Racing April Daily Punt- The Championswamps and a farewell to the Queen

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iluvparis

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Amangiri would be hard to beat in that SA Oaks if Tommy Berry isn't on.
My concern was they were going to tip her out before the Oaks because they thought she had come to the end of the prep - and they have already been to the well again. Surely she will be over the top come May or whenever it is
 

noffle

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Dumb question ahead: when people talk about a track having a leader's bias on a day, what does that actually mean? The inside rail position is running much faster so it's hard to overtake from 2 or 3 wide, or just generally that the track is slow so it's hard to wind up and reach a top speed?
 

iluvparis

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Dumb question ahead: when people talk about a track having a leader's bias on a day, what does that actually mean? The inside rail position is running much faster so it's hard to overtake from 2 or 3 wide, or just generally that the track is slow so it's hard to wind up and reach a top speed?
Most likely to be the former - the inside ground is faster so the backmarkers who generally have to pull out from behind the leaders to run them down are running in a slower part of the track.

Slower is generally better as for backmarkers as (theoretically) they have more time to run down the leaders as the races are slower
 

FallingLiefs

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Dumb question ahead: when people talk about a track having a leader's bias on a day, what does that actually mean? The inside rail position is running much faster so it's hard to overtake from 2 or 3 wide, or just generally that the track is slow so it's hard to wind up and reach a top speed?
not a dumb question

it changes. generally i find faster tracks inherently advantage the leader specifically fast straight/last 400. harder to make ground and run the time required to mow down the leader etc. then there is fast lanes, wind, undulations, rate of turn, camber etc etc.

there's completely different reasons and can change race to race.
 

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54Dogs

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Dumb question ahead: when people talk about a track having a leader's bias on a day, what does that actually mean? The inside rail position is running much faster so it's hard to overtake from 2 or 3 wide, or just generally that the track is slow so it's hard to wind up and reach a top speed?
Could be either.

If the track is even but rock hard it generally favours leaders because of the required speed to make ground from the back. Also horses don't tire as quickly on hard tracks.

Then there are situations like Winx first CP and multiple Derby Days where there is a "fast lane" which is quicker than the rest of the track. Often on the inside fence but could be in other parts. At Flemington there's also a fast lane down the middle where the sprinkler packs the track down harder, plus it has a different type of grass on the inside 2-3m.

Then you have tracks which when they get wet heavily favour the outside rail due to the camber, similar to Oakbank on the weekend.

Lastly you have situations where the track changes during the day due to traffic. Inside is best going early then it chops up and wide becomes the better going
 
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