Association Football Betting Thread

[RPCB]

I like Basketball's fast scoring action, lol. Had GSW/Portland to score over 55 points in the 1st quarter and was getting worried as I needed 20 or so points in the final 4 minutes of the quarter. The quarter has finished 37-30 for 67 points.


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[SM]

Monaco-Juve over 2.5 paying $2... tempting.

 

[Jatz]

Hope you didn't get on?

 

[SM]

Hope you didn't get on?

I went Ajax into that as a multi paying close to $5, bloody annoying. Only $20 though so no harm done.

 

[Jatz]

So after his performance on the weekend, I threw $100 on SPS to win the Rising Star. Was originally paying $15 when I put it on but used the power play feature to get it at $19 odds.

He's not received the nomination yet but he's already come in to $12...

 

[jd2010]

So after his performance on the weekend, I threw $100 on SPS to win the Rising Star. Was originally paying $15 when I put it on but used the power play feature to get it at $19 odds.

He's not received the nomination yet but he's already come in to $12...

Would have thought he'd be the favourite by now!

 

[Jatz]

Would have thought he'd be the favourite by now!

Barring an injury, I'd expect that $12 to continue to come in and in.

Reckon it will come down to about $9 if he does get the nomination this week.

 

[jd2010]

Barring an injury, I'd expect that $12 to continue to come in and in.

Reckon it will come down to about $9 if he does get the nomination this week.

I got on Marchbank before the season started. Plays like a 150-gamer already. Probably should win it but I'm sure SPS or McGrath will look better over the year and win it

 

[Jatz]

I got on Marchbank before the season started. Plays like a 150-gamer already. Probably should win it but I'm sure SPS or McGrath will look better over the year and win it

Marchy is now at $6's. What did you get him at?

 

[jd2010]

Marchy is now at $6's. What did you get him at?

$15

 

[Jatz]

Also just put $100 on North to make the 8 @9's.

My old man put $50 on them to make the top 4 @81's

 

[jd2010]

Saw something on facebook that FM has predicted the results of 39% of games this season & 8% of correct scorelines.

Wonder if it'd be worth getting on their bets for the weekend

 

[Jatz]

Maybe the results. 8% isn't high but if you were only betting small it could work I suppose.

 

[jd2010]

Maybe the results. 8% isn't high but if you were only betting small it could work I suppose.

Correct score lowest odds is about $7 most the games. 8% would mean they've got 28 out of the 350 matches in 35 GWs.

Would need to hit a few exact scores that were above $12 for it to be worth it.

 

[jd2010]

Just to give some context 39% would mean they've got 136.5 results out of 350 correct. If they managed to hit a few draws or upsets that's $3+ odds

 

[Jatz]

Is there a page that posts the simulated results?

 

[jd2010]

Is there a page that posts the simulated results?

https://sortitoutsi.net/football-manager-predicts

 

[Jatz]

https://sortitoutsi.net/football-manager-predicts

Interesting to look at some of these results. Might put a bit of a multi on.

I assume they manipulate the sim to only include players that will actually play?

 

[jd2010]

Interesting to look at some of these results. Might put a bit of a multi on.

I assume they manipulate the sim to only include players that will actually play?

no idea actually

 

[jd2010]

Won just under $200 this morning on the Europa league which I had multi'd into the ACL so put this on lol

Method behind the madness. Found a site that has the stats for BTTS and these four sides have played in either 90% or 100% BTTS this season. Varying amount of games from 5-12 so not the best sample size but still

 

[Jatz]

Are you betting the Chinese league? Hahaha

 

[Jatz]

Interesting to see that FM predictor has West Ham as 2-0 winners against Liverpool this week.

 

[jd2010]

Are you betting the Chinese league? Hahaha

Yeah. No real confidence in the bet at all. Merely just trying to see if betting solely off stats vs. my own knowledge works out best