Big Bash 2017/18

[ricardogp]

Hi All,

A thread to discuss opportunities on this season's Big Bash.

I have started crunching numbers and there could be a few opportunities on the futures markets. The various books are also showing a bit of discrepancy with a week to go.

 

[ricardogp]

Two options I think are overs:

Ben McDermott tournament high bat @ $29 (ladbrokes). Given his brief showing last year I thought he would be in the low 20s, assuming he gets to the crease enough. He's 2nd fave as team high bat curiously.

Aaron Finch tournament high bat @ $21 (ladbrokes). 2nd last year I believe. 160SR & loves finding the boundary, so even a short stay can be lucrative. Was expecting him to be in the top 4 faves. Also paying $6 for team high bat at Crown which is interesting.

As for the first game, I put Sixers as favourites (without knowing exact lineups) and Ladbrokes have them evens. So...

1u Sixers (v Thunder) @ $1.90 (ladbrokes)

 

[Rocky Straight]

Finch is $34 at toppy fwiw, they will at least let you log in.

He was 2nd last year but didn't get picked for Australia, averages 50 for Aussies in 2017 and most likely is picked for the England games so will miss probably 4 matches, its big if he doesn't get picked but that most likely means he hasn't made any runs.

Sixers a good bet

 

[ricardogp]

He was 2nd last year but didn't get picked for Australia, averages 50 for Aussies in 2017 and most likely is picked for the England games so will miss probably 4 matches, its big if he doesn't get picked but that most likely means he hasn't made any runs.

Yes I did think that. I don't think he's a shoe-in though. He's only made over 21 twice in the last 2 years. Could be a risk though.

 

[bigpapagman]

Yes I did think that. I don't think he's a shoe-in though. He's only made over 21 twice in the last 2 years. Could be a risk though.

Scorchers $4.33 monster overs.

 

[Sabbathen]

Some of the BBL promos I like the look of, anyone seen anything else good?

Sportsbet: Top runscorer - pay out automatically if he scores 50 or more
B365: Double your winnings up to $110 if your backed team hits 8 or more 6s
Lads: Payout automatically if your team scores 170 or more and loses
TopBetta: Back top scorer and if they make 50 or more but aren’t top scorer refund up to $50

 

[foley_falcon]

Some of the BBL promos I like the look of, anyone seen anything else good?

Sportsbet: Top runscorer - pay out automatically if he scores 50 or more
B365: Double your winnings up to $110 if your backed team hits 8 or more 6s
Lads: Payout automatically if your team scores 170 or more and loses
TopBetta: Back top scorer and if they make 50 or more but aren’t top scorer refund up to $50

The ladbrokes promo is they payout automatically once your team hits 170 runs, win or lose. Week 1 only

 

[Sabbathen]

The ladbrokes promo is they payout automatically once your team hits 170 runs, win or lose. Week 1 only

Yes, obviously...

 

[VK92]

Love the BBL B365 promo.

Sydney Thunder H2H @ $2- 2U

 

[Areyoufireal]

Couple of other promos not mentioned;

Crown - Place a Top Runscorer bet on any Big Bash League match this December and if your player does not top score for their team, but does score 30+ runs, you'll get your stake back as a Bonus Bet up to $50.

Crown - Place a Head to Head bet (minimum $20) on our selected BBL match and if your team win, you’ll get $2.00 in Bonus Bets for every six your team hit, on top of your winnings. Tomorrows Thunder vs 6ers is the first game for this promo.

Willhill - Opt in future market, place a min $50 on the BBL winner and receive 40 reward points for every 6 that team hits - must make semi finals. 40 points = $1 in reward points. Offer expires in 4~ hours

 

[sk1001]

Love the BBL B365 promo.

Sydney Thunder H2H @ $2- 2U

Not bad, but not the best. I remember last year and the year before they had a place a pre-match bet and then get a free in-play bet no risk.

 

[ricardogp]

Couple of other promos not mentioned;

Crown - Place a Top Runscorer bet on any Big Bash League match this December and if your player does not top score for their team, but does score 30+ runs, you'll get your stake back as a Bonus Bet up to $50.

Crown - Place a Head to Head bet (minimum $20) on our selected BBL match and if your team win, you’ll get $2.00 in Bonus Bets for every six your team hit, on top of your winnings. Tomorrows Thunder vs 6ers is the first game for this promo.

Willhill - Opt in future market, place a min $50 on the BBL winner and receive 40 reward points for every 6 that team hits - must make semi finals. 40 points = $1 in reward points. Offer expires in 4~ hours

Crown 6s one sounds good. Which is the smallest ground? Need to look up where the most 6s are hit...

Sent from my HTC 10 using Tapatalk

 

[Jugada]

These are the stats i posted last year when Bet365 ran the same promo for anyone interested

# of times a team has hit 8+ sixes in a match

BBL01: 12 from 62 innings (19.35%)
BBL02: 7 from 70 innings (10%)
BBL03: 12 from 70 innings (17.14%)
BBL04: 8 from 70 innings (11.43%)
BBL05: 14 from 70 innings (20%)
Total: 53 from 342 innings (15.50%)

Ground avg. 6's per innings

Gabba: 5.54
ANZ: 5.41
Adelaide Oval: 5.37
Etihad: 5.15
SCG: 4.54
Blundstone Arena: 4.45
WACA: 4.35
Spotless: 4.08
MCG: 4.04
Manuka: 3.00

 

[Lensen]

You want the average sixes per winning innings I'd have thought

 

[Boxhead182]

Sixers tonight.

 

[Jugada]

Stats for the Ladbrokes promo for those interested

# of times a team has scored >170 and lost

BBL06 - 8 from 35 (22.9%)
BBL05 - 11 from 35 (31.4%)
BBL04 - 3 from 35 (8.6%)
BBL03 - 3 from 35 (8.6%)
BBL02 - 2 from 35 (5.7%)
BBL01 - 5 from 32 (15.6%)

Overall - 32 from 207 (15.5%)

 

[foley_falcon]

Do people have a plan for it? Wait for the toss and go with the batting team maybe?

 

[sk1001]

These are the stats i posted last year when Bet365 ran the same promo for anyone interested

# of times a team has hit 8+ sixes in a match

BBL01: 12 from 62 innings (19.35%)
BBL02: 7 from 70 innings (10%)
BBL03: 12 from 70 innings (17.14%)
BBL04: 8 from 70 innings (11.43%)
BBL05: 14 from 70 innings (20%)
Total: 53 from 342 innings (15.50%)

Ground avg. 6's per innings

Gabba: 5.54
ANZ: 5.41
Adelaide Oval: 5.37
Etihad: 5.15
SCG: 4.54
Blundstone Arena: 4.45
WACA: 4.35
Spotless: 4.08
MCG: 4.04
Manuka: 3.00

Hmmm interesting. Not as tasty as it looks then.

 

[Patterz123]

Enjoyed the 365 promo last year, lets hope Chris Lynn gets going again this year!

Palmerbet have score 160+ and lose - up to $100 as a bonus bet. Does anyone know if they honour the excluded states (SA & WA)?

 

[ricardogp]

As for the first game, I put Sixers as favourites (without knowing exact lineups) and Ladbrokes have them evens. So...

1u Sixers (v Thunder) @ $1.90 (ladbrokes)

Wasn't able to watch it, but 15 off the last over? 3 boundaries? Doesn't sound like good death bowling.

-1u.


Sent from my HTC 10 using Tapatalk

 

[jimbler]

Does anyone know if UBET altered their offer? I could have sworn that there was no cap on the bonus bet runs earlier in the day. The first banner makes no mention of it ("You'll receive bonus bets to match the chosen daily player's runs!"), and there's no mention of a $25 max cap in their T&C's underneath it.

However, it does make an appearance it their 2nd banner...."match a chosen daily player's runs up to $25"...

I'm wondering if this was added later on because I don't remember seeing it earlier in the day, but I may have just missed it.

 

[VK92]

Love the BBL B365 promo.

Sydney Thunder H2H @ $2- 2U

1-0

 

[ippxss]

Does anyone know if UBET altered their offer?

They definitely changed it. I placed my bet at 1pm soon after the promo was advertised and it said there was no limit to the bonus. I just sent them an email.

 

[iluvparis]

Watching Ryan Griffen bat if you'd backed the Thunder last night

 

[iluvparis]

Wasn't able to watch it, but 15 off the last over? 3 boundaries? Doesn't sound like good death bowling.

The only thing that kept the Sixers in it was two of the worst T20 batting displays you'd see from Patterson and Griffen - if either of them go at even a run a ball the Thunder wouldn't have even needed the last two overs