Prediction Changes v Port

[StateOE]

Haha good analogy but it would still be called inconsistent.

I hear umps get called inconsistent quite a lot too

 

[AsterixTheGaul]

For all those that think Lecras will not be playing, Sportbet think differently. They even have him as top Eagle to be first goal scorer. I would not be placing any of my money on this as he hasn't scored a goal since 6th May.

There again, these organisations are very profitable so either suckering us into loving a star of yesteryear or they know what we are fearing and that he will be a starter on Sunday.

Melt away.

 

[Gugs9]

Lecras was on BackChat podcast this week and said that his hip had been hindering him since after the adelaide trip, and that he hasn't been able to train or play pain free until the end of last week. If true, let's hope if he makes the cut he his back to the lecras form from the first few rounds

 

[Marlin01]

For all those that think Lecras will not be playing, Sportbet think differently. They even have him as top Eagle to be first goal scorer. I would not be placing any of my money on this as he hasn't scored a goal since 6th May.

There again, these organisations are very profitable so either suckering us into loving a star of yesteryear or they know what we are fearing and that he will be a starter on Sunday.

Melt away.

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Dom Sheed wouldn't be the worst bet at $26. Having said that, I'm the worst footy punter on Earth.

 

[Chris_6678]

Dom Sheed wouldn't be the worst bet at $26. Having said that, I'm the worst footy punter on Earth.

Karpany at $21 is a better bet.

 

[domo]

Karpany at $21 is a better bet.

how much is Priddis?

 

[Keys]

how much is Priddis?

$4.00










any other player

 

[Brave Sir Robin]

For all those that think Lecras will not be playing, Sportbet think differently. They even have him as top Eagle to be first goal scorer. I would not be placing any of my money on this as he hasn't scored a goal since 6th May.

There again, these organisations are very profitable so either suckering us into loving a star of yesteryear or they know what we are fearing and that he will be a starter on Sunday.

Melt away.

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The market is to 153% and Lecras is only 10% of that so he's not hugely significant if they have to adjust the market tonight.

They probably just look at the 25 and include anyone who would be under a certain price, then adjust when the teams are whittled down.

People give bookies too much credit for how much they know.

 

[AsterixTheGaul]

The market is to 153% and Lecras is only 10% of that so he's not hugely significant if they have to adjust the market tonight.

They probably just look at the 25 and include anyone who would be under a certain price, then adjust when the teams are whittled down.

People give bookies too much credit for how much they know.

More about irony than economics

 

[Brave Sir Robin]

More about irony than economics

Oh right, I knew that...

 

[Chris_6678]

Cole Redden Masten out.

 

[JordanWCE]

Cole dropped, good work match committee

 

[HoneyBadger35]

Lol.

 

[Biggie]

Cole out eh?

Gee whiz

 

[HoneyBadger35]

The issue I have with these decisions isn't the same issue I had a few weeks ago.

A few weeks ago I would have been able to rationalise these sorts of calls, because the comp is so tight and we're not that far off the pace, I could see how the MC could believe they've got to play the best 22 at all costs instead of playing kids.

Problem is now, it's so clear the best 22 involves plenty of the kids, and they've just brought back players that clearly aren't best 22. It literally doesn't make sense at either angle.

 

[Astro35]

 

[Chris_6678]

mmmm too tall if you ask me!

 

[15yearmember]

The issue I have with these decisions isn't the same issue I had a few weeks ago.

A few weeks ago I would have been able to rationalise these sorts of calls, because the comp is so tight and we're not that far off the pace, I could see how the MC could believe they've got to play the best 22 at all costs instead of playing kids.

Problem is now, it's so clear the best 22 involves plenty of the kids, and they've just brought back players that clearly aren't best 22. It literally doesn't make sense at either angle.

Longmuir:"...they've got the runs on the board".... its only fair

 

[Ochre]

Taller and older, just what we needed

 

[nameless]

melters justified

Lycett in to just make us taller
Priddis in to just make us slower
LeCras in to just make us crapper (please find your early season form)
Hurn is fine.

 

[Keys]

Not a fan of the Cole omission or of the inclusion of Lycett without dropping one of the other talls

The other changes I'm ok with

 

[HoneyBadger35]

Longmuir:"...they've got the runs on the board".... its only fair

"Mark LeCras kicked 12 goals against Essendon quite recently, and could have had more if Strijk didn't steal one off the goal line. You have to back that form in"

Yeah fair enough when you put it like that...

 

[Miguel Sanchez]

Structurally I see it as
Priddis for Redden
Hurn for Butler
LeCras for Masten with Karpany moving up the ground and Lecca playing closer to goal
Lycett for Cole with Petrie playing full time forward, Gov switching to defence.

Makes us very tall down back and not particularly quick given Hurn and Gov are replacing Butler and Cole.

Priddis over Redden isn't justified on form. Masten out is justified but LeCras needs to show the sort of form he had last time we played Port.
And Cole out is disappointing with no yoof coming in.

Melt away.

 

[Ilkka Sinisalo]

I don't really understand going in with Vardy, Petrie, Barrass, McGovern, Lycett, Darling and Mackenzie. Seems too tall. It's like they just said "well, Lycett is healthy and ready to go, but the other talls are playing well, so screw it we'll just add Lycett and take off Cole or whatever."

 

[HoneyBadger35]

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Unique take on the genre, I like it.