AFL Round 7

[Mudeo]

Seriously, you think because you post on a forum it affects the outcome of your bets?

Really?

Well why bother posting anything at all?

I think you are just making excuses for your tips.

Don't mind me though, feel free to post after the event when you have won, as much as you like, I have said my piece.

Good luck.

I can be a superstitious sometimes, im just trying to prove my theory wrong by posting in here and actually winning .

I have my moments with my tips, not making any excuses for myself, i make my tips by evaluating each game in my head and by looking at the teams and which match ups will effect the game. You are very lucky if you win most of the time tho.

 

[Hucky]

The Saints +24.5 @ $1.54 looks like value to me. They are going to bounce back eventually, and Carlton aren't suddenly a supreme force.

Milne most goals
Riewoldt most goals

If Bynres is playing next week, Geelong at the line will be most appealing. They will get what, a 5.5 head start?

Collingwood showed last week that they can blow games apart in a very short amount of time. I'll be staying away from the Cats line unless it's very generous.

 

[Trojan Pies]

Got slaughtered by the Under for the Dees V Crows game....one of the toughest weekends for me.

Some big highs but more depressing lows.

The good thing is that you know that there is always next week....or in this case, tomorrow night!

Gotta love betting on sports!

 

[twarby]

Collingwood showed last week that they can blow games apart in a very short amount of time. I'll be staying away from the Cats line unless it's very generous.

yep

heading into this round, Geelong had only led matches for 52% of the time, come up against a team like Collingwood, they will make it impossible for you play half a game of footy and win.

that said Collingwood arn't travelling perfectly, the break would have helped them though

 

[5 Bucks]

Collingwood showed last week that they can blow games apart in a very short amount of time. I'll be staying away from the Cats line unless it's very generous.

The Dogs are headcases and gave up. Plus the 2 6 day breaks, combined with a trip back from Perth is a legit reason. Geelong won't do this. The Cats have the same ability to destroy teams in a 10 minute patch, just as they have consistently done over the past few years. Collingwood let Port back in the game, Richmond challenged them, The Dogs got level with them in the last quarter. Geelong are a far better team than those 3, so they will be able to capitalise on their chance, and their defence should be able to stop any onslaught. Geelong appear to have superior form to me.

 

[Mudeo]

i don't believe the Reimers bet considering he didn't start as the sub

Haha real funny, i got a bit unlucky with that today, but there really is no point saying it if you didnt actually win, we are actually betting with real money not Soho money

EDIT: I followed Lennys tip with the Reimers one.

 

[Vince Masuka]

Does it really affect you? This is a punting FORUM, if people want to post their completed bets then let them.

http://www.bigfooty.com/forum/showthread.php?t=728867

Being a new member, I took the time to read the rules.

It looks like I am not the only one it DOES affect.

 

[KardiniaPark]

i don't believe the Reimers bet considering he didn't start as the sub

Hahahahahahaha

 

[laam]

Bets for this week so far

2units Brisbane more goals than behinds @1.72

2 units Brisbane -12.5 first quarter @ 1.85

1 unit essendon more points than hawthorn @ 1.98

1 unit hartlett more DT points than shiels @ 1.75

1 unit adelaide win first qtr vs melb @ 2.05

2 units "Safe multy" saints +42.5, adelaide+30.5, richmond +37.5 @ 2.01

2 units sandi > 99.5 DT points @ 1.77

2 units paful score a goal @ 1.72

1 unit rockliff score a goal @ 1.83

1 unit adams over wells in DT @ 1.83

1 unit harvey >85.5 DT points @ 1.87

bad weekend

 

[Amack]

I'm looking at tomorrows match and I keep thinking the Saints are going to snap out of their slump but I'm just not prepared to risk my money even with a 15.5 head start.

 

[Mugpunter]

I can be a superstitious sometimes,

Me too. I feel if I post my bets, people will realise a vegetarian eats food that's smarter than me.

Anyhow ... thinking $100 on this,

2.24 CARLTON | Under 39.5
1.92 MANLY SEA EAGLES (Handicap -8.5)

@4.30

 

[Borgsta]

Does it really affect you? This is a punting FORUM, if people want to post their completed bets then let them.

Well it's supposed to be for tips and discussion of potential tips. If you want to brag about stuff after the fact go tell your mum.

 

[Rooster Cogburn]

Well it's supposed to be for tips and discussion of potential tips. If you want to brag about stuff after the fact go tell your mum.

I did that yesterday. Mum told me to stop gambling so much.

I told her it wasn't gambling, it was sports investing. She laughed at me

 

[The Big Woofer]

People on here posting picks they "made" after the event & then coming on here to boast is completely stupid, why not go for a walk around the block & tell yourself how clever you were & perhaps write it down on a postcard & mail it to yourself because you are basically having a conversation with yourself--nobody else cares & in no way is it constructive to a punting board designed for exchanges of information & thoughts.

Tonight's game:

can't see how this game stays under 176.5, last 5 games have all either been over 200 or close to it between these 2 & this year StK is by no means a lock down team, their game vs Adelaide got to 161 even with Stk kicking 1.9 in the 1st half!!!!

Also see Carlton covering the -16.5, they have too much run & too many scoring options for StK who are not functioning well enough to beat many top 8 sides.

 

[PieBeast]

Does anyone else thinks 3.40 on offer for Blues over 39.5 is an absolute gift?

 

[footysage]

Does anyone else thinks 3.40 on offer for Blues over 39.5 is an absolute gift?

Yeh pretty good, although you might want to be safe and take over 25 points @ around $2.40.

 

[KardiniaPark]

Does anyone else thinks 3.40 on offer for Blues over 39.5 is an absolute gift?

Nah I still cant write off the saints yet! If they get smashed ill completely jump off but ONE more chance! Not sure they can win but I can imagine both teams under 80 and a tight game. Thats where my money will be anyway.

 

[Jammer]

Thanks for the total match points under on the Hawthorn game Big Woofer.. was too busy and missed it....

Thought Port were big overs on Fri night ...ended up trading out for a small lose..... could only get around $1.35 Hawks at the start of the last
qrt as books presumed ( right ) Port were shot.....

Like the over on tonights game too....Everyone is waiting for the return to form..... just cannot see it happenning.....their back line is bleeding goals... should continue tonight..

 

[Big Jono]

Does anyone else thinks 3.40 on offer for Blues over 39.5 is an absolute gift?

$4.10 on Betfair right now FYI.

 

[jefffff34]

Most Goals
Favourite - Milne $5.50
Value - Waite $14.00


Most Disposals Multi (Sportingbet)
Group A - Montagna $6.00 X Group B - Curnow $4.00
$10 on to collect $240

 

[jamesmac23]

going over 180.5 @ $2

last 6 have gone over, any particular reason why this wont continue?

 

[puntnut]

Jeff Garlett FGS @ $17
Over 179.5
Carlton -16.5

 

[adii_7]

Either you need to change your unit values, or have a look at how much you are betting.

i went big on this weekend, being very confident.

i went huge on port, that cost me.

anyway, i can still see green for the weekend, if this multi comes in..

 

[adii_7]

Nah I still cant write off the saints yet! If they get smashed ill completely jump off but ONE more chance! Not sure they can win but I can imagine both teams under 80 and a tight game. Thats where my money will be anyway.

well your asking to lose KP, can see carltank scoring 160 here.. no hayes.. who goes in hard? st kilda will just let carlton run around them...

i expect it to be like 120-160 to 60-90

 

[adii_7]

Jeff Garlett FGS @ $17
Over 179.5
Carlton -16.5

Gone with Garlett @ 13.00
most goals @ 7.50
Over 179.5 @ 1.90
and carlton -16.5 @ 1.90

might also include..
judd warnock and few others at odds to kick first goal into carlton o39.5