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Ashes Predictions

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Gabba - Australia
Adelaide Oval - Draw
WACA - Australia
MCG - England
SCG - Australia

Phil Hughes to play the MCG and SCG tests and score a ton in both.

Brad Haddin to retire after SCG test and Paine to take over in South Africa.

Mitch Johnson to do really well, and destroy the Poms with new speed, bounce and accuracy that we haven't seen since 2008/2009.

Fawad to make his debut at the MCG.

Rogers - Most Runs
Johnson - Most Wickets
 
Australia 3-1. Englands defensive play to finally bite them in the arse.
Ryan Harris was all over the poms in there backyard so there's no reason to think he won't do the same to them here. Lyon & Swann to be as effective as each other which is a win for us.

Also think Warner & Watson will love the Australian pitches and cause England all sorts of problems. If we can see off Anderson with the new ball that will go a long way to making big scores. I also don't rate Trott as highly as some people do & tipping him to have a poor series.
 

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The improvement has to come from our bats. Simple as that. We bowled consistently well in England but struggled to post even modest totals with the blade.
 
2-all drawn series, Australia to win at the Gabba and WACA, England at the two G's and a draw at Radelaide.

Cook to bat for 325409534 hours at Adelaide and be the highest runscorer for the series. Trott to come out of his slump from England and make plenty as well. Root to get dropped during the series, a change in his batting position blamed.

Harris to get injured (thanks Ben). Ben Cutting to play at the WACA and perform well. Smith to be the highest runscorer for Australia, Rogers and Clarke close behind. Paine to play at some stage after Haddin looks way too old. Fawad Ahmed to play with Lyon in Sydney and he gets slapped, and Lyon shows how underrated his performance has been so far with two bags of wickets.
 
Mitch Johnson to bowl more balls down to 3rd man then haddin, will get torn a new one...
poms fieldsmen falling alsleep when rogers is batting
harris to fall apart body wise
haddin to make the best 30 runs ever to only get out an cost us a ashes match again
warner kisses root after making a meanless 100 in the last test meaning warner will play till his 40
poms to win 3-1
 
Just hope Johnson can do something! If he can have an impact, we will win at the Gabba and WACA.

Hopefully we win 2-1. Reckon weather will have an affect.
 
2-1 Australia series win and retain the ashes.

England top-scorer: Bell
England most wickets: Anderson
Australia top-scorer: Watson
Australia most wickets: Harris

Other predictions:
- Johnson to break an opposition bone
- Trott to be dropped either during or after the series
- Haddin to retire
- Lyon to play the first 2 tests and then take no further part (despite playing OK)
- Warner to get someone out in the 90s
 
Forecast looks bloody ordinary for the Gabba. Thunderstorms all week leading up, lots of rain. Supposed to clear up a fair bit for day 1. Hope conditions up there don't **** up another test.
 

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Very true. Trying to be positive.

I've tried to be positive before but it has backfired - so now I'm being pragmatic.

The First Test is crucial in so many ways as is the toss.

IF Prior is out injured and they play Bairstow as a keeper then I would be just walking at Swann because Bairstow is an abhorrent keeper to slow bowling - which is a big statement as Prior / Haddin / Wade aren't flash either, yet Bairstow makes them look like Allan Knott.

Punching out runs on the road at Bellerieve is completely different to playing at the Gabba on a deck with a bit of pace and movement in it.

IF we were able to win the toss and send them in we are a chance - but if there team can be rissoled, then ours can be even moreso.

If you look at the fast bowling attack that went to England;

Pattinson
Harris
Siddle
Starc
Bird
Faulkner

Johnson wasn't in the frame, yet through injury he is suddenly catapulted back into frame. It's a very risky strategy. If you watched any of the WA v SA game you would have to say that Sayers was clearly the best bowler - clearly better than Mitch.

Anderson & Swann remain the most pivotal players in the series because they present a threat on any surface. Cook, Trott, Pietersen & Bell are all proven and consistent Test Class Batsman, realistically we have Michael Clarke - the rest we just don't know yet.

Mitch could be a matchwinner and has been in the past but he and Warner are in the feast or famine category and historically Test Cricket does not lend itself to inconsistent performers to prosper over time (refer Marcus North).

The Poms have Carberry and Root that are "green" - we have Warner (more famine than feast and the first dismissed on 16 of the last 20 occassions when opening), Rogers, Smith, Bailey all very green in terms of Test Cricket, you can argue Rogers and Bailey have heaps of First Class experience - the reality is at this point they have 6 Tests and 1 Test Century - that's still very green.

If you are balancing up all the factors - on the balance of probability - we are longshots.
 
as a multi its 1848/1 on sportingbet

Australia 4-0 into Brad Haddin most runs into Chris Tremlett most wickets 17,340/1. Get around it. :thumbsu:

How to make a million

Bucking Beads $1,000,000/$541.12 @ 1848

- Australia Win 3-0
- D Warner - Most Runs in Series
- M Johnson - Most Wickets in Series
 
How to make a million

Bucking Beads $1,000,000/$541.12 @ 1848

- Australia Win 3-0
- D Warner - Most Runs in Series
- M Johnson - Most Wickets in Series

On a serious note Warner into Johnson is 88/1.... Ian Bell into Peter Siddle is 80/1*.... I know which one I'd be on.

* with sportingbet - although I don't think you can multi them on SB but you would be able to get similar price on the TAB who would allow a multi.
 

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3-0 or 3-1 to england, if harris and siddle stay fit we will have our moments but our top 6 still looks so weak and prone to one session collapses.

the odd thing for me is that many assume we must be on the rise yet they also assume england has peaked or that they played at their best last ashes, by their standards england were very disappointing with the bat in the last ashes but the blokes who underperformed for them are proven test match bats with a track record of making runs on our pitches.

That's why i can't make us fav's, we got the better of nearly all their bats last series and we still lost comfortably, it's a big ask for our bowlers to keep their top bats in check again and even if they do can our top 6 actually give them enough runs to make it count?
 
With Harris and Johnson playing and Watson injured I expect Siddle to be used as a stock bowler. Plenty of overs, mid 130ks speed and probably about 15 wickets at around 32-35 for the series.
 

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