Ha, was it really that for the total game points?
It's Already at 39pts end of first quarter....
Some bookie got their estimation total very wrong.
AFLW 2021
- Thread starter NonPhixion
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It's Already at 39pts end of first quarter....
Some bookie got their estimation total very wrong.
- Oct 6, 2011
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My only thinking was the weather . But yeah surprised to see the total about 4 goals lower than the game the previous night.
- Mar 27, 2018
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overs hits at HT.
Melbourne are looking sharp.
I'm going to get on the Woodland train next up. Crows will destroy WC and shes named at FF.
AGS $2.40, 2+ $5.50, 3+ $21
Melbourne are looking sharp.
I'm going to get on the Woodland train next up. Crows will destroy WC and shes named at FF.
AGS $2.40, 2+ $5.50, 3+ $21
3 from 4 overs so far, the only unders going half a point under. Think the totals should be around 70.5 plus or minus 5 depending on the teams playing. Will be interesting to see what they go up with tomorrow.
- May 5, 2014
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Yep, missed this, just like the only thing I bet that you recommended from the Coll/ Carl game was the one that lost
.How are you so good at picking these (goal scorers in particular), just bookies not having a good handle on the league and giving up huge edges, or something else?
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1u multi - freo, Bris, North win @2.83 b365 (elsewhere is about $2)
1u multi - freo -14.5, Bris -18.5, North win @5.03 b365
1u multi - freo -14.5, Bris -18.5, North win @5.03 b365
- Mar 27, 2018
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I like this. Tailed. Think all 3 favourites win pretty easily today.
Not too many GS Markets that appeal.
Taken Hodder AGS $3.15 & Bodey AGS $2.90
Also a small nibble on Abbatangelo 2+ $3.75 on SB.
- Mar 27, 2018
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Yep, missed this, just like the only thing I bet that you recommended from the Coll/ Carl game was the one that lost
How are you so good at picking these (goal scorers in particular), just bookies not having a good handle on the league and giving up huge edges, or something else?
Honestly nothing special. I think i have a good grasp of where each team sits, each team has 1 or 2 players that are never value for GS. E.g Tayla Harris, Erin Phillips. So i look for players that are listed Forward on the team sheet that are a bit more value down the list. Then do a little background search on the player, in the case of Woodland she actually led the league in goals in the SANFLW. and just quietly she missed her 3rd goal from 5M in the last qtr.
But there is definitely edges on AFLW, bookies are not up to speed with it like other sports that have been around for a lot longer.
yea on SB into 1.62 and 2.50 now. nice get on hodder early, ill still tail hodder ags 1u @2.30 b365
and like 1u Wardlaw ags @1.90 b365.
- Mar 27, 2018
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this North team is going to be very hard to beat.
Live-Bet 2U North 40+ $2.50 -
This wont even be close.
Live-Bet 2U North 40+ $2.50 -
This wont even be close.
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yea cats dont look like scoring..
for brisbane, can also do
0.5u sgm - hodder ags into bodey ags @4.90 sb (unfortunatly theres no wardlaw option to add)
bit harder to predict other bris gs without seeing them play yet but their team probably gets 6-8goals kicked i would think.
0.5u hodder 2g+ @4.50
0.3u hodder 3g+ @17
0.5u wardlaw 2g+ @3.60
0.3u wardlaw 3g+ @11 all b365
added: 1u sgm - duffy ags, houghton ags, Roux ags @3.85 sb
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- May 5, 2014
- 1,090
- 1,497
- AFL Club
- Gold Coast
You are a freakshow.
- Mar 27, 2018
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- #42
Verrier ags $3.35
2+ $10.50
And for some fun FGS $20
2+ $10.50
And for some fun FGS $20
Houghton is a gun, odds were wrong on her this week but unfortunately won't be the same for rest of comp
My tip for Freo AFLW is wait for one of the girls to have a lena week and their odds will go higher ie Roux hasn't goaled so may see higher odds next week, then get on at that time.
My pick was gonna be Sharp this week but she didn't even get picked, thats how stacked the forward line is.
My tip for Freo AFLW is wait for one of the girls to have a lena week and their odds will go higher ie Roux hasn't goaled so may see higher odds next week, then get on at that time.
My pick was gonna be Sharp this week but she didn't even get picked, thats how stacked the forward line is.
Roux let me down in the last multi..yea cats dont look like scoring..
for brisbane, can also do
0.5u sgm - hodder ags into bodey ags @4.90 sb (unfortunatly theres no wardlaw option to add)
bit harder to predict other bris gs without seeing them play yet but their team probably gets 6-8goals kicked i would think.
0.5u hodder 2g+ @4.50
0.3u hodder 3g+ @17
0.5u wardlaw 2g+ @3.60
0.3u wardlaw 3g+ @11 all b365
added: 1u sgm - duffy ags, houghton ags, Roux ags @3.85 sb
Still a good rnd1 for aflw.
an early suggestion is north/freo for the gf winner, with Adel/Melb a roughie chance.
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Ripper round 1, overs were 5/7 even with the bookies adjusting it as the weekend went.
Will be looking out for low handicaps next week as they were a bit timid on the lines. The big 3 clubs all covered their lines comfortably.
Will be looking out for low handicaps next week as they were a bit timid on the lines. The big 3 clubs all covered their lines comfortably.
Good to hit my 1st AFLW bet with Freo ending up winning easily in the end. Tailed NP and some of the multis and other bets on here. Good to have footy back but even better to have a fill up 1st round!
Let's keep up the good work.
It should be noted that the Rich vs Bris game was 6 goals 17 and should have gone over as well.
I thought for a first round skills were much improved on last year. Ball movement was pretty good and a few players kicked a bag and obviously know where the goals are. I think overall totals will trend up.
It might be matchup dependent though. 3 teams kicked either 1 or 2 goals and in a few games goals were scored by getting out the back and running into open goal. GWS did this at least twice which means that there conversion from standard inside 50 was quite poor.
In the last 6 games the winner (excluding Bris who should have kicked 50+) all teams scored over 50 with the average being much higher than that.
Agree, even in the Freo game there were a few set shots from 35 not making the distance or going OOF. Hoping there is some adjustment.
The improvement has come from the bottom players being replaced by debutants who have actually played the game longer.
Think the overs might be good for games with class in the forward line. Freo v Adelaide will be one to watch as Freo have Duffy and Adelaide have Phillips.
Rich v Brissy was gusty. So even small amounts of weather I think could have an impact. But blue skies with small amounts of wind, I can't see to many totals going under 65 - 70 with the better teams playing.
