Association Football Betting Thread

Macpotata

Norm Smith Medallist
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Argentina has been a offensive juggernaut at the world cup and group games in particular. No question they're one of the highest scoring teams consistently.

1994 - 8 goals for, 4 against
1998 - 7 for, 0 against
2002 - 2 for, 2 against
2006 - 8 for, 1 against
2010 - 7 for, 1 against
2014 - 6 for, 3 against

with the exception of 2002 they have been offensively great and defensively strong also. A grand total of 38 goals in 18 world cup group games conceding just 11. They concede less than a goal a game on average easily and average roughly two a game. That's from the last 6 world cups.


Not bad going.
 
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SM

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For someone that doesn't bet anymore you sure spend a lot of time researching this stuff.
 

Macpotata

Norm Smith Medallist
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Just had a look and Germany are $2 to make the semi's and the French at $2.25. Should they both top their group they can avoid each other until the final. I think these two are the best bets to make the semi's.

Germany looks so solid.
 

Macpotata

Norm Smith Medallist
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Russia $1.33 /draw $4.80 / Saudi Arabia $12.50 over 2.5 $2.15 under $1.73

Egypt $7.50 /draw $3.80 / Uruguay $1.55 under is $1.55 the over at $2.50

Morocco $2.25 /draw$3.10 / Iran $3.51 over 1.5 is $1.60, the under is $2.38

Portugal $4.50 / draw $3.45 / Spain $1.88 over 2.5 is $2.38 under $1.61


France $1.22 draw $6.50 Australia $15 - 1.85 over 1.98 under

Argentina $1.33 draw $4.75 Iceland $12 - $2.20 and $1.70 under

Peru $3.80 draw $3.45 Denmark $2.05 - over $2.40 under is $1.58

Croatia $1.84 Draw $3.45 Nigeria $4.85 - over is $2.28 under is $1.66

Costa Rica $4.20 draw $3.20 Serbia $2.05 - over 1.5 is $1.52 under $2.60

Germany $1.50 Draw $4.15 Mexico $7.50 over $1.92 under $1.92 { should go over and easily over 1.5 at $1.28 }

Brazil $1.37 draw 4.85 Switzerland $9 - Over $1.90 under $1.92

Sweden $2.05 Draw $3.25 South Korea $4.10 Over 2.5 $2.60 under 2.5 $1.53

Belgium $1.17 Draw $7.40 Panama $21 Over 2.5 $1.72 Under $2.17 { should go over and again over 1.5 }


will edit shortly
 

Macpotata

Norm Smith Medallist
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I'll glance through some more games shortly.

Russia $1.33 /draw $4.80 / Saudi Arabia $12.50 over 2.5 $2.15 under $1.73

Egypt $7.50 /draw $3.80 / Uruguay $1.55 under is $1.55 the over at $2.50

Morocco $2.25 /draw$3.10 / Iran $3.51 over 1.5 is $1.60, the under is $2.38

Portugal $4.50 / draw $3.45 / Spain $1.88 over 2.5 is $2.38 under $1.61


France $1.22 draw $6.50 Australia $15 - 1.85 over 1.98 under

Argentina $1.33 draw $4.75 Iceland $12 - $2.20 and $1.70 under

Peru $3.80 draw $3.45 Denmark $2.05 - over $2.40 under is $1.58

Croatia $1.84 Draw $3.45 Nigeria $4.85 - over is $2.28 under is $1.66

Costa Rica $4.20 draw $3.20 Serbia $2.05 - over 1.5 is $1.52 under $2.60

Germany $1.50 Draw $4.15 Mexico $7.50 over $1.92 under $1.92 { should go over and easily over 1.5 at $1.28 }

Brazil $1.37 draw 4.85 Switzerland $9 - Over $1.90 under $1.92

Sweden $2.05 Draw $3.25 South Korea $4.10 Over 2.5 $2.60 under 2.5 $1.53

Belgium $1.17 Draw $7.40 Panama $21 Over 2.5 $1.72 Under $2.17 { should go over and again over 1.5 }


Tunisia $10 Draw $4.50 England $1.38 Over 2.5 $2.15 Under $1.73

Colombia $1.68 Draw $3.70 Japan $5.50 Over 2.5 $2.33 Under $1.63

Poland $2.20 Draw $3.20 Senegal $3.35 Over $2.33 Under 2.5 $1.63

Russia $2.02 Draw $3.30 Egypt $4 Over 2.5 at $2.40 Under is $1.60

Portugal $1.65 Draw $3.70 Morocco $5.75 over 2.5 $2.25 under 1.68

Uruguay $1.21 Draw $6.10 Saudi Arabia $19 Over 2.5 $1.88 Under $1.96



Iran $15 Draw $6.75 Spain $1.20 over 2.5 $1.82 Under $2.02


Denmark $1.75 Draw $3.60 Australia $5.10 over 2.5 $2.18 under 2.5 $1,71


France 1.43 Draw 4.50 Peru 8 over 2.5 1.78 Under 2.05


Argentina 1.95 Draw 3.40 Croatia 4.1 Over 2.5 1.74 Under 2.15


Brazil 1.22 Draw 6.50 Costa Rica 14 over 2.5 1.74 Under 2.15

Nigeria 2.70 Draw 3.10 Iceland 2.85 over 2.5 2.38 under 1.61



Serbia 2.85 Draw 3.30 Switzerland 2.55 over 2.5 $2.38 under 1.61


Belgium 1.30 draw 5.25 Tunisia 11 over 2.5 1.76 under 2.10


germany 1.44 draw 4.4 Sweden 8 over 2.5 1.82 under 2.02


south korea 4.5 draw 3.4 Mexico 1.88 over 2.25 under 1.67


England 1.20 Draw 6.25 Panama 18 over 2.5 1.82 under 2.02

Japan 3.65 Draw 3.30 Senegal 2.06 over 2.5 2.33 under 1.63

Poland 3 draw 3.25 Colombia 2.45 over 2.5 2.28 under 1.66

saudi Arbia 5.20 draw 3.55 Egypt 1.75 over 2.5 2.23 under 1.68

Uruguay 2.35 draw 3 Russia 3.45 over 2.5 2.23 under 1.168

Iran 10.50 draw 4.80 Portugal 1.35 over 2.5 2 under 1.72

Spain 1.35 Draw 5 Morocco 9.5 over 2.5 1.91 under 1.81


Australia 3.5 Draw 3.2 Peru 2.2 over 2.10 under 1.65

Denmark 6 draw 3.75 France 1.63 over 1.98 under 1.73

Iceland 5.2 draw 3.55 Croatia 1.75 over 2.5 2.25 under 1.58

Nigeria 7.5 draw 4.5 Argentina 1.45 1.63 over 2.16 under


Mexico 2.50 draw 3.25 Sweden 3 over 2.5 $2.07 under $1.68

south Korea 11.50 draw 5.65 Germany 1.28 over 2.5 1.58 under 2.20

Serbia 9.30 draw 4.70 Brazil 1.38 over 2. 1.86 under 1.85


Switzerland 1.90 draw 3.45 Costa Rica 4.40 over 2.5 $2.32 under $1.55

Japan 4.25 draw 3.50 Poland 1.90 over 2.05 under 1.70

Senegal 4draw 3.35 Colombia 2 over 2.5 2.08 under 1.68
 

Jatz

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For anyone interested, Sportsbet are doing daily specials on their website at 11am. Today’s special is Australia to score a goal at the World Cup - $2. Can only bet a max $25 on this one but if they want to hand me $25, I’m down for that.
 

RPCB

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Have any of you guys ever placed a Sportsbet “Most Disposals/Most Goals” bet?

I thought I lost the one I did in the Melbourne/Collingwood game but I actually won. I did Adam Treloar/Tom McDonald. McDonald finished with the most goals in the match with 6 goals and Treloar finished with 32 disposals but Jordan Lewis finished with 33.

So I am guessing the bet was for Treloar to have the most Collingwood team disposals and McDonald to have the most Melbourne team goals? Literally the first time I have even done that bet type and I won it when I thought I didn’t.

Of course I have the bet combined with over 2.5 goals in the Belgium/Costa Rica friendly and Spain/Portugal, France/Australia World Cup matches so I am bound to lose somewhere.
 

SM

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Have any of you guys ever placed a Sportsbet “Most Disposals/Most Goals” bet?

I thought I lost the one I did in the Melbourne/Collingwood game but I actually won. I did Adam Treloar/Tom McDonald. McDonald finished with the most goals in the match with 6 goals and Treloar finished with 32 disposals but Jordan Lewis finished with 33.

So I am guessing the bet was for Treloar to have the most Collingwood team disposals and McDonald to have the most Melbourne team goals? Literally the first time I have even done that bet type and I won it when I thought I didn’t.

Of course I have the bet combined with over 2.5 goals in the Belgium/Costa Rica friendly and Spain/Portugal, France/Australia World Cup matches so I am bound to lose somewhere.
Why such big multies? Lol.
 

RPCB

Norm Smith Medallist
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Why such big multies? Lol.
I couldn’t tell you. These bets rarely come off and I keep betting like this. Practically giving money away and I should stop.
 

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Macpotata

Norm Smith Medallist
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Croatia vs Nigeria over 2.5 goals is $2.28. I would have thought that would be a decent chance to go over.

Alternate total over 1.5 is $1.40 and I think that is a very good bet. You could get more elsewhere I'm guessing betfair are usually more.

Only bet what you can afford to lose. I'm not betting personally, I will just enjoy the games but I made some very good money on this method last year and called it quits ever since. I see some good prospects and love the game so will provide some stats here and there as well as point out potential opportunities.


Best of luck guys. First and foremost make it a great world cup and enjoy every game. If you make a buck in the process, even better:cool:
 

Macpotata

Norm Smith Medallist
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Russian's up to $1.45 now.

Belgium vs Panama over 1.5 goals $1.24 is a solid short priced favourite

Over 2.5 goals is $1.78



They both should hit but especially over 1.5. Over 2.5 I like too Belgium should get 3 themselves, at least 2.

Belgium vs Tunisia over 1.5 is $1.23 and over 2.5 $1.76
 

jd2010

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I'm on the over 2.5 goals bandwagon for this WC. Will put on the following as standalone bets with a few multis in there too.

Cro-Nig, Bel-Pan, Bel-Tun, S.Korea-Germany, Nig-Arg, Spa-Mor, Eng-Pan, Por-Mor & Ger-Mex
 

SM

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Russian's up to $1.45 now.

Belgium vs Panama over 1.5 goals $1.24 is a solid short priced favourite

Over 2.5 goals is $1.78



They both should hit but especially over 1.5. Over 2.5 I like too Belgium should get 3 themselves, at least 2.

Belgium vs Tunisia over 1.5 is $1.23 and over 2.5 $1.76
For someone that quit betting you sure spend an unhealthy amount of time monitoring odds. You all good?
 

Jatz

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Sportsbet's special today is Messi to score 4 goals in the tournament, paying $5.

Have some of that as well. Starting to think I may just do the special bets and follow those for the tournament.
 

jd2010

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Sportsbet's special today is Messi to score 4 goals in the tournament, paying $5.

Have some of that as well. Starting to think I may just do the special bets and follow those for the tournament.
i never really like special bets that they put out but so far i don't mind these two

Are they going to keep doing it during the tournament?
 

Jatz

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i never really like special bets that they put out but so far i don't mind these two

Are they going to keep doing it during the tournament?
Probably until the tournament starts I'm guessing.

Would guess both those current ones should get up.
 

Sozabarus

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Saudi's are paying $9 to beat Russia. Don't think they will but those odds are too high not to have a punt at considering how bad Russia are.
 

Macpotata

Norm Smith Medallist
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Saudi's are paying $9 to beat Russia. Don't think they will but those odds are too high not to have a punt at considering how bad Russia are.
I understand your way of thinking. The Saudi's were around $12.50 a week or two ago, they've come in a bit.

Portugal at around $4.80 or so seems a high price. I don't think they will win but the odds seem higher than what they should be. Iberian rivals, Ronaldo, European champions etc.
 

Jatz

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Saudi's are paying $9 to beat Russia. Don't think they will but those odds are too high not to have a punt at considering how bad Russia are.
Completely agree. Think I’ll have some on tomorrow night.
 

jd2010

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Portugal to beat Spain odds whatever they are will be good value. Spain's coach apparently going to be sacked for taking the Madrid job
 

Macpotata

Norm Smith Medallist
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Aussies in to $12 now from $16 originally and France up to $1.27 from $1.20
 
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