and will be very very unlucky not to be picked up
He and about 100 others.
Okay here's the maths Snickers.
There will probably be about 60 players drafted on the 2Oth. Info from a recruiter today was that he expects alot of clubs to pass on picks around pick 55. Calton has the last pick at No:70, that could actually end up being pick 60. So if we work on 60 we have the following......
60 players less 5 that are already nomiated as father sons makes 55.
From memory, 73 players (excluding father/sons) were invite to draft camp which means atleast 5 clubs wanted to look at them.
What is the percentage of draft camp kids that get picked up come draft day?
Over 80% I suspect (Someone will know the real answer) But lets say 80% for arguments sake......
80% of 73 is 58. Now give or take a few players and a few percentage points here and there, there isn't much room, if any, left for players outside of the draft camp.
Now I have a list of 80 players that went to State screenings around the Country. (Davies was one of them and he did okay on the figures I have) Add a few VFL players and a few smookies and the odds of Davies being drafted are not good. I suspect he has a 1/90 to 1/100 chance to be drafted.
Making AA at U16 level and then not making the Vic Metro team can mean many things. One suggestion could be that he hasn't kicked on as well as some would have hoped. Winning Westerns B&F is a good effort but lets be serious for a moment. He didn't really have alot of opposition. Prismall, Twomey and Rose were the only real contenders.
We will nodoubt beg to differ on Ben and for his sake I hope he gets drafted but the odds, as I have shown are against it. He is maybe worth a look as a rookie but IMHO he is not in the lands top 60-65 players.