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Obviously another one who doesn't read.
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Can someone explain the logic behind cats being favs against the Dees?
- Thread starter AdamE89
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- Jun 16, 2018
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Dear OP, please put your money where your mouth is and load up on the Dees.
Be sure to join us on the Punting board, there's dozens of degenerates there, myself included, who will welcome you with open arms.
Be sure to join us on the Punting board, there's dozens of degenerates there, myself included, who will welcome you with open arms.
Melbourne have some gun players and a pretty balanced side, but with Simon Goodwin coaching they are like Wayne Carey at a BBQ - you just can't trust them.
(Heard a bloke use that line about Melbourne on SEN a few years ago - he was cut off and Huddo and a couple of others else spent the next few minutes saying how disgusting the comment was and how great a person Carey is. The AFL boys club circle jerk has no boundaries)
(Heard a bloke use that line about Melbourne on SEN a few years ago - he was cut off and Huddo and a couple of others else spent the next few minutes saying how disgusting the comment was and how great a person Carey is. The AFL boys club circle jerk has no boundaries)
gingernuts
binlicker
Geelong get a free ride from the umpies apparently
gingernuts
binlicker
Hilarious, never heard that one before
Opening lines (at the start of the week) can be relatively weak (ie wrong), as the bookies put up whatever they like and can let the market decide while not necessarily taking much money. They get beaten into shape throughout the weak as smart money goes into them.
The smartest punters / syndicates are using models and they’ll chime in throughout the week, if it’s wrong then it’ll flip around. By the time we get to game time, the market is at its most accurate.
Look at the odds just before the first bounce - they’re the important ones and what the market has decided.
The smartest punters / syndicates are using models and they’ll chime in throughout the week, if it’s wrong then it’ll flip around. By the time we get to game time, the market is at its most accurate.
Look at the odds just before the first bounce - they’re the important ones and what the market has decided.
LukeParkerno1
Post-Human
The 1-24 margin is the way I'll be going at this stage probably.
This will be a cracking game, who wins I'm not sure, actually the Dees getting an extra days rest and a less taxing game could be an advantage.
Elixuh
See you on the 9th green at 9
I can't explain those odds either op. Melbourne has triumphed against the odds over the juggernauts of Freo, St Kilda and GWS this season. Those odds make no sense I agree.
LOL. Obviously you don't pay attention much.
How many 30+ year olds did the Eagles trade in lately?
I'll give you a hint, its pretty easy. Zero!
Is that properties company that supports Geelong so well building a high end retirement village down Geelong way? Selling a few "discounted" villas for the boys to settle down in in a couple of years?
It's disappointing that a Melbourne supporter needs this to be explained and also amazing that people give a s**t about the odds unless they're putting money on it.
Good bit of morning comedy to go with the coffee...nice one..
Wonder if it's being shown on the big screen in Fed square!!
LukeParkerno1
Post-Human
Umpires aside, they do look slow. That said it's such a Melbourne side to lose at the first test they will get.
- Apr 6, 2015
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Pretty sure it's mainly Demon fans commenting in here trying to remind OP who they support.
thedreamisreal
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This thread’s the first cab off the rank but you’ve got all the way up to 9th at Round 23 or a 10-goal prelim loss to get everyone way way way ahead of themselves. You’re proven performers.
It'll shorten. Similar odds vs St Kilda before it shortened to almost even odds. We're at $2.12 with 5 days to game time. Suspect it'll be around $1.80-$1.90 for both teams come game time.
But to answer your question punters just don't trust Melbourne. Neither do bookies. So odds to encourage betting put Melbourne as outsiders. I'd probably jump on at $2.12 because it's going to shorten.
But to answer your question punters just don't trust Melbourne. Neither do bookies. So odds to encourage betting put Melbourne as outsiders. I'd probably jump on at $2.12 because it's going to shorten.
- Apr 13, 2015
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When bookies set the initial odds for a match they do it more based on statistical and historical results over the last 5 to 10 match ups between teams rather than either teams current form.
Then as others have stated the movement in odds is due to where people put there money, expect Melbourne to shorten leading up to the bounce of the ball or depending on what teams are announced.
Then as others have stated the movement in odds is due to where people put there money, expect Melbourne to shorten leading up to the bounce of the ball or depending on what teams are announced.
Melbourne fans shouldnt care if they are faverouites or not just keep doing what they are doing and let the footy do the talking
Join date: Sep 27, 2017
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The "logic" is that more people bet on Geelong.
Dude! You barrack for Melbourne! You should know exactly why we would not be favourites for this game! The list is a mile long full of reasons. We should win and win it well, but hey, this is Melbourne! Likely to lose by 8 goals. We're starting to show consistency, but need to start winning these types of games for punters to have faith. Win this weekend and maybe punters can start to trust us a little more. It's a fascinating game and possibly the most important so far in Goodwin's career. A loss and everyone uses 'It's the same old Melbourne' line. If the Cats can go 3-1 without Danger, then that's a huge win for them. As a punter, my money is on the Dees currently as to me it looks at least a 50/50 bet, but I won't bet on this one as I am yet to gain full faith in this club.
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