West Coast got near both Sydney and Hawthorn. Not sure how you rate those teams but I would have them both as at least decent.
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AFL Round 7
- Thread starter carpsi
- Start date
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West Coast got near both Sydney and Hawthorn. Not sure how you rate those teams but I would have them both as at least decent.
WC have won four of the last 5 against us
they have only beaten shit teams so far, but they have looked good in each match they have played, theres no reason to think they won't be competitive this week.. i think the books have us too short
So you think is running tonight Soho.
Paying 1.20 though so might be a bit too long odds for you
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I like:
Freo/WB @ 2.40
Freo/WB/Hawks @ 2.83 (For those like soho, add in Geel and Bris if you please - I dont!)
Might also look at the saints with the + line (depending on what it is). Carlton have only scored 70-80 points in their last 4 matches, and Id reckon the saints will get 50-60 themselves. If its around 20 Ill have a look.
Otherwise, maybe carlton 1-39 is a good play.
Freo/WB @ 2.40
Freo/WB/Hawks @ 2.83 (For those like soho, add in Geel and Bris if you please - I dont!)
Might also look at the saints with the + line (depending on what it is). Carlton have only scored 70-80 points in their last 4 matches, and Id reckon the saints will get 50-60 themselves. If its around 20 Ill have a look.
Otherwise, maybe carlton 1-39 is a good play.
asanque
Premium Platinum
You should steer clear because these are the two most dysfunctional teams in the AFL.
Hathorn are lazy and Sydney are ok but my statement stands - they havent beaten anyone. They wont get near Essendon IMO.
Agreed, a touch harsh throwing the hawks in the same basket as Port but I understand the point which I think you are making which is that you cant take hawthorn at points with any confidence. Id rather take the $1.18 in a multi for the hawks as that is a good thing rather than thinking they will cover a 20 odd point margin because you just dont know with them.
TurboBreuster
Cancelled
This round I am going to try to make only 4-5 plays. My only one so far is:
3U The Brisbane Clippers -11.5 1Q @1.92 (Sportsbet)
They have only lost the 1Q at the line once this year. While GC will be much better than last week, a 2 goal line will be far to easy for one of the best 1q teams in the AFL to cover v a team like the GC.
3U The Brisbane Clippers -11.5 1Q @1.92 (Sportsbet)
They have only lost the 1Q at the line once this year. While GC will be much better than last week, a 2 goal line will be far to easy for one of the best 1q teams in the AFL to cover v a team like the GC.
yeah buddyboy
that is the clear standout first quarter bet for me
that is the clear standout first quarter bet for me
No offence mate but your statement doesn't stand - you said West Coast haven't been close to a decent side and we have, twice.
Now you're saying we haven't beaten a decent side and I would agree with that, but it wasn't your original point.
Happy punting.
shavedham2kg
Senior List
- Mar 27, 2009
- 201
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- AFL Club
- Carlton
Where is this through?
Couldnt find this one on centrebet, though i might have been blind.
I'd be staying well away from using Hawthorn as an anchor in any multi...... Yep Port are a rabble but remember they still turned over Adelaide at home.....Hawks got rolled there last year they return for
a no doubt cold slippery night game without there best backman and
i highly doubt they will risk one of their few line breakers in Rioli.....
throw in Adelaide is a graveyard for Hawthorn........
I honestly think $5.60 Port on betfair is about $2.00 overs
a no doubt cold slippery night game without there best backman and
i highly doubt they will risk one of their few line breakers in Rioli.....
throw in Adelaide is a graveyard for Hawthorn........
I honestly think $5.60 Port on betfair is about $2.00 overs
The Royal Sampler
Floreat Pica, Bitch!
I like your thought process. Weather is for a "possible shower" at this stage. I'm on @ $1.72.Brisbane more goals than behinds. Every GC opponent this season has covered this. Essendon were $2 last week regarding this. With GC lazy inexperienced crap defense, there will be more goals kicked from the goal square than anywhere else.
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Melbourne come off Perth Road trips OK. Probably because they write off the Perth games and don't put in any effort.
Bailey's plan however, to thrash them on the training track as punishment after a road trip to Perth could spell
Bailey's plan however, to thrash them on the training track as punishment after a road trip to Perth could spell
They do have a 10 day break though which does work in their favor regardless of the extra 4 hours of the trip.
Yeah sorry I thought id originally said they havent beaten a decent side. My bad. It does remain to be seen if the hawks/swans are decent teams...
Bock back brings the margin in considerably but from what I've seen of Brisbane thus far they're actually a reasonable team despite their winless record.
Make no mistake, Brisbane will win this game and I would suggest they will want to HAMMER the GC considering they have nothing but pure hatred for those "mercenaries" in Brennan and Rischitelli.
They will not relent across the four quarters.
I actually backed Essendon at the line of -111.5 last weekend and reckon that the line this week is about right... if anything I will be getting on the -44.5 for Brisbane.
You would think Gold Coast would want to redeem themselves after their mediocre effort against Essendon. Then you factor in the fact they are playing their main rival in brisbane, i just don't see it being a blow out.