Arbitrage-Middles Thread

[HumanMeatball]

You cannot be serious.

There is no rason for you not to be investing a minimum of $1000 stakes with Price Boost every day. It's good while it lasts. Really good. $100-$200 guaranteed money per day good. It took three weeks before they removed the feature from my account.

Have bet on Ned’s stuff all. What’s the strategy for there price boost?

 

[targett]

Put in a lay order on the Sylhet Sixers last night pre Toss at $2.44 they where trading about $2.66-$2.70 so was happy to get matched after the toss.It soon unraveled and the market went against me and they kept moving in so i got out at $2.16 taking a loss couple minutes pre first ball.Not sure how this strategy will hold up long term.

 

[X_box_X]

Put in a lay order on the Sylhet Sixers last night pre Toss at $2.44 they where trading about $2.66-$2.70 so was happy to get matched after the toss.It soon unraveled and the market went against me and they kept moving in so i got out at $2.16 taking a loss couple minutes pre first ball.Not sure how this strategy will hold up long term.

$2.44 is way too high. I would have gone for about $2.26.

The other evening between Comilla Victorians and Khulna Titans, the odds for the Titans pre toss were $2.48. I request a lay bet at $2.14. Two minutes after the toss, I checked to see if my bet got matched. Not only did it get matched in full, but the Titans' odds were $2.26. I cashed out straight away for a $23.32 profit. The Titans' odds ended up getting out to $2.56.

It quite often works out in your favour, but as per your example sometimes it doesn't.

 

[targett]

In hindsight yes i could of layed lower but thats easy to say after the fact.It still would if been a loss all be it a smaller one.
Ask for a smaller price and you may not get matched at all.I assumed a 20 to 25c jump would of been a compression point but was wrong this time around.

 

[X_box_X]

In hindsight yes i could of layed lower but thats easy to say after the fact.It still would if been a loss all be it a smaller one.
Ask for a smaller price and you may not get matched at all.I assumed a 20 to 25c jump would of been a compression point but was wrong this time around.

I often don't get matched at all. If I get matched, it's very likely I make a profit. If I don't get matched, then that's also fine.

I am not going to pay overs just so I get matched.

 

[targett]

I often don't get matched at all. If I get matched, it's very likely I make a profit. If I don't get matched, then that's also fine.

I am not going to pay overs just so I get matched.

I dont think anyone deliberately takes overs its how people predict the market its volatility can different one day the next.Anyone can put rank trades in to a market and hope it goes there way.

 

[targett]

M.Smart Celtics
U5.5 assists. 1.88 topsp
6+ assists 2.25 CB
2.42%

 

[chasbestos]

for these cricket toss trades on betfair, do you need a VPN?

 

[Sabbathen]

for these cricket toss trades on betfair, do you need a VPN?

No. You can place a bet online any time up until the first ball. Once the market goes in-play you can still phone up and place a bet, same as most bookmakers.

 

[targett]

Afghanistan v Ireland ODI Today 20:30
Not sure of the traded volume and volatility of these 50 over matches.Over 25k traded so far on BF.Worth a look at.

 

[X_box_X]

$25m matched on the BPL match. In between innings.

 

[targett]

$25m matched on the BPL match. In between innings.

Anyone offer a Cricket trading apprenticeship via VPN

 

[foley_falcon]

Lowry O/U 3's. 12~%
O3.5 - Sportsbet 2.32
U3.5 - Unibet 2.2

 

[foley_falcon]

Small middle but a free hit

Patty Mills O/U Points
O10 - Crown @ 2
U10.5 - B365 @ 2

 

[Sabbathen]

India vs Sri Lanka ODI tomorrow
S. Dhawan to score a 50
Yes $2.54 Sportsbet
No $1.83 Bet365
6.37%

 

[Dan26]

Small middle but a free hit

Patty Mills O/U Points
O10 - Crown @ 2
U10.5 - B365 @ 2

How is that a middle?

 

[foley_falcon]

How is that a middle?

If he scores 10 its a push at Crown and a win at B365 therefore profitable. If he scores anything else, it's money back.

 

[Dan26]

If he scores 10 its a push at Crown and a win at B365 therefore profitable. If he scores anything else, it's money back.

Unless I'm a moron (and feel free to tell me if i am) over 10 points at crown means scoring 11 or more. 11 or more would win that bet

And scoring 10 points or less wins the bet at Bet365.

So, the way I read it, I don't see a middle.

 

[Sabbathen]

Unless I'm a moron (and feel free to tell me if i am) over 10 points at crown means scoring 11 or more. 11 or more would win that bet

And scoring 10 points or less wins the bet at Bet365.

So, the way I read it, I don't see a middle.

Correct.

 

[foley_falcon]

Unless I'm a moron (and feel free to tell me if i am) over 10 points at crown means scoring 11 or more. 11 or more would win that bet

And scoring 10 points or less wins the bet at Bet365.

So, the way I read it, I don't see a middle.

It's a push if he scores 10. The line is 10, not 10.5.

Say I put $100 on each result.

So if he scores 10-
Crown result: $0
B365 result: +$100
Profit $100

If he score 9 or under-
Crown result: -$100
B365 result: +$100
Profit: $0

If he score 11 or under-
Crown result: +$100
B365 result: -$100
Profit: $0

There is no risk so whether it's called a middle or some other term - in the long run it is still profitable.

Edit: You moron

 

[Dan26]

It's a push if he scores 10. The line is 10, not 10.5.

Say I put $100 on each result.

So if he scores 10-
Crown result: $0
B365 result: +$100
Profit $100

If he score 9 or under-
Crown result: -$100
B365 result: +$100
Profit: $0

If he score 11 or under-
Crown result: +$100
B365 result: -$100
Profit: $0

There is no risk so whether it's called a middle or some other term - in the long run it is still profitable.

I don't know what a "push" is. i've never heard of this term. All I see is the Crownbet market saying if he scores OVER 10 (i.e 11 or more), the bet wins.

What am I missing?

 

[foley_falcon]

I don't know what a "push" is. i've never heard of this term. All I see is the Crownbet market saying if he scores OVER 10 (i.e 11 or more), the bet wins.

What am I missing?

A push is when the game you wagered on ends exactly on the point spread that you wagered on. You do not win or lose money in terms of the amount you wagered. It is as if the bet never happened.

 

[Dan26]

A push is when the game you wagered on ends exactly on the point spread that you wagered on. You do not win or lose money in terms of the amount you wagered. It is as if the bet never happened.

I hope you're right because I bet on it.

 

[targett]

India vs Sri Lanka ODI tomorrow
S. Dhawan to score a 50
Yes $2.54 Sportsbet
No $1.83 Bet365
6.37%

We are contacting you regarding bet ID QJ4325277010W placed at the odds of 1.83 on No (Batsman to Score a Fifty in the Match India vs Sri Lanka - 1st ODI - S Dhawan). We have identified that this selection was placed at incorrect odds and as such, in accordance with our rules, will be settled at the revised odds of 1.50.

If you would like to cancel this bet prior to the start of the event then please contact us.

Please accept our apologies for any inconvenience caused.

 

[foley_falcon]

I hope you're right because I bet on it.

Not my first rodeo my friend. Let's just hope for two more points!