Betfair - Guarantee $25 liability, laying in WC Quarters

The Royal Sampler

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Thread starter #1
Anyone get e-mailed this offer?

After some deliberation, I decided to lay Spain to win over Paraguay. I know this is unlikely to happen as Paraguay are not strong, and Villa is running hot; but then again Spain are perennial underperformers in the World Cup, and Paraguay is a staunchly defensive side who will consider their best chance of winning to be in a shootout.

Laying Spain @ $1.54 I was able to lock in a $46 profit if Paraguay win or draw in regulation, with no downside, because Betfair refund your loss up to $25 liability. If I'd gone for a more straight forward option, I would have been a good chance of making $10 or so.

I didn't want to lay Brazil @ $1.98 because I consider them a better chance of winning in regulation than Spain, frankly.

What have you guys opted for?
 

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#2
Didn't get the email (after collecting on the England lay), but think that's a decent bet. The only other I'd be thinking would be Brazil, given the odds discrepancy between them & the Dutch.
 

The Royal Sampler

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Thread starter #4
Yes it would have, but after Robinho scored the first I would have been pretty sure I'd blown my chance.

As for Spain, well I got to the 83rd minute, and David Villa is one helluva good player. Paraguay nailing their first shot from the penalty spot would have gone a long way to getting me home, but oh well, at least I've lost nothing.
 

The Royal Sampler

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Thread starter #6
Laying is betting on an outcome not occurring. I was, in effect, betting on any outcome happening other than Spain winning within 90 mins. As it happened, Paraguay missed their penalty shot and allowed Villa a goal in the last ten mins. Such is life.
 

Cuzz09

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#7
Laying is betting on an outcome not occurring. I was, in effect, betting on any outcome happening other than Spain winning within 90 mins. As it happened, Paraguay missed their penalty shot and allowed Villa a goal in the last ten mins. Such is life.
ah ok, cheers :thumbsu:

West Coast 2010 Premiers? certainty :D
 
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