Racing Caulfield Cup 2025

[FFB1]

After doing the form, I have come up with Royal Supremecy for the Caulfield Cup. I think Royal Supremecy is a top 4 chance:

Form: Past 4 starts - 1121 ️

Age - Is a 5 YO (4YOs dominate — they’re fresh, on the rise, and historically the strongest age bracket. 5YOs are next followed closely by 6YOs. Less than 5 winners since 1991 have come from outside these 3 ages) ️

Sex - Gelding - Since 1991, 16 Geldings have won ️

Track - Caulfield - No starts ️

2400m - Yes - 2 starts: 1-0-1️

Weight - 52.5kg ️

Barrier - Ideal - barrier 6 ️

Trainer - Ciaron Maher, already won 2 Caulfield Cups ️

Jockey - Robbie Doolan - can ride a stayer ️

Last Start Winner/Placing: Yes ️

Track Condition - Good: 3 starts - 2-1-0 ️

Other Notes - Is a last start winner but that race was the G1 The Metropolitan (2400m), that form doesnt usually hold up in a Caulfield Cup️

I'd like to wish you all the best of luck if you're betting in the Caulfield Cup and best of luck if you're betting on the day in any other races.

Murrell didn’t sound overly confident; didn’t talk it up anywhere near as much as Vauban.

 

[Lunchtime]

Murrell didn’t sound overly confident; didn’t talk it up anywhere near as much as Vauban.

Vauban is better than Royal Supremecy, but with 58.5kg plus the wid-ish barrier (13), there's a few challenges.

Royal Supremecy has quite a few boxes ticked albeit it not as good as Vauban.

 

[anabac]

Taking their price into account my seedings would be

#1 Adelaide River
#2 Vauban
#3 Presage Nocturne
#4 Middle Earth
#5 Half Yours

Rank F4 runner: Plymouth

Watched the replay of PN 4 starts back in Riyadh 3000m G2 Red Sea Turf handicap worth $2.5million.

It's cherry picking form but stuck on really well for 4th after sitting just behind the speed, the top 3 all came from back of the field and the winner Byzantine Dream went on to win another G2 before going to the arc and finished 5th despite an unsuitable track. Was talked about as being one of the favorites if the track suited.

I'll take an each way ticket and hope for the best, this horse has been given no hope by any pundits that I've seen, they barely mention it. Surely will want it longer than 2400 but barrier 8 will at least give the jock a chance to put it in a good spot. Getting on for the MC too just in case he runs a big race

 

[Viva la Mattner]

Watched the replay of PN 4 starts back in Riyadh 3000m G2 Red Sea Turf handicap worth $2.5million.

It's cherry picking form but stuck on really well for 4th after sitting just behind the speed, the top 3 all came from back of the field and the winner Byzantine Dream went on to win another G2 before going to the arc and finished 5th despite an unsuitable track. Was talked about as being one of the favorites if the track suited.

I'll take an each way ticket and hope for the best, this horse has been given no hope by any pundits that I've seen, they barely mention it. Surely will want it longer than 2400 but barrier 8 will at least give the jock a chance to put it in a good spot. Getting on for the MC too just in case he runs a big race

I would be getting going from the 600m and trying to break them , Best Solution style

Make it a true staying test and PN will do better than most

It is way overs in the market , thanks to Jugada I am on at 51's

Considering it went home equal with Sevenna's Knight (who would be sub $8 here or potential fav) it has been completely missed by all "expert pundits" and media

 

[anabac]

I would be getting going from the 600m and trying to break them , Best Solution style

Make it a true staying test and PN will do better than most

It is way overs in the market , thanks to Jugada I am on at 51's

Considering it went home equal with Sevenna's Knight (who would be sub $8 here or potential fav) it has been completely missed by all "expert pundits" and media

I'm on at 51s as well. It was 41 at SB this morning (could boost to 51) but has slightly tightened back in to 35

 

[Viva la Mattner]

I'm on at 51s as well. It was 41 at SB this morning (could boost to 51) but has slightly tightened back in to 35

I watched Get On last night and half expected Richo to tip it as his roughie..... but nope

 

[Sockeye]

I watched Get On last night and half expected Richo to tip it as his roughie..... but nope

Watched the replay of PN 4 starts back in Riyadh 3000m G2 Red Sea Turf handicap worth $2.5million.

It's cherry picking form but stuck on really well for 4th after sitting just behind the speed, the top 3 all came from back of the field and the winner Byzantine Dream went on to win another G2 before going to the arc and finished 5th despite an unsuitable track. Was talked about as being one of the favorites if the track suited.

I'll take an each way ticket and hope for the best, this horse has been given no hope by any pundits that I've seen, they barely mention it. Surely will want it longer than 2400 but barrier 8 will at least give the jock a chance to put it in a good spot. Getting on for the MC too just in case he runs a big race

Most of the 'pundits' work for bookies.
If it's not mentioned much I take that as a positive.

 

[Lunchtime]

Top 4 Finishes - Caulfield Cup Barriers: 1992 Onwards


2024
1st: Duke De Sessa - barrier 5
2nd: Buckaroo - barrier 7
3rd: Land Legend - 1
4th: Zardozi - barrier 9

2023
1st: Without A Fight - barrier 7
2nd: West Wind Blows - barrier 2
3rd: Gold Trip - barrier 11
4th: Bois D'Argent - barrier 3

2022
1st: Durston - barrier 6
2nd: Gold Trip - 11
3rd: Knight's Order - barrier 17
4th: Montefilia - barrier 15

2021
1st: Incentivise - barrier 18
2nd: Nonconformist - barrier 14
3rd: Persan - barrier 11
4th: Montefilia - barrier 12

2020
1st: Verry Elleegant - barrier 8
2nd: Anthony Van Dyke - barrier 17
3rd: The Chosen One - barrier 2
4th: Prince Of Arran - barrier 15

2019
1st: Mer De Glace - barrier 17
2nd: Vow And Declare - barrier 7
3rd: Mirage Dancer - barrier 9
4th: Constantinople- barrier 5

2018
1st: Best Solution - barrier 15
2nd: Homesman - barrier 4
3rd: The Cliffsofmoher - barrier 3
4th: Duretto - barrier 1

2017
1st: Boom Time - barrier 3
2nd: Single Glaze - barrier 12
3rd: Johannes Vermeer - barrier 2
4th: Lord Fandango - barrier 9

2016
1st: Jameka - barrier 11
2nd: Scottish - barrier 6
3rd: Exospheric - barrier 3
4th: Almoonqith - barrier 2

2015
1st: Mongolian Khan - barrier 6
2nd: Trip To Paris - barrier 4
3rd: Our Ivanhoe - barrier 13
4th: Gust Of Wind - barrier 9

2014
1st: Admire Rakti - barrier 7
2nd: Rising Romance - barrier 14
3rd: Lucia Valentina - barrier 10
4th: Brambles - barrier 9

2013
1st: Fawkner - barrier 10
2nd: Dandino - barrier 16
3rd: Dear Demi - barrier 18
4th: Jet Away - barrier 11

2012
1st: Dunaden - barrier 18
2nd: Alcopop - barrier 8
3rd: Lights Of Heaven - barrier 7
4th: Americain - barrier 15

2011
1st: Southern Speed - barrier 3
2nd: Green Moon - barrier 13
3rd: Tullamore - barrier 11
4th: Manighar - barrier 4

2010
1st: Descarado - barrier 15
2nd: Harris Tweed - barrier 8
3rd: Monaco Consul - barrier 12
4th: Shocking - barrier 10

2009
1st: Viewed - barrier 13
2nd: Roman Emperor - barrier 4
3rd: Vigor - barrier 18
4th: Daffodil - barrier 3

2008
1st: All The Good - barrier 6
2nd: Nom De Jeu - barrier 15
3rd: Barbaricus - barrier 17
4th: Mad Rush - barrier 13

2007
1st: Master O'Reilly - barrier 4
2nd: Douro Valley - barrier 3
3rd: Princess Coup - barrier 15
4th: Blue Monday - barrier 7

2006
1st: Tawqeet - barrier 2
2nd: Aqua D'Amore - barrier 3
3rd: Delta Blues - barrier 14
4th: Activation - barrier 4

2005
1st: Railings - barrier 9
2nd: Eye Popper - barrier 7
3rd: Mummify - barrier 17
4th: Natural Blitz - barrier 6

2004:
1st: Elvstroem - barrier 3
2nd: Makybe Diva - barrier 17
3rd: Grey Song - barrier 11
4th: Vouvray - barrier 12

2003
1st: Mummify - barrier 13
2nd: Grey Song - barrier 17
3rd: Distinctly Secret - barrier 4
4th: Makybe Diva - barrier 18

2002
1st: Northerly - barrier 9
2nd: Fields Of Omagh - barrier 10
3rd: Republic Lass - barrier 1
4th: Distinctly Secret - barrier 8

2001
1st: Ethereal - barrier 10
2nd: Sky Heights - barrier 17
3rd: Celestial Show - barrier 8
4th: Hill Of Grace - barrier 7

2000
1st: Diatribe - barrier 11
2nd: Kaapstad Way - barrier 16
3rd: Fairway - barrier 13
4th: Freemason - barrier 9

1999
1st: Sky Heights - barrier 9
2nd: Laebeel - barrier 2
3rd: Inaflury - barrier 8
4th: Rogan Josh - barrier 17

1998
1st: Taufan's Melody - barrier 9
2nd: Lisa's Game - barrier 13
3rd: Tie The Knot - barrier 4
4th: Faithful Son - barrier 2

1997
1st: Might And Power - barrier 7
2nd: Doriemus - barrier 10
3rd: Catalan Opening - barrier 11
4th: Markham - barrier 12

1996
1st: Arctic Scent - barrier 2
2nd: Circles Of Gold - barrier 6
3rd: Iron Horse - barrier 14
4th: Doriemus - barrier 1

1995
1st: Doriemus - barrier 5
2nd: Count Chivas - barrier 4
3rd: Beaux Art - 7
4th: Protara's Bay - barrier 6

1994
1st: Paris Lane - barrier 5
2nd: Alcove - barrier 13
3rd: Tenor - barrier 2
4th: Oppressor - barrier 10

1993
1st: Fraar - barrier 7
2nd: Air Seattle - barrier 5
3rd: The Phantom - barrier 3
4th: Our Pompeii - barrier 4

1992
1st: Mannerism - barrier 13
2nd: Veandercross - barrier 17
3rd: Aquidity - barrier 11
4th: Subzero - barrier 10

 

[Sockeye]

So, you can win from anywhere, but generally speaking barriers 5 - 8 the sweet spot, inside barriers poison?

 

[TigerTime19]

Half Yours is a deserved favourite but $2.80 seems very short at the moment. If it reaches $3.20 - $3.40 I'll be on as I think he's the winner.

Deakin looks the map horse and hated the race shape in the Turnbull. Out to 2400m now a big positive.

Land Legend my roughie speck. Draws terrible but was probably going back anyway and has been racing better than the form guide suggests. Third in this race last year, okay weighted considering, and Turnbull is the right form line.

The overseas horses are worth chucking in exotics. Mainly Meydaan, Golden Snap, Nocturne.

 

[Optimistic Dog]

The best roughie is Land Legend. He a bit of an in out performer but on his day can produce a good performance. His run for 3rd last year was very good even though beaten 6 lengths. it was a slow 6 and he is better on top of the ground. Also, Purdon said he had to let go at the 800 because he never settled after becoming stirred up in the gates with a delayed start

Buckaroo was topweight with 54.5 and the minimum was 50kgs he had 53. So even though he has gone up 2,5 kgs to 55.5 he is 3 from the top and 4,5 from the minimum in this edition, arguably a weaker race,
His run in the Underwood was quite good after missing the start and coming from last to finish 5th, so the heath is no problem with 2 good runs from 2 starts on the track

If he performs near his best he is right in the race.

 

[Jugada]

Land Legend much like Zardozi were going panels better heading into the race last year though so couldnt really use last years race as a reference

 

[Optimistic Dog]

Land Legend much like Zardozi were going panels better heading into the race last year though so couldnt really use last years race as a reference

Zardozi is better on a wet track. Really if you go past HY because he is to short you could go anywhere. So. basing a tip on formlines any horse in the race bar HY has a good run in its form but lacks consisteny. I agree LL form leading into last years race was better. However I liked his Underwood run and forgiving the Turnbull I think he is the best roughie in the race.

 

[Peter Doherty]

I would be getting going from the 600m and trying to break them , Best Solution style

Make it a true staying test and PN will do better than most

It is way overs in the market , thanks to Jugada I am on at 51's

Considering it went home equal with Sevenna's Knight (who would be sub $8 here or potential fav) it has been completely missed by all "expert pundits" and media

$27 out to $51 on Sportsbet, $61 was available today.

 

[anabac]

$27 out to $51 on Sportsbet, $61 was available today.

Saw it at 61s, could boost to 75 but I didn't pull the trigger. I've already had my investment, didn't want to lose even more money, I'll save that for an Ascot quaddie to dig me out

Market has tightened back up slightly now though which is good to see

 

[Peter Doherty]

Saw it at 61s, could boost to 75 but I didn't pull the trigger. I've already had my investment, didn't want to lose even more money, I'll save that for an Ascot quaddie to dig me out

Market has tightened back up slightly now though which is good to see

It's $61 now.

 

[BuddysBiggestFan]

Of course I multied this thing with the Metrop but didn’t take the 26’s for the Cup back then…

 

[FFB1]

Absolutely cast here, nothing into MC for first time ever I reckon

 

[Lunchtime]

Damn it....River Of Stars ran a mighty race to get 2nd.