I would think it is almost certain we are going to the draft to get JOM.
I suspect we had earmarked pick 14 for JOM and next years first and maybe a second for Tom Mitchell however as soon as GCS rejected pick 14 we had a look at the draft order and saw St Kilda and North there at picks 10 and 11. We all expect Richmond will trade 6 for Prestia and you have to assume that Essendon and Carlton are not going to give up pick 1 and 5 for JOM.
My understanding is that the consensus for the draft is that it is very even after around pick 5 so there would have been a real risk of the Saints or North taking a punt on drafting JOM before we had the chance at 14. With the pick swap moving us above North and removing the Saints, we put ourselves as the first Victorian club in the draft after pick 5 putting us in the box seat for JOM - it has to be highly unlikely that a non-vic club will pick him up. This also explains why we have overpaid the Saints - we were effectively asking them to give up their ND leverage to our benefit.
With this in mind, I expect we have told GCS that it is pick 10 or nothing and they can either have an extra top-10 pick in the draft or nothing. They lose JOM either way.
It would be nice to take JOM in the PSD however the risk that Essendon, Carlton, Richmond, St Kilda or North manage to fit him in their cap is probably too great.