Arbitrage-Middles Thread

[sk1001]

anybody have any tips on how they found the arbs/middles?

Or is it just manually scanning the bookies?

 

[ricardogp]

I usually just get lucky.

Sometimes I scan the lesser travelled markets, like table tennis or esports if I'm bored. But often I just stumble across them.

Sent using Tapatalk

 

[sk1001]

lololol table tennis.

guess I better start digging then

 

[ricardogp]

Tennis arb available here...

Tennis French Open 2020- Mens and Womens

1u Kazatkina @2.40 1u Podoroska @1.92 (but can get 1.95) 1u Badosa @2.75 1u Tig - 3.5 @1.96 1u Bedene @1.85 Might be it for me... Been opposing a lot of Yanks and there's only a few left... I recall things also get slimmer after the first week. Sent using Tapatalk

www.bigfooty.com

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[ricardogp]

Another bonus bet free shot conversion available:

Bedene v Tsitsipas: Bedene to win a set:
Ladbrokes: yes @2.25
Sportsbet: no @1.80


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[checkraiseulite]

bbet v Topsport $2 lines on tonight’s footy.

richmond win by 3 points both bets win.

$100 max on the bbet side.

bbet are also doing a deposit match (dyor) on $150 using code EVEREST.

 

[X_box_X]

How do others assess the Bet365 "Asian Goal Line" market in this Ice Hockey match?





In this market, o4.5 goals is paying $1.65.

In the same match, they are offering $1.85 for o4.5 in the Asian Goal Line.



Is this a case of the Asian Goal Line not including OT? I.e. If the match ends 2-2 after regulation time, does this mean o4.5 goals will pay as a winning bet for the "Total" market, but a losing bet for the "Asian Goal Line"? There are no draws in this tournament so if scores are tied after regulation time, they keep playing until there is a winner (sudden death).

How else would you explain the difference in the odds? Is it possible the total odds opened at $1.85 and due to weight of money for the overs, the odds for total goals has shortened, but their algorithm means the Asian Goal Line total hasn't shortened?

 

[iluvparis]

How do others assess the Bet365 "Asian Goal Line" market in this Ice Hockey match?

View attachment 1324401



In this market, o4.5 goals is paying $1.65.

In the same match, they are offering $1.85 for o4.5 in the Asian Goal Line.

View attachment 1324404

Is this a case of the Asian Goal Line not including OT? I.e. If the match ends 2-2 after regulation time, does this mean o4.5 goals will pay as a winning bet for the "Total" market, but a losing bet for the "Asian Goal Line"? There are no draws in this tournament so if scores are tied after regulation time, they keep playing until there is a winner (sudden death).

How else would you explain the difference in the odds? Is it possible the total odds opened at $1.85 and due to weight of money for the overs, the odds for total games has shortened, but their algorithm means the Asian Goal Line total hasn't shortened?

According to this - in Asian goal line betting you win/lose half your stake if it ends up on 4 goals?

Asian Goal Line - Asian Handicap Bets

Asian Goal Line Betting. The best Asian goal line prediction for the day is well analyzed and prepared by our team of professional tipsters.

asianhandicapbets.com

 

[X_box_X]

According to this - in Asian goal line betting you win/lose half your stake if it ends up on 4 goals?

Asian Goal Line - Asian Handicap Bets

Asian Goal Line Betting. The best Asian goal line prediction for the day is well analyzed and prepared by our team of professional tipsters.

asianhandicapbets.com

That would then make o4.5 goals at $1.85 even more of a +EV bet.

I.e. If you place $100 on that market and it ends with four goals, you will return $85 (a $15 loss)

Whereas if you place $100 on o4.5 goals in the Game Total market (at $1.65), you will lose your entire stake if it ends on four goals.

It doesn't make sense but maybe B365 are just silly and they're setting themselves up for failure

 

[X_box_X]

I'd still love to know how Asian Goal Line works in Ice Hockey, as to whether it's only for regulation time or also includes OT.

Similar to my post last week, Bet365 are offering these odds in the same Ice Hockey match tonight.





$2.30 under 4.5 goals in their Game Total market, and $1.90 for over 4.5 goals in their Asian Goal Line market.

This makes me believe Asian Goal Line only includes regulation time. Is anyone able to provide an accurate answer as to whether this is the case?

 

[54Dogs]

I'd still love to know how Asian Goal Line works in Ice Hockey, as to whether it's only for regulation time or also includes OT.

Similar to my post last week, Bet365 are offering these odds in the same Ice Hockey match tonight.

View attachment 1328265

View attachment 1328266

$2.30 under 4.5 goals in their Game Total market, and $1.90 for over 4.5 goals in their Asian Goal Line market.

This makes me believe Asian Goal Line only includes regulation time. Is anyone able to provide an accurate answer as to whether this is the case?

I think you're right, as AGLs do not have a draw option so I imagine would be paid on the Reg time result. Prob worth checking with 365 though.

Not sure if this helps at all

Asian Goal Line - A New Way Of Betting On Number Of Goals Scored

Asian Goal Line betting is becoming an increasingly popular way to bet on the Premier League, offering you stake returns and other options.

www.thepunterspage.com

 

[nobbyiscool]

Bit of a random bump, but I've been looking into arbitrage betting after discovering that the win/draw/loss option in football can give decent arbitrage opportunities.

My issue is this:

All the arbitrage calculators I've found just calculate an equal return between the 3 options. So, whether it's a win, draw, or loss, you might get 12% profit on any outcome.

My question:

Is anyone familiar with any calculators that let you select a preferred outcome, and the other 2 outcomes just cover the bet? Say I'm thinking team A is going to win, and I'm going to bet $100. Can I have the draw and team B payouts just lead to a $100 "cover" while team A is my preferred bet? Or do I have to work these numbers myself?

 

[Ohh Ok]

Bit of a random bump, but I've been looking into arbitrage betting after discovering that the win/draw/loss option in football can give decent arbitrage opportunities.

My issue is this:

All the arbitrage calculators I've found just calculate an equal return between the 3 options. So, whether it's a win, draw, or loss, you might get 12% profit on any outcome.

My question:

Is anyone familiar with any calculators that let you select a preferred outcome, and the other 2 outcomes just cover the bet? Say I'm thinking team A is going to win, and I'm going to bet $100. Can I have the draw and team B payouts just lead to a $100 "cover" while team A is my preferred bet? Or do I have to work these numbers myself?

Online Arbitrage Calculator

This arbitrage calculator determines biased and unbiased strategies when an arbitrage opportunity exists. Up to eight possible selections are supported.

www.aussportsbetting.com

 

[nobbyiscool]

Online Arbitrage Calculator

This arbitrage calculator determines biased and unbiased strategies when an arbitrage opportunity exists. Up to eight possible selections are supported.

www.aussportsbetting.com

Thanks for that man.

Follow up question - is there a strategy for not getting yourself banned? Is it just bet as much as you can as quick as you can?

 

[chasbestos]

use nice round numbers that tradies use

 

[Ohh Ok]

Thanks for that man.

Follow up question - is there a strategy for not getting yourself banned? Is it just bet as much as you can as quick as you can?

I usually round up/down to the nearest dollar. You'll get banned no matter what.

 

[X_box_X]

HT live odds

 

[GotGameButNoName]

Hitting weak live lines on a NZ Monday arvo netball game is the express train to ******* your accounts. No wonder you can only get on for about fifty cents on these goalkicking trains mate.

 

[X_box_X]

Hitting weak live lines on a NZ Monday arvo netball game is the express train to ******* your accounts. No wonder you can only get on for about fifty cents on these goalkicking trains mate.

Exactly

 

[SportSense]

Netball
Mystics VS Magic
O111.5 1.88 sportsbet
U113.5 1.91 topsport

 

[SportSense]

Suncorp SN
Giants v Thunderbirds
o109.5 1.95 topsport
U112.5 1.88 sportsbet