Racing Caulfield Cup 2023

Caulfield Cup Winner?

  • 9.DUKE DE SESSA(14) - John Allen

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • 12.EMISSARY(4) - Jye McNeil

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • 13.GOLDMAN(18) - Linda Meech

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • 15.FAME(16) - Craig Newitt

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • 16.BOIS D ARGENT(3) - Winona Costin

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • 17.SPIRIT RIDGE(10) - Dean Yendall

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • Total voters
    54
  • Poll closed .

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CAULFIELD CUP 1-MINUTE FORM GUIDE

GOLD TRIP - ludicrous Turnbull win but has shown that level rarely in Australia. That runs win this but must be doubts about the repeatability. Started $15 in a weaker version of this last year with less weight on a bog and got rolled by Durston so hard to get enthused about the current price.
WITHOUT A FIGHT - the one to beat and should be fave - total BT in the Underwood where it started $5 and drops in weight here. Drawn to settle closer and will look the winner at some stage.
BREAKUP - Should be renamed Mr Nagasaki for how cooked he is. Won't even get warm over the 2400 and is the absolute poison at the top of the market.
MONTEFILA - Ran a nice 4th in last years weaker edition but there is a wide body of work showing she is not up to winning a race like this. Looks very short.
FRANCESCO GUARDI - Turnbull run suggests he is the same kind of second tier stayer hype fraud that White Marlin and Goldman are. No.
WEST WIND BLOWS - Outstanding in the Turnbull and even Spencer shouldn't be able to get 3 wide from gate 2 here. Will be up on the pace and not stopping - the main danger.
NONCONFORMIST - Heroic second to Incentivise two years ago but that form is long gone and he is just making up the numbes here.
SOULCOMBE - Every run this prep a perfect cup trial and if he can jump out of the gates he is in this up to his years. Worry he doesn't get quite enough weight from the better WFA horses though.
DUKE DE SESSA - Looms as this years Gold Trip as a European with black type form entering through the WFA races. Could explode although withdrawal from MC at second acceptances suggests he is not going that good?
HOO YA MAL - Has looked on track for this all prep and will be up on the pace and out of trouble - one of the few blowout hopes not coming through the traditional lead ups.
RIGHT YOU ARE - Got in through winning the Mornington Cup - that's more this level.
EMISSARY - Hit a two-race golden patch in the Geelong and Melbourne Cup last year and has done nothing since. Won't be featuring.
GOLDMAN - Just another in a long line of offseason stayers who don't measure up in the big leagues. Cooked.
OKITA SOUSHI - This year's Camorra - and Irish plodder you do not want to be anywhere near at the 600 when he starts going backwards.
FAME - Genuine 999/1 shot on Betfair - the handicapper must have been on smack when allocating his weight as he is a midweek Sandown horse at best.
BOIS D'ARGENT - Been getting rolled in Big Dance qualifiers suggests he is not good enough to feature in this Big Dance.
SPIRIT RIDGE - Somehow ran Just Fine to a nose at 100/1 in a dogshit metrop. That horse beaten 30 Saturday. No
VALIANT KING - Would be half the quote if you forgive a horse a bad run and has no weight. Has Vauban form so would want to be doing something here given that horse is odds on for Flemington.
 

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F82ABtZaIAAF_VX
 
WAF and WWB out to a very backable prices on the fair now - expect WAF either gets scratched or firms a couple of points again when passed fit to run. In any case there is no way on earth it should be the same price as Breakup who is firming into completely poi and surprisingly getting us a price about the horses that can actually win.

I'd be getting on both now if not already.
 

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Too much Admire Ratki chat in this thread -not enough Hokko Brave. Chances this thing deserves to jump one of the shortest priced Japs in history? Zero.

(Also MDG jumping $8 off three straight wins - those were the days!)

F82mCN5bUAALhGo
 
Too much Admire Ratki chat in this thread -not enough Hokko Brave. Chances this thing deserves to jump one of the shortest priced Japs in history? Zero.

(Also MDG jumping $8 off three straight wins - those were the days!)

F82mCN5bUAALhGo
Old Eye Popper was basically 3&4 wide the trip with no cover and got nailed on the peg by railings who never placed again.

On SM-S918B using BigFooty.com mobile app
 
Obligatory yearly check in ..

gold trip scary
but
#1 Without a fight
#2 west wind blows

sneaky EW
Right you are
Spirit ridge
 
Too much Admire Ratki chat in this thread -not enough Hokko Brave. Chances this thing deserves to jump one of the shortest priced Japs in history? Zero.

(Also MDG jumping $8 off three straight wins - those were the days!)

F82mCN5bUAALhGo
So 10 japanese starters for 2 wins and a couple of long shot placings? i would reckon thats a great record...
Anyway Breakup was 5 wide the trip last time, still had the temerity to loom up with 300 to go before the effort told. I prefer him in the Melb cup and am worried that the pace might be relentless with a few horses going forward but $10 is about the right price.
 
Too much Admire Ratki chat in this thread -not enough Hokko Brave. Chances this thing deserves to jump one of the shortest priced Japs in history? Zero.

(Also MDG jumping $8 off three straight wins - those were the days!)

F82mCN5bUAALhGo
Chance to plod along and grind for 3rd or 4th or leaving out of your multiples altogether ?
 
Chance to plod along and grind for 3rd or 4th or leaving out of your multiples altogether ?

Very high. I’ve got in third and 4th lines only.

My guess is a one paced plod into 5th-8th like most Japs that have contested this. He won’t even get warm over the trip and will just outstay all of the non stayers late.
 
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