AFL Round 7

[Rough_Edges]

Port/Haw/Haw/Haw @ $8

Boak @ $14 most possessions

Franklin most goals @ $2.50

Motlop first goal @ $11


Boak vs. Shiels in DT @ $1.85

Hartlett vs. Kornes in DT @ $1.93

Sewell vs. Burgoyne in DT @ $1.67

Young vs. Lewis in DT @ 2.12

few bets to make the game a bit more interesting tonight.

 

[Hucky]

Luxbet need a lesson in how to properly offer a 100% FGS bonus.

Go on...

 

[X_box_X]

TAB are having a Mummy's Day Special on Shane Mummyford to score a goal tomorrow @ $9.

Source: Herald Sun.

 

[Donkson]

that is my whole bankroll...

I took a whole bunch of cash out last month to seal a property deal down in portsea which is going to net me a few mill next year, so starting small again on the gambling front... Only left 50 units in my acc...

Thanks for the concern

lol










lol

 

[Hucky]

2 units - Adelaide @ 2.08
1 unit - Richmond @ 2.35
2 units - Brisbane QT -12.5 @ 1.85

Adding:

1 unit - Franklin most goals @ 2.50
2 units - Hawthorn 1-39 @ 2.30

 

[Donkson]

what book has those DT markets twarby?

 

[laam]

TAB are having a Mummy's Day Special on Shane Mummyford to score a goal tomorrow @ $9.

Source: Herald Sun.

yeah i saw that, hopefully its available online cause I definately want some of that

 

[anti_]

what do you guys think of this for the disposals leader of the group?

Grant Birchall [HAW]
3.75
Liam Shiels [HAW]
4.00
Troy Chaplin [PORT]
6.00
Clinton Young [HAW]
6.00
Chance Bateman [HAW]
8.50
Paul Stewart [PORT]
11.00
David Rodan [PORT]
11.00
Matthew Broadbent [PORT]
11.00

i think chaplain is really good value there. lots of ball will be coming down in his area and i can see port chipping it around. franklin will probably give away a few frees to him as well (if they play on each other at some stage, with carlile also down there).

 

[Jimmy_the_Gent]

Franklin is favourite to kick most goals for a reason but he doesn't kick goals at AAMI.

Fast fact 1: In Franklin's 10 games at AAMI stadium he's never been the leading goal kicker.

Fast fact 2: Franklin averages 2 goals at game at AAMI but 3.1 goals over his career.

Fast fact 3: Franklin has never kicked more than 3 goals at AAMI.

With that in mind, Franklin will kick 12 and win everyone lots of money. Enjoy.

 

[half_back_flank]

Go on...

Place a bet on the FGS and if it gets up, you get a free bet equal to your stake. Doesn't hold a candle to sportingbets offer last week.

 

[laam]

Bets for this week so far

2units Brisbane more goals than behinds @1.72
this has got up for every team playing the GC

2 units Brisbane -12.5 first quarter @ 1.85
Brisbane fast starters and GC slow starters

1 unit essendon more points than hawthorn @ 1.98
hawthorn at wintery AAMI, dons at ettihad

1 unit hartlett more DT points than shiels @ 1.75
hartlett is in form, shiels was earlier, but not anymore, shiels only averaged 55 last year

1 unit adelaide win first qtr vs melb @ 2.05
melbourne slow starters

2 units "Safe multy" saints +42.5, adelaide+30.5, richmond +37.5 @ 2.01

2 units sandi > 99.5 DT points @ 1.77
richmond gift points to oposition rucks

2 units paful score a goal @ 1.72
starting forward

1 unit rockliff score a goal @ 1.83
just a gut feel and brisbane should have plenty of goalscorers

1 unit adams over wells in DT @ 1.83
this has got up 4/5 times this year

1 unit harvey >85.5 DT points @ 1.87
less than his average, last 4 scores of 102,85,91,101

 

[Trojan Pies]

Franklin is favourite to kick most goals for a reason but he doesn't kick goals at AAMI.

Fast fact 1: In Franklin's 10 games at AAMI stadium he's never been the leading goal kicker.

Fast fact 2: Franklin averages 2 goals at game at AAMI but 3.1 goals over his career.

Fast fact 3: Franklin has never kicked more than 3 goals at AAMI.

With that in mind, Franklin will kick 12 and win everyone lots of money. Enjoy.

Very relevant post and very funny at the same time...actually got on Franko to kick more the Roughy but now not as confident. Franko V Rough is 2-0 Franko with 3 ties.

My big multi for this weekend is:

Event: RICHMOND vs FREMANTLE / GOLD COAST vs BRISBANE / MELBOURNE vs ADELAIDE
Date of Event: 07-05-2011
Time of Event: N/A
Sport: AFL
Tip: Multi - Brisbane -20.5 into Adelaide +26.5 into Fremantle +26.5
Odds: $1.85
Units: 10
Sportsbook: Centrebet
Comments: Each team should easily cover each of these lines. Brisbane give up a very small start to GC while Adelaide and Fremantle could and should beat their respective opposition. If they don't they have over four goals of coverage.

 

[Athomas]

Like those bets laam!

For the record I'll post my bets here.

Full List of Round 7 Bets:

1 unit - Adelaide -15.5, Fremantle @ 4.69
0.4 units - Hawks 25+, Geel 25+, Freo 16+, Bris 16+, Adel 25+, Carl 22+ @ 46.75

1.7 units - Adelaide @ 2.13
0.7 units - Adelaide WTW @ 4.25

1.2 units - Fremantle @ 1.80
0.8 units - Freo WTW @ 3.75

0.2 units - Schulz FGS Q1 @ 15.00
0.2 units - Schulz FGS Q2 @ 15.00
0.2 units - Schulz FGS Q3 @ 15.00
0.2 units - Schulz FGS Q4 @ 15.00
0.6 units - Schulz Most Goals @ 15.00

0.1 units - Hartlett Most Possessions Group A @ 13.00

2 units - Rockliff to Goal @ $1.83

---------

Good luck everyone!

 

[vWestCoast]

What does units represent ? sorry i'm new to this thing, so i decided to use my sons account to find out lol
also what does Port Adelaide vs Hawthorn - Triple Margin 15.5
does it mean the end result. As in for Hawks they would have to win by 16 ?

 

[twarby]

B
1 unit hartlett more DT points than shiels @ 1.75
hartlett is in form, shiels was earlier, but not anymore, shiels only averaged 55 last year

Shiels has gone 81, 84 after back to back 100s, not what i would say is out of form.

i wouldn't call Hartletts last two games as tough matches for him.

 

[Stevie_Crow]

Chappy most goals at Skilled for $10, haven't seen too much of him this year. Bit of value i would have thought? (sportingbet)

 

[laam]

Shiels has gone 81, 84 after back to back 100s, not what i would say is out of form.

i wouldn't call Hartletts last two games as tough matches for him.

I posted that bet up earlier in this thread and forgot my reasoning and just went off memory, I guess that wasn't the reasoning as your right, Shiels isn't in bad form now I've checked.

ok found my post
Hartlett is in form and has more DT history, Shiels had a flying start to the year, but has died off slightly and prior to this year only averaged 55.

 

[Cuzz09]

Port Adelaide +25.5 @ $1.85
Sydney +24.5 @ $1.32
Geelong -11.5 @ $1.90 (1st quarter)
Richmond +24.5 @ $1.40
Brisbane 25+ @ $1.33
Essendon @ $1.20
Adelaide +24.5 @ $1.27
Carlton @ $1.68 (Lead quarter time)

...$22 odds...

 

[nofeet]

Port Adelaide vs Hawthorn - First Goalscorer

Shaun Burgoyne [HAW] 13.00

Port Adelaide vs Hawthorn - Winning Margin

Hawthorn 20-39 Points 4.00

 

[ManWithNoName]

Earlier multi

0.5u Port 1-39

2u total score <186.5

1u Schulz first goal

Plan on getting on Crameri for first goal too. Worked last week.

 

[KardiniaPark]

I have followed the lads and had Sewer Sewell most disp. Also have a hawks 1-39 into aussies over 8.5 at half time.

 

[Trojan Pies]

What does units represent ? sorry i'm new to this thing, so i decided to use my sons account to find out lol
also what does Port Adelaide vs Hawthorn - Triple Margin 15.5
does it mean the end result. As in for Hawks they would have to win by 16 ?

Units represent the strength of a bet. On my scale I go from 1-10 with 10 being a lock and 1 being very sketchy. Some people talk about units as a percentage of their account balance. Each to their own I say but any time you see me reference a 10 unit bet - get on it because I reckon its as good as paid out before the bounce!

Port Adelaide V Hawthorn - Triple Margin for Hawks would mean that they need to win by 16 or more. Correct.

 

[Trojan Pies]

I have followed the lads and had Sewer Sewell most disp. Also have a hawks 1-39 into aussies over 8.5 at half time.

If you're liking Sewell then he's available on Centrebet to have 23 or more possessions @ $1.87 or thereabouts.

 

[adii_7]

ffs duds hawthorn

 

[Lensen]

50 units on:

haw/haw (1.45)
geel/geel/geel/geel (1.38)
freo (1.67)
ess/ess (1.39)

@ $4.64

and thats me done for the week...

lol out in the first half of the first leg

good "winners"