AFLW 2021

[NonPhixion]

SGM for this game - Lambert 15+, Kearney 20+ & Molloy AGS $3.25

Will be more if you can get a boost on SB

 

[Robo87]

Like every player listed for 15+ in the Pies North game, are all averaging 19 or above

i like this.
1u sgm- kearny, riddel, bruton, lambert, davey bonnici all 15+ @2.75 sb

1u sgm- kearny, riddel, bruton, lambert, davey bonnici all 15+ , North h2h @3.75 sb
1u sgm- north win, garner ags @2.37 b365

 

[NYRB]

Joanna Lin AFLW Anytime Goalscorer @ $4.33. She kicked a goal against Richmond AFLW last week.

 

[NYRB]

Linnsanity coming to the AFLW .......

 

[Robo87]

adding,
1.5u bannister ags @1.83 sb
1u bannister 2g+ @5.50 sb

 

[Gibbsy]

SGM for this game - Lambert 15+, Kearney 20+ & Molloy AGS $3.25

Will be more if you can get a boost on SB

I missed getting on “Georgie’s Featured BYO” this week after our great fill-up (totally just forgot to suss it out) but re-posting here just in case anyone got on. Pretty reasonable value and looking even better now with the Pies’ hot start:

Collingwood +9.5
Molloy AGS
Kearney AGS
Kearney 15+ disp

$7.50 (it may have started longer like last week’s one did?)

 

[NYRB]

Magpies played the better in that 1st half. Just look a bit more potent in front of goal compared to the Roos there.

 

[NYRB]

i reckon games at the Dome are a bit more lower scoring just due to the size of the grounds compared to the suburban grounds.

 

[Robo87]

Crows team named
In: C.Randall, H.Munyard, R.Forth
Out: C.Biddell (Omitted), R.Martin (Injured), C.Gould (Omitted)
Also: "Brisbane has suffered a loss to its backline, with in-form rebounder Nat Grider out with illness."

1u Bodey ags @2 Sb
1u Scheer ags @2.50 Sb
1u Ponter ags @2.60 Sb
All quite capable of kicking a goal.
Edit: Adding 0.7u SGM- Bodey, Scheer, ponter all ags @17.25 sb boosted

Backing Randall to go back and play mostly defense all game to shutdown the taller Brisbane forwards. Phillips listed HF to get supply into Adelaide fwd line.

Mithen listed FF for Dees game.
1u Mithen ags @2.50 sb

 

[NonPhixion]

Crows team named
In: C.Randall, H.Munyard, R.Forth
Out: C.Biddell (Omitted), R.Martin (Injured), C.Gould (Omitted)
Also: "Brisbane has suffered a loss to its backline, with in-form rebounder Nat Grider out with illness."

1u Bodey ags @2 Sb
1u Scheer ags @2.50 Sb
1u Ponter ags @2.60 Sb
All quite capable of kicking a goal.
Edit: Adding 0.7u SGM- Bodey, Scheer, ponter all ags @17.25 sb boosted

Backing Randall to go back and play mostly defense all game to shutdown the taller Brisbane forwards. Phillips listed HF to get supply into Adelaide fwd line.

Mithen listed FF for Dees game.
1u Mithen ags @2.50 sb

i have tailed Scheer & Ponter. Think these are great odds on SB.

Multi for today:
Scheer AGS, Hodder AGS, Grant AGS & Privitelli AGS $21.57 on SB
All playing deep forward.

 

[Red Dog Styles]

Bris v Crows
Just going to take the over 72.5 @1.95 TAB

Bit of a spike in total but just a small wager.

Good luck to all the goalscorer bets!

On SM-G930F using BigFooty.com mobile app

 

[Robo87]

Randall still playing fwd today.
I Didn't check her ags price as thought she wouldnt play there..
Crows looking hot so far. Brisbane getting found out today perhaps.

 

[mookieb]

Alright well let's see how I go with my own power rankings.

1. Freo - clear top after dismantling Ade
2. NM - should be top 2, but a few concerning stats in the first 3 rounds
3. Bris - hard to judge having only played poor teams
4. Ade -
5. Melb - might have underestimated them prior to last week
6. Coll - 3 wins, but not been entirely convincing
7. Carl -
8. GWS - terrible preseason should start to claw their way back
9. WB -
10. StK - hardly scored the last 2 weeks
11. Geel -
12. GC -
13. Rich - showing a few promising signs
14. WC - clearly bottom for me

Bumper round last week, but lines have blown out with the better teams against the bottom teams this week.

2u NM -9.5. If they are indeed top 2 they should bounce back hard after a bad loss. They'll dominate the ruck and contested possessions.

2u GWS -10.5. Terrible prep, but we are into round 4 and they've been back at home for 2 games in a row and got a confidence boosting win last week. WC are terrible and struggling to be competitive. Also WC back to back travel on a 6 day break.

Tailing NP on Freo.

Changing to 1.5u GWS -10.5 and 1u GWS 3rd qtr line. Expect WC to fade. Expected rain isn't near as heavy so line moved out. I have WC ranked below GC, Geel and Rich (who aren't looking to bad now) and the 1st two are struggling to be competitive.

Any reason why the Melbourne line isn't bigger? I'm a bit worried some of these teams (ie Freo + Carl) come out strong then fade. I think i'll wait and hope WB are competitive then fade so potentially bet live.

 

[squeaky1000]

Hore ags $1.80 bet365
Huntington ags $1.80 sb

 

[Robo87]

Just noticed, No disposal markets up for todays remaining games?

Also Scheer is playing midfield for crows, it seems Clarke prefers her there , so i won't be putting her in ags bets anymore.

 

[NYRB]

Bulldogs v Melbourne total match points line is 77.5 points


Thats quite a high line for a womens match.

 

[Robo87]

1u multi- huntington, mithen, privitelli @8
1u multi- huntington, parry, privitelli @5.63
tailing 1u Hore ags $1.80 bet365
1u Huntington ags $1.80 sb

 

[NYRB]

The Spread at PointsBet.com.au for Dees v Dogs women is

75-81 points

 

[NYRB]

That Souvlaki chip stand at Whitten Oval looks tempting.....

 

[NYRB]

the average at Whitten Oval from 13 matches is 71.8 pts per game, thats why i thought the line initially was a tad high.

 

[mookieb]

Changing to 1.5u GWS -10.5 and 1u GWS 3rd qtr line. Expect WC to fade. Expected rain isn't near as heavy so line moved out. I have WC ranked below GC, Geel and Rich (who aren't looking to bad now) and the 1st two are struggling to be competitive.

Any reason why the Melbourne line isn't bigger? I'm a bit worried some of these teams (ie Freo + Carl) come out strong then fade. I think i'll wait and hope WB are competitive then fade so potentially bet live.

Melb 10 to 1 inside 50's. Looking good, but not converting. 1u Melb -11.5 live.

Also 5 scoring shots vs 1.

 

[NYRB]

1st Half

Inside 50's

Demons 22-4 Bulldogs

Demons haven't put it on the scoreboard.

 

[mookieb]

Melb 10 to 1 inside 50's. Looking good, but not converting. 1u Melb -11.5 live.

Also 5 scoring shots vs 1.

Doubled up with another unit at -5.5. Kicking with the wind this quarter but 3rd qtr lines wasn't that attractive.

21 to 4 inside 50's. Dominating possession, but will need to find a way to actually kick goals.

Wouldn't be surprised to see one of the weaker teams fold again in the 2nd half.

 

[NYRB]

Inaccurate footy is bad footy. Dogs right in this with home crowd IMO.

 

[NYRB]

West Coast Total match Points later today spread against the Giants later today
is

21-24 points