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HTPunter

Brownlow Medallist
Sep 27, 2014
12,720
18,338
AFL Club
North Melbourne
Quiet around these parts but happy to get to a thread up

Melbourne v Essendon
0.3U McNamara most dis G1 @ $8.50
0.2U Chaplin most dis G1 @ $16

Both have topped Melbourne once each in past 2 weeks so on that basis feel it’s value.

1U O84.5 TP

Melbourne could kick this themselves, alright conditions tonight
 
Not sure who was in those groups but both good picks on the disposals and very noticeable live.

Dees couldn’t score freely today.

Prespakis was for Essendon & she topped the group, but yep felt alright considering they both finished on 24 for equal 2nd @ those odds

1U Riddell most disposals G1 @ $1.76
 
Blackburn 20
Pritchard 20
1U @ $1.66

Port mids don’t get a lot of ball, but opposition mids haven’t found it hard despite Ports low possession style, so hoping the Dogs continue their midfield form
 

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Adelaide -23.5 @ $1.91 B365

Adelaide aren’t a ruthless destroyer type team anymore, only clearing this line in 2 wins this year. But SB has it at 27.5 which is where I thought it should be, and PB has 23.5 @ $1.88 so I think I’m getting a good line here.

Richmond have lost 3 games by over this margin as well as a 21 & 20 against the Dogs & Sydney, 2 lesser teams than Adelaide.

If Adelaide kick straight early they should have the firepower with Jones, Ponter & Hatchard.
Missing Randall & Gould so it’s not an obvious “slam” line but happy with 1U
 

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