AFL Round 7

[Athomas]

Took:
Garlett FGS @ 17
Garlett Most Goals @ 8.5
Carlton -17.5 @ 2.08

Go blues and garlett!

(And since I've posted in this thread I've had a shocking weekend! Hopefully luck will change )

 

[adii_7]

also taking over 60


like the look of 80-89 and 90-99
but i may just pass on those...

 

[jefffff34]

Weird, I genuinely think St.Kilda will win tonight.

They have to click sooner or later.

 

[The Big Woofer]

Weird, I genuinely think St.Kilda will win tonight.

They have to click sooner or later.

Why--they might get worse....

 

[adii_7]

hoggy, carlton are home and hosed before the bounce.

they dont have to 'click'... they will be lucky to beat gold coast imo

 

[Lyyynnnchy]

Agreed shocking weekend for me as well.

I'll go with

10 units over 177.5
5 units Carlton 40+
1 unit Waite most goals
1 unit Milne most goals
1 unit Gartlett most goals

 

[laam]

I backed the saints to beat adelaide, that was their last chance, so this week

Carlton 40+ @4.1
Over 177.5 @1.9

 

[Nothing]

Weird, I genuinely think St.Kilda will win tonight.

They have to click sooner or later.

If Montagna is out too (which is strongly rumoured) who is going to win the ball for Saints?

EDIT: My bets are:
Carlton -19.5 @ $2
Over 180.5 @ $2
Gibbs over Judd and Goddard @ $2.80
STK 106-120 /CAR 121+ @ $38

 

[Athomas]

Think it was just confirmed on SEN that monty is out.

Took Carlton 40+ at 4.1 and 4 (for 4.03 total)

 

[The Big Woofer]

Carlton -16.5 & the Over 177.5 is going to be huge if it comes in for just about this entire board.....I think we'll be ok on both.

 

[El Matador]

Unconfirmed but according to SEN no Montagna tonight.

All over Carlton 40+.

 

[RoosterLad]

Also taken the -16.5 for Carlton on bet365, I think it is 17.5 at some places now.

 

[Bic]

Interesting note, most places is seeing the total rise today, except for Bet365 who is going backwards!?

Got on the over 176.5 currently offered there.

 

[5 Bucks]

Total Match Points 221 or more @ 11.

I can see Riewoldt trying for once this year and booting 6 or 7, or 10 between him and Milne, so taking them both for Highest Goal Scorer at $5 and $5.50

 

[Vince Masuka]

Have taken the over 176.5 @ 1.90 Bet365

Also taken St Kilda HT/FT Double @ 4.50 Bet365

St Kilda have a better record at Etihad. Plus, they are due to improve.

 

[Mudeo]

Ok so i have a few bets here tonight:

Carlton 25+ @ 2.2
Carlton 40+ @ 3.4
Carlton 60+ @ 6
Carlton 100+ @ 26
Betts FGS @ 11.5
Garlett Most Goals @ 8
Carlton Half Time Margin 25-36 @ 6.8
Carlton -21.5 @ 2.1
Total Game Score 181 to 190 @ 6.4

All just 5 bucks on.

 

[Hucky]

Also taken St Kilda HT/FT Double @ 4.50 Bet365

Ballsy play, I like it.

Aside from past results, why is everyone so confident on the overs for this particular game?

 

[mattys123]

Ballsy play, I like it.

Aside from past results, why is everyone so confident on the overs for this particular game?

I'd say most people think Carlton are one of the highest scoring sides in the AFL, and that StKilda have all but abandoned their real shutdown style of football, and instead are trying to become more modern (e.g. the forward press)

I don't trust Ross Lyon though, he will shut a game down completely one day again, it's guaranteed, just hope for all our sakes it's not tonight.

Waiting for final teams myself, but probably going to go fairly big on Carlton at the line (-16.5).

 

[Vince Masuka]

Ballsy play, I like it.

Aside from past results, why is everyone so confident on the overs for this particular game?

Cheers

I am usually confident of the overs at Etihad, within reason. The ground seems a lot easier to score on.

176.5 does look a little low for pristine conditions.

 

[haysie68]

Goddard most disposals GroupA @ $12 x 1 u
Reiwoldt first goal @ $11 x .5 u
Either < 15.5 @ $3.40 x 1 u
Betfair

 

[The Royal Sampler]

Anyone have access to the fantasy H2H matchups on Sportingbet? I've only got the iPhone handy at the moment and you can't bet on them over the phone...

 

[laam]

this feels a bit like a chase for the poor weekend but what the hell
2u carlton -16.5 @1.92
1u over 177.5 @ 1.9
1u carlton -39.5 @3.95

 

[laam]

Nick Dal Santo StKilda 1.83 vs Chris Judd Carlton 1.91

Leigh Montagna StKilda 1.80 vs Brendon Goddard StKilda 1.95

Heath Scotland Carlton 1.75 vs Andrew Carrazzo Carlton 2.01

Marc Murphy Carlton 2.55 vs Nick Dal Santo StKilda 2.75 vs Leigh Montagna StKilda 2.80

Chris Judd Carlton 2.65 vs Brendon Goddard StKilda 2.65 vs Bryce Gibbs Carlton 2.80

Kade Simpson Carlton 2.65 vs Andrew Carrazzo Carlton 2.65 vs Jason Gram StKilda 2.80


Marc Murphy
Carlton
4.40
Nick Dal Santo
StKilda
5.00
Leigh Montagna
StKilda
5.50
Chris Judd
Carlton
5.75
Brendon Goddard
StKilda
5.75
Bryce Gibbs
Carlton
6.75
Heath Scotland
Carlton
11.00
Jason Gram
StKilda
15.00

 

[N1k0s287]

Anyone have access to the fantasy H2H matchups on Sportingbet? I've only got the iPhone handy at the moment and you can't bet on them over the phone...

Dal Santo 1.83 vs Chris Judd 1.91

Montagna 1.80 vs Goddard 1.95

Heath Scotland 1.75 vs Carazzo 2.01

EDIT: ^^^ What he said

 

[baywatch5]

ML - SAINTS (x3)

Do or Die for the Saint here tonight! They are currently sitting on just one win for the season and are currently below the Suns on the ladder. While Carlton are getting plenty of praise for their good start but much of that is all because of C.Judd! Carlton return from a tough slog against the Swans in Sydney and have won just one of the last ten against the Saints. Not sure how being hot favorites will sit with the Blues? Look the Saints offer plenty of value @ over $3 and if Kosi and Roo can take a few early marks inside forward 50 they could be on their way to a much needed Victory. This is the one area I still feel the Blues can be exposed. Their lack of size in the back half. Jones will put the clamps on Judd and look for big games from Goddard, Montagna and Dal Santo. The Saints are back at the Dome the ground they have had the most success at and play their best Footy! Saints for me to Catch the Blues off guard and get the season back on track!

(1.4u @ 3.16 @ Centrebet)