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Boncers Basic Bitch (WW)

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Mister M said:
Last night I seered Near Kearn because he was 'evil' on TheWizardMelon's list. I wanted to determine if I could figure out a pattern from the list.

Anyway--- Kearn seered as Flog, however I'm the fake seer--- as seen by my seer on Crowy yesterday (I was told goon, but he was the Doc)
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Yep.

It’s likely he’s not mafia then, he’s not one of the two seers and he’s not a flog obviously.

He’s also voting Greeneshoots who I suspect of being a Wolf which may suggest that he’s not a wolf himself, and it’s likely that he’s not the doctor if he’s voting Greeneshoots as they want evil to win and he’s the person who has “lied” according to him.
That leaves two roles.

Serial Killer
Villager
 
damicky said:
I am happy to:

Seer GREENESHOOTS
“your seer is unsuccessful”
Click to expand...

I received "You were unsuccessful" rather than "your seer is unsuccessful" on N1 when I failed to seer Chipmunk.

Further evidence in my opinion that you're using factional seers rather than being the real seer.

GREENESHOOTS said:
If we don't think damicky is in a faction then he is most likely the SK
Click to expand...

I think damicky definitely is in a faction IF he's not the seer, because otherwise he guessed that I was the fake seer. I think he's likely the GF or Alpha, which is why he seered village.
 

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Mister M said:
I received "You were unsuccessful" rather than "your seer is unsuccessful" on N1 when I failed to seer Chipmunk.

Further evidence in my opinion that you're using factional seers rather than being the real seer.



I think damicky definitely is in a faction IF he's not the seer, because otherwise he guessed that I was the fake seer. I think he's likely the GF or Alpha, which is why he seered village.
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I wouldn’t have guessed anything because I have no idea what is going on

All I know is the sooner you vote me out, the sooner the truth will be seen

That makes me happy
 
Now for my summary.

Roles left:
  • Godfather & Goon
  • Alpha & Wolf
  • Serial Killer
  • Evil Doc
  • Seer, Fake Seer, Flog & Village.
That leaves 10 players left.

Based on my analysis
  • I'm the fake seer
  • Near Kearn is NOT the flog
  • Greeney is the seer (analysis, rather than seer results)
According to Greeney Both Baz & damicky seer as Village.

The "Seers as Village" players are Godfather, Alpha, SK & Villager (x1). That means that killing one of those two today is a 75% chance of hitting a night immune player.


We then have:
RU_, MC Bad Genius, Clarke M, Dogs, Dank420_ & Near Kearn

ONE of which IS the flog (cannot be Near Kearn), two of which are the Goon & Wolf and the other two are Evil Doc & the remaining "Seers as Village' roles.
 
damicky said:
I wouldn’t have guessed anything because I have no idea what is going on

All I know is the sooner you vote me out, the sooner the truth will be seen

That makes me happy
Click to expand...

Killing you tonight doesn't make sense-- because the chances of you being the SK are negligible. IF you are and have been able to play this game, you deserve the win.

The best option today is to find the SK--- I think we need to either sacrifice Baz to remove the hiding place of "villager" from the game and possibly hit a night immune OR according to ClarkeM's observations take out Near Kearn.

Which one shall we go with team--- Barrybran or Near Kern?
 
ClarkeM said:
I'm halfway through a work email, and have been for some hours now. I cannot work this sh*t out.
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I'm desperately trying to respond to a bunch of emails from a worker who is finishing up tomorrow, but I keep getting distracted by this. My wife is also trying to get me to change a pooey nappy, so I have to go back to Outlook now so she doesn't think I'm goofing off.
 

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Mister M said:
Killing you tonight doesn't make sense-- because the chances of you being the SK are negligible. IF you are and have been able to play this game, you deserve the win.

The best option today is to find the SK--- I think we need to either sacrifice Baz to remove the hiding place of "villager" from the game and possibly hit a night immune OR according to ClarkeM's observations take out Near Kearn.

Which one shall we go with team--- Barrybran or Near Kern?
Click to expand...
This is fairly sound logic
 
MC Bad Genius said:
I'm desperately trying to respond to a bunch of emails from a worker who is finishing up tomorrow, but I keep getting distracted by this. My wife is also trying to get me to change a pooey nappy, so I have to go back to Outlook now so she doesn't think I'm goofing off.
Click to expand...

Why are you babysitting Pickitt ?
 
ClarkeM said:
Yep.

It’s likely he’s not mafia then, he’s not one of the two seers and he’s not a flog obviously.

He’s also voting Greeneshoots who I suspect of being a Wolf which may suggest that he’s not a wolf himself, and it’s likely that he’s not the doctor if he’s voting Greeneshoots as they want evil to win and he’s the person who has “lied” according to him.
That leaves two roles.

Serial Killer
Villager
Click to expand...
Only if the above of what I've written is true, then I think I need to take the 1/2 shot at NK being the SK.

It's worth not forgetting too, the SK missed last night.
 

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ClarkeM said:
I fear we're about to lose dogs105 too. Can only HOPE he's the SK... Which would explain the missed shot last night.
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We'd be incredibly lucky if that was case. Stranger things have definitely happened in WW games. Actually, I think he might've been modkilled with a power role in the last game I modded haha.
 

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