Racing April Daily Thread - Racing > Rugbaleeg

Remove this Banner Ad

Status
Not open for further replies.

Log in to remove this ad.

FallingLiefs

Brownlow Medallist
Jan 30, 2013
14,529
15,480
AFL Club
Port Adelaide
Nature Strip $5 into $3.50

He performs at a level to win this 30% of the time. No wonder the price shortened. 1200m the obvious concern he may not do it that often.

Still dirty the day he was 30:1 on the fair in the everest wasn't one of those days. Ridiculous price given what he did very next start.

PS the obvious bet here is Bivouac provided it's somewhat firm ground.
 

Gavin Excell

Hall of Famer
Apr 22, 2007
32,363
36,124
Bentleigh
AFL Club
Geelong
He performs at a level to win this 30% of the time. No wonder the price shortened. 1200m the obvious concern he may not do it that often.

Still dirty the day he was 30:1 on the fair in the everest wasn't one of those days. Ridiculous price given what he did very next start.

PS the obvious bet here is Bivouac provided it's somewhat firm ground.
NS seems to win when its $5+
 

54Dogs

Premium Platinum
Feb 18, 2008
8,627
4,469
Nowra
AFL Club
Western Bulldogs
Not sure if true but I heard somewhere the squib had breathing issues, which may relate to his inconsistency.

Or does he just decide not to turn up randomly?
 

(Log in to remove this ad.)

FallingLiefs

Brownlow Medallist
Jan 30, 2013
14,529
15,480
AFL Club
Port Adelaide
NS seems to win when its $5+
More of an indication that form analysts are struggling to know when he will peak. Fresh, 1000m, not pressured, straight race have all proven false indicators. People try make a pattern, it just may mean there is no pattern.
 

FallingLiefs

Brownlow Medallist
Jan 30, 2013
14,529
15,480
AFL Club
Port Adelaide
Not sure if true but I heard somewhere the squib had breathing issues, which may relate to his inconsistency.

Or does he just decide not to turn up randomly?
His inconsistency pre-dates Waller but it's much worse these days. Would struggle to believe a horse like him could have throat issues but would explain stopping dead some times, even if it's just mentally he's expecting pain which is common in horse population. I think Waller/sprinter is of some concern.
 

iluvparis

Hall of Famer
Apr 1, 2005
35,857
28,499
AFL Club
Carlton
Other Teams
Calgary Flames, Man Utd
Geez - anyone brave enough to take even money RELOADED in the Cabrine - seems a skinny price for a horse that looks a total non-winner
 
Status
Not open for further replies.

Remove this Banner Ad

Top Bottom