Dal Santo, but decided not to bet.

 

[KardiniaPark]

Blues will run all over them after half time. They are just too quick and keep threatening to kick 6-7 in a row where as the saints are just eeking out scores.

 

[Mudeo]

Ok so i have a few bets here tonight:

Carlton 25+ @ 2.2
Carlton 40+ @ 3.4
Carlton 60+ @ 6
Carlton 100+ @ 26
Betts FGS @ 11.5
Garlett Most Goals @ 8
Carlton Half Time Margin 25-36 @ 6.8
Carlton -21.5 @ 2.1
Total Game Score 181 to 190 @ 6.4

All just 5 bucks on.

Wow Betts misses on siren... just my luck this round.

 

[anti_]

i got those 3 multi'd @ 19.82.

simpson and carrazzo havent actually got that many points this year and gram has been surprisingly good.

judd kills it when the game involves lots of tackling/congestion, i cant see it going that way tonight.

murphy gets on the end of a lot of carlton's inside work, think he'll kick a few goals tonight too.

got a bit on carlton between 13-24 at HT as well.

thank you, edward betts.

looks like my DT one is stuffed though, goddard is having a shocker. ahhh well, still made profit.

 

[baywatch5]

ML - SAINTS (x3)

Do or Die for the Saint here tonight! They are currently sitting on just one win for the season and are currently below the Suns on the ladder. While Carlton are getting plenty of praise for their good start but much of that is all because of C.Judd! Carlton return from a tough slog against the Swans in Sydney and have won just one of the last ten against the Saints. Not sure how being hot favorites will sit with the Blues? Look the Saints offer plenty of value @ over $3 and if Kosi and Roo can take a few early marks inside forward 50 they could be on their way to a much needed Victory. This is the one area I still feel the Blues can be exposed. Their lack of size in the back half. Jones will put the clamps on Judd and look for big games from Goddard, Montagna and Dal Santo. The Saints are back at the Dome the ground they have had the most success at and play their best Footy! Saints for me to Catch the Blues off guard and get the season back on track!

(1.4u @ 3.16 @ Centrebet)

Adding extra 0.55u @ 6.5 1/2 time bet so my bet will return x6 units
(0.55 @ 6.5 @ Centrebet)

Still like St.Kilda's chances here. Minimal outlay for double return if come through.

 

[footysage]

Over 179 points or whatever it was not looking good here...

 

[RoosterLad]

Yep the over in trouble unless they get a move on.

I was also feeling good about the line when Carlton got up by 28 pts or so but now Carlton are back to 7. Make that 1.

 

[twarby]

round 7 you can finish now

 

[Lensen]

3 units Port at $5.55366666 (profit of 13.661 units) - Betfair
1.5 units Gold Coast at $8.50 - Readbet/Sportsbet
3 units West Coast at $5.00 - Sports Alive
6 units Adelaide at $2.10 - Centrebet (came in from $2.13 minutes earlier, grr!)
3 units St Kilda at $2.995 - Betfair

1.1 units on Schulz @ $15
0.2 units on Boak @ $81
0.2 units on D.Stewart @ $81

1.5 units Grant @ $13 - 1/4 dividend

1.2 units Wright @ $34
0.3 units Harvey @ $34

1.3 units Pavlich @ $13
0.2 units Van Berlo @ $41

1.4 units Ablett @ $51
0.1 units Matera @ $13

1.5 units Reimers @ $26 - 1/2 dividend
1.5 units Green @ $14

1.5 units O'hAilpin @ $13

For the round:
H2H: -3.75 units
Most Goals: +12.375 units
Total: +8.625 units

Overall:
H2H: +38.7715 units
Most Goals: +83.45 units
Total: +122.2215 units

Saints holding on would've given me green for the week for both bet types again - bah.

 

[footysage]

This thread needs to be locked and archived as soon as possible.

 

[EssendonPride]

Terrible Terrible Terrible weekend. Blew virtually everything (Last months winnings at least) on the Lions (why oh why). Luckily Essendon and Carlton restored a little but still a massive loss.

Stupid decision to go all in, especially when its the Lions.. Still, guess I've learnt a valuable lesson there

 

[Kahuna]

Terrible Terrible Terrible weekend. Blew virtually everything (Last months winnings at least) on the Lions (why oh why). Luckily Essendon and Carlton restored a little but still a massive loss.

Stupid decision to go all in, especially when its the Lions.. Still, guess I've learnt a valuable lesson there

Did the same on the power a few weeks ago, still haven't gotten over it.

 

[Island Bomber]

So glad my pay didn't clear on Sat and l have to wait till Tuesday, would have done my nuts.

 

[5 Bucks]

The Saints +24.5 @ $1.54 looks like value to me. They are going to bounce back eventually, and Carlton aren't suddenly a supreme force.

Milne most goals
Riewoldt most goals

2/3 ain't bad.
Pity I also took the Over option, just like plenty of folks on here.

 

[One Fell Swoop]

terrible beat for anyone on the overs in the saints-blues game. sometimes luck just isn't on your side.

 

[Lakey91]

terrible beat for anyone on the overs in the saints-blues game. sometimes luck just isn't on your side.

Not sure if its luck.

Smart money was on the unders. My thinking was:

Carltons last 3 – 87, 85, 79
Saints last 3 – 71, 89, 84

 

[Borgsta]

It's odd. 11.18 makes it sound unlucky but Carlton have kicked more behinds than goals in their past 4 matches now and in 5 of 7 overall.

 

[stuziman]

That sucks...blues kicked 3.8 in second half after kicking 8.10 in first

So frustrating!

 

[adii_7]

fukn glad that round is over, useless hacks carlton couldn't kick straight...

who knows what would of happen if they did.

anyway..

nothing i like round 8 either ffs