Prediction Changes vs Suns in Darwin

[RWnBluey]

After Essendon next week, we have a 5 day break, then a bye. Might be a good time.

Can definitely see Libba and one or two others being rested for the Essendon game considering it’s only a 5 day break vs Cats the week after.

 

[JTCWBFC]

Dunkley destroyed Rowell. Wonder if we’ll do the same with Kennedy to him.

 

[fargy]

Dunkley destroyed Rowell. Wonder if we’ll do the same with Kennedy to him.

Libba did a decent job on Rowell last year.

 

[_Cerberus_]

Interesting to note, that despite our recent form, a fair few seem to be tipping the Suns this weekend. Can understand in part from our travel load so far, and their record up in Darwin is good. Hopefully we don't get complacent and take the game lightly.

Just checked the forecast. Only 48% humidity at this stage, which is great. Will be warm at night, with temperatures hovering around the mid 20s for the whole game. And very light to little wind at all, and no rain. Probably the best we could ask for really. Especially the humidity side of things.

 

[Optimistic Dog]

Interesting to note, that despite our recent form, a fair few seem to be tipping the Suns this weekend. Can understand in part from our travel load so far, and their record up in Darwin is good. Hopefully we don't get complacent and take the game lightly.

Just checked the forecast. Only 48% humidity at this stage, which is great. Will be warm at night, with temperatures hovering around the mid 20s for the whole game. And very light to little wind at all, and no rain. Probably the best we could ask for really. Especially the humidity side of things.

This from BOM humidty between 52 and 66
Temp between 21 to 27 feels like 32 to 30

This is hot and fairly humid.

:30 AM	3:30 AM	6:30 AM	9:30 AM	12:30 PM	3:30 PM	6:30 PM	9:30 PM
Wind speed km/h knots	7 4	9 5	9 5	15 8	17 9	15 8	9 5	7 4
Wind direction	ESE	ESE	ESE	ESE	ESE	ESE	ENE	E
Relative humidity (%)	80	79	79	59	38	38	52	66

6:30 PM	9:30 PM
Air temperature (°C)	26	25	25	28	33	34	31	27
Feels like (°C)	29	27	26	29	31	33	32	30
Dew point temperature (°C)	23	21	21	19	17	18	20	21

 

[dogwatch]

Interesting to note, that despite our recent form, a fair few seem to be tipping the Suns this weekend. Can understand in part from our travel load so far, and their record up in Darwin is good. Hopefully we don't get complacent and take the game lightly.

Just checked the forecast. Only 48% humidity at this stage, which is great. Will be warm at night, with temperatures hovering around the mid 20s for the whole game. And very light to little wind at all, and no rain. Probably the best we could ask for really. Especially the humidity side of things.

I'm not at all confident about this one. If it was at Marvel or even Carrara we'd be justifiable favourites but Darwin will be harder. Last time I checked the odds were about 50/50 (gamble responsibly folks). Their form is a bit erratic and the draw has so far been kind to them. They have played the bottom five teams on the ladder won four of those by big margins but lost the game against Richmond. They have also played top side Brisbane (loss) and fifth side Adelaide (1 pt win at home). Their best is very good but we don't know what game they'll bring on Saturday.

It's an 8-point game so I don't think either side will be going in with complacency.


The humidity will probably get up to 70%+ before the final siren but overall it shouldn't be too bad.

 

[Optimistic Dog]

Given the conditions will favour the Suns we will need to establish and lead of at least a2 to 3 goals at 3/4 time and hope to hold on in the last quarter. The dogs not often win four in a row,

 

[dogwatch]

Given the conditions will favour the Suns we will need to establish and lead of at least a2 to 3 goals at 3/4 time and hope to hold on in the last quarter. The dogs not often win four in a row,

We do however finish games well. Not so much the first quarter.

 

[_Cerberus_]

This from BOM humidty between 52 and 66
Temp between 21 to 27 feels like 32 to 30

This is hot and fairly humid.

:30 AM	3:30 AM	6:30 AM	9:30 AM	12:30 PM	3:30 PM	6:30 PM	9:30 PM
Wind speed km/h knots	7 4	9 5	9 5	15 8	17 9	15 8	9 5	7 4
Wind direction	ESE	ESE	ESE	ESE	ESE	ESE	ENE	E
Relative humidity (%)	80	79	79	59	38	38	52	66

6:30 PM	9:30 PM
Air temperature (°C)	26	25	25	28	33	34	31	27
Feels like (°C)	29	27	26	29	31	33	32	30
Dew point temperature (°C)	23	21	21	19	17	18	20	21

The problem with weather sites/sources, is that each one tends to differ a little from another. Hopefully it actually does end up on the lower end.

 

[_Cerberus_]

Given the conditions will favour the Suns we will need to establish and lead of at least a2 to 3 goals at 3/4 time and hope to hold on in the last quarter. The dogs not often win four in a row,

What is our best ever winning streak in history, and also under Bevo? Anyone here know off the top of their head?

 

[dogwatch]

The problem with weather sites/sources, is that each one tends to differ a little from another. Hopefully it actually does end up on the lower end.

None would be as well resourced as BoM. I ignore the others (who probably just use BoM data anyway).

 

[Dogs_r_barking]

Interesting to note, that despite our recent form, a fair few seem to be tipping the Suns this weekend. Can understand in part from our travel load so far, and their record up in Darwin is good. Hopefully we don't get complacent and take the game lightly.

Just checked the forecast. Only 48% humidity at this stage, which is great. Will be warm at night, with temperatures hovering around the mid 20s for the whole game. And very light to little wind at all, and no rain. Probably the best we could ask for really. Especially the humidity side of things.

May is apparently the best time of year in Darwin.

 

[Iamspock]

Interesting to note, that despite our recent form, a fair few seem to be tipping the Suns this weekend. Can understand in part from our travel load so far, and their record up in Darwin is good. Hopefully we don't get complacent and take the game lightly.

Just checked the forecast. Only 48% humidity at this stage, which is great. Will be warm at night, with temperatures hovering around the mid 20s for the whole game. And very light to little wind at all, and no rain. Probably the best we could ask for really. Especially the humidity side of things.

I hope that's the case, the first few days of May up here were quite dry, the last few days have been quite humid, with the humidity level between 75-90 %

 

[Iamspock]

May is apparently the best time of year in Darwin.

I'll take June-July any time.

 

[RWnBluey]

Ben Long

22

Ben Long

Age

27

Ht

186cm

Wt

81kg

Pos.

Fwd

Career

Season

Last 5

D

10.9

3star

K

6.2

2star

HB

4.7

3star

M

3.3

3star

T

2.7

4star

G

0.7

4star

D

12.8

3star

K

6.7

3star

HB

6.2

4star

M

3.3

3star

T

2.3

3star

G

0.0

1star

D

13.4

4star

K

6.8

3star

HB

6.6

4star

M

3.2

4star

T

3.2

5star

G

0.6

3star

ranked #3 player in the comp this year according to Champion Data. Would be a handy out

 

[Doggy]

Ben Long ranked #3 player in the comp this year according to Champion Data. Would be a handy out

Going to play of course

 

[Arkangel]

8 games in 2015. Round 2 to round 9.

Our greatest winning streak in 2015 was 4 games…

[Edit to add: We won the first 6 rounds of 2021, and 6 straight games from the end of 2016 to the start of 2017 (including the 4 finals in 2016 and the first 2 rounds of 2017). As far as I can see, those are our greatest winning streaks under Beveridge.]

 

[RWnBluey]

Our greatest winning streak in 2015 was 4 games…

ChatGPT has let me down.

Gave it a stern talking to and then it spat out 5 games in row in 2023.

 

[RWnBluey]

Going to play of course

Of course.

 

[bobs head soup]

What is our best ever winning streak in history, and also under Bevo? Anyone here know off the top of their head?

Don't know the exact answer, but the most dominant period I can remember was the start of 2008, when we only lost 1 of our first 15 games (and 1 draw).

That loss was to Norf, when Johno had a set shot of about 35 metres on a slight angle after the siren to win the match and missed.

 

[Arkangel]

Don't know the exact answer, but the most dominant period I can remember was the start of 2008, when we only lost 1 of our first 15 games (and 1 draw).

That loss was to Norf, when Johno had a set shot of about 35 metres on a slight angle after the siren to win the match and missed.

Through a bit of Wikipedia searching, I can see we won 6 in a row in 2008 too. We also won 7 in a row from the last few rounds of 1954 to the first few rounds of 1955, which is the greatest streak I've found.

[Edit: AFL tables says we won 9 in a row in 1946!]

 

[dogwatch]

Through a bit of Wikipedia searching, I can see we won 6 in a row in 2008 too. We also won 7 in a row from the last few rounds of 1954 to the first few rounds of 1955, which is the greatest streak I've found.

[Edit: AFL tables says we won 9 in a row in 1946!]

Yes, we won the first 9 games of 1946 before losing to Carlton by 4 points.
After that winning streak we lost 6 of the next 10. Missed the double chance on percentage, finishing third and then lost the elimination final (1st SF) ... sounds awfully familiar.

 

[Outback Footy]

The problem with weather sites/sources, is that each one tends to differ a little from another. Hopefully it actually does end up on the lower end.

You cant have faith in weather reports this far out. Particularly in the tropics. Disregard until saturday am.

 

[House_of_Dahl]

What is our best ever winning streak in history, and also under Bevo? Anyone here know off the top of their head?

End of 2016?

 

[bresker]

Darwin used to be our 'home' game before Ballarat, we went alright up there (from memory.)