Closest to the pin - 2022 FEDERAL AUSTRALIAN ELECTION COMPETITION

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footyfan1978

Hall of Famer
Aug 27, 2014
34,154
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there are no other teams worthy
You might be able to help me - when was 151 seats introduced (was it 1984?) and what is the worst result for both major parties since then from a total seats perspective?
150 seats all this century and became 151 last election.
In 1984 it jumped from 125 the previous year, to 148 seats.
It was still 148 seats in 1998 election.
Then 150 seats in 2001
 

beema limapep

🔆🥇🦐🍺👽💨🕳🤷‍♂️
Oct 29, 2017
11,813
21,717
AFL Club
Richmond
150 seats all this century and became 151 last election.
In 1984 it jumped from 125 the previous year, to 148 seats.
It was still 148 seats in 1998 election.
Then 150 seats in 2001
Legend. Thank you
 

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Jascave

Norm Smith Medallist
Jun 17, 2005
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If my optimistic prediction is right, somewhere around then.

But I reckon probably around 10 more likely
At least it won't be like what CNN in the US had to deal with in the 2000 US presidential election, when their election night coverage started around 11am (AEDST). Normally we in Australia would've had the US election result around 4-5pm; but on that day, the election night coverage was still going at about 9:00pm which was about 4:00am in the morning in the US. Correct me if I'm wrong, but was it something to do with the vote in Florida, which got the Supreme Court involved in 'Bush v Gore'?
 

Donakebab

Premium Gold
May 18, 2009
33,562
45,510
Tempy Pub
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Essendon
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Detroit Red Wings
At least it won't be like what CNN in the US had to deal with in the 2000 US presidential election, when their election night coverage started around 11am (AEDST). Normally we in Australia would've had the US election result around 4-5pm; but on that day, the election night coverage was still going at about 9:00pm which was about 4:00am in the morning in the US. Correct me if I'm wrong, but was it something to do with the vote in Florida, which got the Supreme Court involved in 'Bush v Gore'?

Hanging chads in Florida.
 

Gough

Moderator
Sep 29, 2006
62,163
114,377
AFL Club
Hawthorn
Hanging chads in Florida.
The idiot brigade have been seeding Trumpist big lie rubbish for weeks now and as best I can see vote with a pen seems to be the best they can make stick which lacks a bit of punch if you ask me in comparison what their daddy managed. Pauline Hanson and Craig Kelly are going to moan about what happens anyway regardless of who wins Saturday and their supporters will lap it up.
 

Johnny Bananas

Brownlow Medallist
Sep 10, 2010
10,337
13,918
A sugar refinery
AFL Club
Brisbane Lions
Labor 78, LNP 63, others 10.

Labor to win Bass, Braddon, Boothby, Pearce, Swan, Chisholm, Higgins, Reid, Ryan, Longman and Leichhardt.

LNP to win Hughes.

Greens to win Brisbane and Griffith.

Independents to win Goldstein and Kooyong.

Mr Potato Head to retain Dickson by less than 200 votes.
 
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Jascave

Norm Smith Medallist
Jun 17, 2005
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We could be in for a much closer race to the Lodge than many people expected. Noticing Anthony Albanese's press conference yesterday, wondering is the pressure and strain of the last few weeks now beginning to tell on him?
 

beema limapep

🔆🥇🦐🍺👽💨🕳🤷‍♂️
Oct 29, 2017
11,813
21,717
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3 days til voting opens and we have 34 entries. Given the popularity of this comp a few double ups are in and probably a few more will be unavoidable.

In the event of a tie, multiple winners will be awarded.

Thanks.
 

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Jascave

Norm Smith Medallist
Jun 17, 2005
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Expect the election count to be a lot closer than many people thought it would be. Scott Morrison is now narrowing the gap on Anthony Albanese according to the latest opinion polls.

One thing to watch out for is which newspapers across Australia has endorsed either Morrison or Albanese in their election day editorials.
 

Jascave

Norm Smith Medallist
Jun 17, 2005
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Wondering what is the betting markets (ie TAB Sportsbet, Ladbrokes) saying about the federal election? Are we heading either for a change in government, or a hung parliament scenario?
 

beema limapep

🔆🥇🦐🍺👽💨🕳🤷‍♂️
Oct 29, 2017
11,813
21,717
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Richmond
Wondering what is the betting markets (ie TAB Sportsbet, Ladbrokes) saying about the federal election? Are we heading either for a change in government, or a hung parliament scenario?
ALP currently around $1.50
LNP around $2.70
 

beema limapep

🔆🥇🦐🍺👽💨🕳🤷‍♂️
Oct 29, 2017
11,813
21,717
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Bump - 2 days to go. Get your prediction in!
 

Achy Blakey Heart

Premium Platinum
Jun 29, 2011
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Expect the election count to be a lot closer than many people thought it would be. Scott Morrison is now narrowing the gap on Anthony Albanese according to the latest opinion polls.

One thing to watch out for is which newspapers across Australia has endorsed either Morrison or Albanese in their election day editorials.

Given the landslide predictions in here, I expect complete melts if Scomo gets over the line.
 

Maggie5

Moderator
Apr 3, 2010
46,529
53,225
Victoria
AFL Club
Collingwood
Given the AEC is now permitted to open pre-poll ballot boxes from 4pm on election day to sort and unfold ballot papers. Counting won't start until 6pm, but the extra time for unfolding. We still may have a result on election night with only the postal votes to come.
 

Ned_Flanders

Premium Platinum
Aug 22, 2009
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Given the AEC is now permitted to open pre-poll ballot boxes from 4pm on election day to sort and unfold ballot papers. Counting won't start until 6pm, but the extra time for unfolding. We still may have a result on election night with only the postal votes to come.

Not with 20-25% being postal votes
 

Jascave

Norm Smith Medallist
Jun 17, 2005
5,244
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If Scott Morrison somehow wins the election on Saturday night, watch for the Labor Party to completely implode big time.

At least Anthony Albanese won't have to worry about a leadership spill within the Labor Party if he loses, because former PM Kevin Rudd changed the rules on leadership challenges in the Labor Party after the Rudd v Gillard disaster.
 

Millky95

Starchild > You
Jul 6, 2014
42,432
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Sydney
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If Scott Morrison somehow wins the election on Saturday night, watch for the Labor Party to completely implode big time.

At least Anthony Albanese won't have to worry about a leadership spill within the Labor Party if he loses, because former PM Kevin Rudd changed the rules on leadership challenges in the Labor Party after the Rudd v Gillard disaster.
Albo would probably step down unless no one else wanted the job.

And to be fair, if he lost this election combined with the 2019 election, who would want it?
 

beema limapep

🔆🥇🦐🍺👽💨🕳🤷‍♂️
Oct 29, 2017
11,813
21,717
AFL Club
Richmond
If Scott Morrison somehow wins the election on Saturday night, watch for the Labor Party to completely implode big time.

At least Anthony Albanese won't have to worry about a leadership spill within the Labor Party if he loses, because former PM Kevin Rudd changed the rules on leadership challenges in the Labor Party after the Rudd v Gillard disaster.
Not sure about imploding. The factions are relatively stable and if Albo stepped down, Jason Clare is a smooth operator.
 
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