OK BF minus 1 IF then.
IF Bryce walks after the end of his contract and IF the AFL still has compo picks for FA we'd get around a second rounder. OK return on a very good mid coming to the end of his career. IF he stays for a further few years, that's good also. We know what we will get there.
On your last point, the chances of that pick 8 even becoming a player are touch and go, let alone becoming a player as good as Bryce even at age 34.
FWIW I'm all for trading Gibbs if it nets us overs, e.g. Two first rounders/pick 13 and a quality player. Pick 13 and Lyons? Not so much.
I don't think there's too many on here that will be happy with #13 and Lyons, myself included. SOS has already shut the idea down anyway so I wouldn't worry about it happening.
If Adelaide can obtain pick #8, then I'd be more accepting of the trade.
Getting 2 first rounders, well maybe if they give us their 2017 1st as well as #13, but they're going to want our 2nd in return.
If we keep him and Bryce walks out after 3 years and we get a 2nd rounder I'm gonna be pissed off big time. What good is a 2nd rounder going to do for us when we could've got #8 or #13 and a quality young player? It's not like we're winning a flag in the next 3 years, it will just set us back.
And yes #8 will be along the lines of a 60/40 prospect but I'm backing SOS to make a good choice.