I think its time to just accept there is a 98% chance yarran is off to richmond
No. Richmond's supporters, and maybe even their coaching staff WANT Yarran to be a 98% chance to go to Richmond. Richmond want what Yarran can give. Fair enough too.
But what Carlton want, when a player is bound by a contract, and is not a free agent, is also important. That seems to be being ignored.
The other thing is that Yarran, or his management, have indicated that Yarran wants out. And that Richmond may be his 1st choice. That does not mean it is his only choice.
[1] He has strong family connection in WA. They want him over there. The issues with his father also just weigh upon him. This is why he was in Perth, after all, last week. He didn't do it just to irk Carlton.
[2] His best friend and mentor, Eddie Betts, would love him to go to Adelaide. There is nobody at Richmond whom he likes as he does Eddie Betts.
[3] Carlton would find it more to our benefit in sending him to Sydney to play with GWS (not Sydney). GWS know that Carlton is interesting in a number of their players and need some spaces to reduce their list size.
At the moment the only thing to draw Yarran to Richmond is money.
That may be enough. But don't count your chickens until KFC dishes them up. God knows we don't.